2009 NCAAF: 79-53 (60%)
2010 NCAAF: 48-46 (51%)
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2010 NFL: 31-10 (76%)
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2010 Betting Breakdown
---- Spread: 34-29
---- Totals: 3-5
---- Halfs: 11-10
**** Includes 2 spread wins that were locked in before posting but had line moves (LSU -4 and Clemson -24. Both occurred week 1, both plays well in advance of game)
2010 LARGE History (5-1)
Week 2 (W): South Carolina -3 (South Carolina 17 - Georgia 6)
Week 3 (W): Arizona State +14 (Arizona State 19 - Wisconsin 20)
Week 3 (W): Clemson +7 (Clemson 24 - Auburn 27)
Week 4 (W): Miami -3 (Miami 31 - Pitt 3)
Week 4 (L): Georgia +1 (Georgia 12 - Miss State 24)
Week 5 (W): Tennessee +17 (Tennessee 14 - LSU 16)
Week 6: Florida -6 (Pending...)
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Well this year in CFB has been less than stellar, so I'm going back to basics. Trimming down on games played, picking the ones I really like and going with it. When you are hot, its easy to pick 10-15 games a week and come out ahead, but when things are not going so well (as have been for me the last 2.5 weeks) you have to trim back, maybe drop a unit or half per play. So..we'll use good money management but I really feel I am at the end of this sluggish time, you go through phases throughout a season and right now I'm treading water to stay in the black. Still have 9-10 more weeks to get things back on track..so here goes this week. BOL to everyone...only 3 games this week, cutting back, as I said. We'll see how this works!
Play On: Florida -6 (LARGE)
Last week I was on UT against LSU and I am more confident in this play than last. LSU is just not a very good football team, they have a head coach that could be the worst in any BCS conference. Couple that with Florida coming off a very embarrassing loss and everything points toward a beat down looming in Gainesville this weekend. This has 2008 written all over it for LSU, struggle through the first 4-5 games, go to Florida and get romped then go on to lose 4-5 games on the year. Florida ran into the perfect storm against Bama, they are a much better football team than they showed. They'll prove that this weekend.
- Florida is 5-0 ATS in last 5 meetings.
- Florida is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following a S.U. loss.
- Florida is 9-2 ATS following their last 11 ATS losses.
- LSU is 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 conf games.
Play On: Oregon -36
I don't see Wazzu slowing down this offense. Oregon is hitting on all cylinders right now and that won't change this weekend. Expecting another 50 point outing from the ducks.
Play On: Arkansas -4 (b1)
Razorbacks coming off a bye week after a gut wrenching loss facing off with TAMU who basically gave the game away at Okie State. I like Petrino with 2 weeks to prepare in this one, the guy has a good team this year. Arkansas does have a look ahead game, but I think the circumstances are favorable here. Mainly because they are coming off a bye week and they just suffered a loss, they are eager to get back on the field. Overall I like one of the better SEC teams to win this one against an above average Big 12 team. Contemplating making this a large, will decide tomo AM.
- Texas A&M 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
- Texas A&M 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non conf games.
- Arkansas 6-2 ATS in last 8 against Big 12.