Afternoon games lean list for Saturday:
Bowling Green @ Kent St over 39... The book's seem to be hitting the panic button here with a realese of this type of number. They are reacting purely based on Kent State's offensive struggles but seem to be leaving out the fact that neither one of these teams is anything special on defense (Bowling Green can score). That's my take anyway's. Can't blame them for setting a number like this but it will be an over or no play for me...
Air Force @ New Mexico under 64.5... These 2 teams are allowing 466ypg on the ground combined. My god that's rediculous, it's no wonder they both have allowed 83+ppg this season combined. Air Force games have hit the over in every single game so far this season. You would think that would be all over talk right? But how on earth will New Mexico help this one go over when they are on offense? Air Force had lot'ss of help up to this point to push all of their games over the total. I think we finally have a game here were they get a big lead and killing the clock should be a thing of ease. Air Force control's this total IMO. Time for an under in an Air Force game...
Ball St @ Western Michigan... No strong opinion in any direction of this game. This game is a big mystery to me. I was happpy to cash a tickect on Eastern Michigan last week though against this now what seems to be flat squad of WMU...
Washington St +36.5 or more... The basic too many point comment. That's all i got on this one. Will not be wagering it for sure...
Maryland -7... Iv'e cashed a couple tickects already fading this Boston College squad. But do I dare try and believe in Maryland again with their apperant QB issues as of the last few games. Tough call but Boston College is a bad team...
Notre Dame vs Navy... You try and figure out Notre Dame. When you do drop me a line and let me know. This would definetly not be a good spot for them IMO laying almost 3td's here. It just seems like this has been going on now like forever with the Irish. I wonder if they will ever make it back to elite status?
Western Kentucky +6.5 or more... My 1st thoughts were to play Monroe @ home laying less than a TD. Then my understanding for how important Bobby Rainey may be to this number clicked in. The Hilltoppers are currently 3-1su and 4-0ats in their last 4 games. All conference play. In those Games Bobby Rainey has been a complete stud gaining 739 yards from scrimage and scoring 7td's. Hell he's even thrown a TD pass as he is 2 for 2 for 48 yards passing during this span. He his by far the best player in this game and could turn out to be a huge factor in keeping his team involed in this conference game as well. Really starting to like this game alot and my snag it soon because I can't see +6.5 hanging around to long....
Kansas St vs Oklahoma... Tough game. Can't really figure if this will be a get back on track game for OU or just another mistake by the books. The books have released 6 winner's already this season for Wildcat backer's. They seem to be struggling finding a number that suit's this team correctly in the long run. If i was forced to play this game I would take the points based on that alone. But rest assured I will not be wagering this game at all....
Pann St vs Illinois under 40.5... Iv'e learned a lot about Illinois the past couple weeks. They have gained just 651 yards in their last 2 games and now have the displeasure of attempting to move the ball against the Penn St defense which allows just 282pg. This number may not be able to be set low enough as these 2 have already played to the under @ 11-4-1. With Penn St averaging just over 37ypg on offense even this low number of 40ish should be safe for under bettors...
SMU +3... I just see SMU having the better shot to win this game based on balance. Tulsa's defense could very well lose this game. Tough game cap but I got a hunch that SMU wins this one outight on the road against a very suspect defense as SMU's offense is no slouch...
Baylor @ Okie St... If you were one of the lucky ones that snagged a +17 orr better you may have a great middle shot here IMO as Okie st winning this game somewhere around the fashion of 2td's seems to be the mosy likely prediction from many. Since we have missed out on that very nice number the only bet that could be pondered here would be the over. What is it, like a million points?...
Buffalo +7... Really a whole TD? Why do I get the feeling that the crowd should be screaming for Austin Boucher to take over Dysert's job at QB. That's just my head though but realistically the RedHawks have no run game so you can't blame Dysert, YET.
West Virginia -7... After teh Mountaneers blowout loss, it could be a quick regrouping to take out frustrations on this Rutger's team. Just a simple thought...
Wake Forest @ North Carolina over 53.5... Just a small lean here...
Tulane @ ECU... Wat to expect in this one is like flipping a coin IMO. Most expected ECU to come into the season as an over team but they have dissapointed many thus far as their offense and Dominic Davis have been complete dud's all season. Until the past couple weeks. Now what do you expect from this ECU squad? Because I have no freaking clue...
Iowa -16... Do you really need an explanation as to how bad Minny is. how on earth did they muster just a 2pt loss to USC to start the season?
Georgia -2.5... Hard to believe Florida is going to rebound this week on the road @ Georgia. I'm just not seeing it happen...
These were al 1pm games to 3:30pm games. I will move along the remaining chunk of games shortly...