5-2 last week
Arkansas +3 5*
Slightly better in the 4 categories that i use to make my line. Those are Net Expected Yards, Strength of schedule, Turn Over Ratio, and net expected scoring. LSU is coming off that emotional win vs Ole Miss. These teams have played to a 3 point finish in each of their 4 meetings. I see this as a much improved Arkansas team and a slightly less LSU team. LSU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Boston College +7 4*
I have all of the stats at close to even in all categories. BC is rushing for 157 per game and VT allows 171, so they should control the ball. The coaching match up favors BC a lot imo.
Georgia Tech +12 4*
I don't get this line at all. The Stats are basically a wash and I get 12 at home.... Georgia Tech has fared well vs highly ranked teams the last few years, winning most of those outright.
Sam Houston State -ml -140 3* Wednesday
Sam Houston is 5-1SUATS this year and a perfect 3-0 at home. Sam Houston likes to rush the ball, gaining 229 Per game vs a weak Western Kentucky defense that allows 162 per game. Line it up and run away with it.
Purdue 1st half +15.5 3* Friday
Oregon won last week vs their toughest test of the year vs Ohio State. There should be no way they get up to play lowly Purdue this week. They may pull away late due to such a talent difference but I see them flat early.
Baylor/Texas Tech Over 56 3*
I have this game capped well into the 60's. It should be a close game and I expect to see a lot of back and forth. Both teams should put up well over 400 yards of offense. Baylor is 11-2 to the over in their last 13 road games.
Oregon State +7 3*
May as well finish with a home dog of 7 points. The stats are all very close and Corvallis is a tough place to get a win and cover. Oregon State is 19-6 ATS in their last 25 at home.
good luck
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