Disappointed in myself last week for posting a ML play on LSU that clobbered my week due to the high price. Moving forward this year I will NOT be posting anything above -150 on a favorite on the ML, and even those will be rare. Apologies to anyone whom it cost money for though I do realize most the forum was on USC.
Moving on, been a great start to NFL and hoping to keep things rolling a bit in NCAAF. LOTS of games today and not much I'm liking early but wanted to post a few plays then I will add throughout the day. I have now been bamboozled by weather delays twice this year so also going to assess that when posting a total.
CINCINNAIT (-1.5): Tough to win on the road anywhere but even more in Cincinnati for a home opener. I think the line is a little low and at this price need to only guarantee a win for the Bearcats against a Pittsburgh team that I think keeps it close but ultimately folds
OVER 60.5 (BOISE STATE/OREGON): The Ducks need to show they will score and I think they do that against a Broncos defense that was woeful last week and I do not see completely improving their position this week. The BSU offense will be able to move the ball as well and I expect a high scoring affair here. Getting this one in now regardless of what weather might turn up
That's it for the moment. Will be back and adding but want to get these out. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Disappointed in myself last week for posting a ML play on LSU that clobbered my week due to the high price. Moving forward this year I will NOT be posting anything above -150 on a favorite on the ML, and even those will be rare. Apologies to anyone whom it cost money for though I do realize most the forum was on USC.
Moving on, been a great start to NFL and hoping to keep things rolling a bit in NCAAF. LOTS of games today and not much I'm liking early but wanted to post a few plays then I will add throughout the day. I have now been bamboozled by weather delays twice this year so also going to assess that when posting a total.
CINCINNAIT (-1.5): Tough to win on the road anywhere but even more in Cincinnati for a home opener. I think the line is a little low and at this price need to only guarantee a win for the Bearcats against a Pittsburgh team that I think keeps it close but ultimately folds
OVER 60.5 (BOISE STATE/OREGON): The Ducks need to show they will score and I think they do that against a Broncos defense that was woeful last week and I do not see completely improving their position this week. The BSU offense will be able to move the ball as well and I expect a high scoring affair here. Getting this one in now regardless of what weather might turn up
That's it for the moment. Will be back and adding but want to get these out. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Thanks will have a few more later on just so hard to be up and alert and assessing and on PST. I do a lot of research leading into Saturday but admittedly will now wait for weather and stuff after this past week's plays saw two delays affect the total. At least imo it did.
Thanks will have a few more later on just so hard to be up and alert and assessing and on PST. I do a lot of research leading into Saturday but admittedly will now wait for weather and stuff after this past week's plays saw two delays affect the total. At least imo it did.
Games looking alright, going to add to the slate well ahead of the kickoffs....
CALIFORNIA (+12): It's rare that Cal heads east but when they do, they seem to do well. In fact, they have covered their past FIVE straight games played in the EST/CST zone. And since 2005, they are actually 8-4 ATS playing on the other coast. From a matchup perspective, this isn't the same Auburn team you have been used to in past years, they are still trying to get back on solid footing. I dont see them outright losing here but I also think California is better than the 12 point advantage they are being granted. I'll comfortably grab the points here.
TENNESSEE FH (-5.5)...BIG PLAY: I read a stat that Josh Heupel (TN) coached teams over the 6 years he has coached are a staggering 41-17-2 ATS in the first half! Says a lot about how he gets his teams prepared for the game and it's part of his coaching system, not just blind luck. I like the Volunteers a LOT here as I think they come out trying to get out fast and build the lead on a neutral field that, let's face it, might be populated with more Tennessee fans than NC State fans despite it being played in North Carolina. This will be my first big play, I fully believe Tennessee is the better team with a better defense and a better QB. Throw in Heupel's prep and I'm making this a big play.
Looking at two other games, not sure if I will post them or not. For now trying to somehow get the added OK State OVER but seems like it would be another luck job to pull it off. Cincinnati looking really good though so hoping to round out a winning day with the last 3 plays. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Games looking alright, going to add to the slate well ahead of the kickoffs....
CALIFORNIA (+12): It's rare that Cal heads east but when they do, they seem to do well. In fact, they have covered their past FIVE straight games played in the EST/CST zone. And since 2005, they are actually 8-4 ATS playing on the other coast. From a matchup perspective, this isn't the same Auburn team you have been used to in past years, they are still trying to get back on solid footing. I dont see them outright losing here but I also think California is better than the 12 point advantage they are being granted. I'll comfortably grab the points here.
TENNESSEE FH (-5.5)...BIG PLAY: I read a stat that Josh Heupel (TN) coached teams over the 6 years he has coached are a staggering 41-17-2 ATS in the first half! Says a lot about how he gets his teams prepared for the game and it's part of his coaching system, not just blind luck. I like the Volunteers a LOT here as I think they come out trying to get out fast and build the lead on a neutral field that, let's face it, might be populated with more Tennessee fans than NC State fans despite it being played in North Carolina. This will be my first big play, I fully believe Tennessee is the better team with a better defense and a better QB. Throw in Heupel's prep and I'm making this a big play.
Looking at two other games, not sure if I will post them or not. For now trying to somehow get the added OK State OVER but seems like it would be another luck job to pull it off. Cincinnati looking really good though so hoping to round out a winning day with the last 3 plays. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
What a collapse by Cincinnati! I feel like I got lucky and unlucky within the span of minutes to push the first two plays. Brutal losses to greet me but at least we are getting some more wins!
And I'm not sure what line the FH is at for others but -5.5 is what both my services are offering on Tennessee
What a collapse by Cincinnati! I feel like I got lucky and unlucky within the span of minutes to push the first two plays. Brutal losses to greet me but at least we are getting some more wins!
And I'm not sure what line the FH is at for others but -5.5 is what both my services are offering on Tennessee
2-1 on the day with two more to go. Interesting day, will there be more upsets? I almost pulled the trigger on South Florida but it's hard to gage Alabama given all the changes. I think they are pretty awesome too, personally, so another reason to not go against them.
Anyways, hoping everyone is having a strong day. Really liking Tennessee FH and might have another play upcoming
2-1 on the day with two more to go. Interesting day, will there be more upsets? I almost pulled the trigger on South Florida but it's hard to gage Alabama given all the changes. I think they are pretty awesome too, personally, so another reason to not go against them.
Anyways, hoping everyone is having a strong day. Really liking Tennessee FH and might have another play upcoming
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.