CFB Thursday

93-84 YTD   +3.10u

ECU -7 (-109)
APP/CC o62.5 (-110)

Good luck Mr. F.  

BOL Mr. F. 

Appy over 

I see both!  Good luck Freedo!

EAST CAROLINA -7.5 florida Atlantic

Tonight the Pirates of East Carolina, with their high powered offense, are hosting florida Atlantic.  I’m on the Pirates because, despite being only 4-4, they know how to put up points and they are home at night…always good combos for covering spreads.  Averaging 30.4 points per game, ECU will score on anyone – especially teams that suck.  Last week they scored 56 on the Temple Owls.  Tonight against another Owl team, they will look to do the same. In their last 4 FBS contests, Florida Atlantic has given up 43 points per game.

The Pirate offense has been pretty balanced all season, throwing the ball 51% of the time behind new QB Houser (they made the switch because their other QB kept throwing interceptions) and they play at a very high pace, so look for them to wear out an already bad FAU defense – which has one of their cornerbacks questionable with a foot injury.  ECU is ranked #33 in passing offense…that’s pretty good.    The real problem with FAU is their pass rush, as they barely average over 1 sack per game.   Tonight’s weather will be clear with no wind…perfect for passing.   It looks like FAU is struggling stopping the run as well.  South Florida ran for 319 yards against them last week.

FAU likes to run the ball, but ECU plays good run defense, holding opponents to 3.7 yards per carry.  You know what happens when you can’t run the ball on the road during a night game?  You lose..that’s what happens.  Three of FAU’s last four losses against FBS competition have all been decided by at least 14 points. The Owls have lost all four of their conference games by an average of 15.5 points.

ECU is coming off of a bye week with their new head coach.  FAU is the weakest FBS team that ECU has seen all season, so it is really hard to go against the Pirates here in a Thursday home night game.    Both teams played UTSA with ECU winning their game by 10 points while FAU lost to the Roadrunners by 14 points.  Considering all of this, the 7.5 point spread does not look too daunting so I’m going with the home Pirates.

@iamhuge

Has to be ECU or pass imo and you made good points. FAU haven’t won a conference game, lost 3 straight/1-4 ATS last five, and simply l just think the ECU offense is just way better. ECU 18-3 ATS as a home fav of 7 or more points.

Posted in NBA forum but I parlayed:

EC ML/Timberwolves ML (-135)

odds may have jumped up a bit with some players out now for Bulls