We had our 2nd winning week in a row after going 5-3 in week 2, overall 9-8. Let's look at some numbers:
-3 Azst 41 13 51 80
Texst 26 67 69 170
Azst opened as 3 pt Fav, currently the line has switched to Texst -2.5 . Based on the numbers we have Texst better in total off at 26 vs 41 Azst Def is 13 Vs 67 and AZst is better in Sagarin rank and Sched strength at 51 vs 69 and 80 vs 170.
You always need to consider the opening lines (i Use madduxsports.com via bookmaker. On paper we have Azst basically better in every category except Total Off.
I want to look at my history and find games with similar situations and similar opening lines. I did that and there were quite a few;however, tonites game the line switched to the home team being favored so i narrowed my search and found a similar situation with similar numbers, same opening line and where the fav became the home team. The game I found was between Fresno St and Sjose st, Sjoste st won the game 16-17.
I think the 2.5 pts may come into play tonight - I'm rolling with Az st.
We had our 2nd winning week in a row after going 5-3 in week 2, overall 9-8. Let's look at some numbers:
-3 Azst 41 13 51 80
Texst 26 67 69 170
Azst opened as 3 pt Fav, currently the line has switched to Texst -2.5 . Based on the numbers we have Texst better in total off at 26 vs 41 Azst Def is 13 Vs 67 and AZst is better in Sagarin rank and Sched strength at 51 vs 69 and 80 vs 170.
You always need to consider the opening lines (i Use madduxsports.com via bookmaker. On paper we have Azst basically better in every category except Total Off.
I want to look at my history and find games with similar situations and similar opening lines. I did that and there were quite a few;however, tonites game the line switched to the home team being favored so i narrowed my search and found a similar situation with similar numbers, same opening line and where the fav became the home team. The game I found was between Fresno St and Sjose st, Sjoste st won the game 16-17.
I think the 2.5 pts may come into play tonight - I'm rolling with Az st.
We got the winner last night- oh yeah!!! Let's look at some numbers:
57.5 Unlv 21 41 49 171
-8.5 Kansas 54 27 28 143
Kansas opened as 8.5 Fav currently 9. Unlv is better in total off at 21 vs 54. Kansas is better in Total Def 27 vs 41; sagarin rank 28 vs 49; and Sched strength at 143 vs 171.
When you find situations where the home team is better in 3 categories and the away team is better in just total off, and have the same opening line of -8.5 for the home team. The data i've collected indicates take the away team with the 9 pts.
My play:
2. UNLV +9
3. small parlay Unlv +9 to Under 57.5 pays 2.58 to 1
We got the winner last night- oh yeah!!! Let's look at some numbers:
57.5 Unlv 21 41 49 171
-8.5 Kansas 54 27 28 143
Kansas opened as 8.5 Fav currently 9. Unlv is better in total off at 21 vs 54. Kansas is better in Total Def 27 vs 41; sagarin rank 28 vs 49; and Sched strength at 143 vs 171.
When you find situations where the home team is better in 3 categories and the away team is better in just total off, and have the same opening line of -8.5 for the home team. The data i've collected indicates take the away team with the 9 pts.
My play:
2. UNLV +9
3. small parlay Unlv +9 to Under 57.5 pays 2.58 to 1
lol your probably right been sinning since i was 9 when my friend scotty and I bet my dad 5 bucks - we had wash he had Minn- we won been sinning since:) BOL bud
lol your probably right been sinning since i was 9 when my friend scotty and I bet my dad 5 bucks - we had wash he had Minn- we won been sinning since:) BOL bud
you gotta get over the self hating stuff. My philosophy in life if it helps you: My premise - All life is are choices and consequences (learned that in my stats class age 19 - students came in late professor said - if you come in late you must sit in the first row as all life is are choices and consequences.
1. Key to life understanding - you don't understand the importance of brushing your teeth before you go on a date-you may not get kissed.
2. How do you get thru life - Attitude - none of these games are over yet - take the right attitude
3. Whats the key to life balance - don't get to high or low
4. Always ask why how can i get better at sportsbetting started researching things - it's helped me tremendously
you are not cursed - just chill and step back and think and don't be in a rush to make a wager.
you gotta get over the self hating stuff. My philosophy in life if it helps you: My premise - All life is are choices and consequences (learned that in my stats class age 19 - students came in late professor said - if you come in late you must sit in the first row as all life is are choices and consequences.
1. Key to life understanding - you don't understand the importance of brushing your teeth before you go on a date-you may not get kissed.
2. How do you get thru life - Attitude - none of these games are over yet - take the right attitude
3. Whats the key to life balance - don't get to high or low
4. Always ask why how can i get better at sportsbetting started researching things - it's helped me tremendously
you are not cursed - just chill and step back and think and don't be in a rush to make a wager.
Good words of advice. Best of luck to you today I've had a heater to start the season but I'm afraid my first posted play in LSU have a long uphill climb. I'm exercising that balance you cited above lol.
Good words of advice. Best of luck to you today I've had a heater to start the season but I'm afraid my first posted play in LSU have a long uphill climb. I'm exercising that balance you cited above lol.
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