One of my favorite scenarios on display with the Rams and Buffaloes in week 1. CSU got the extra practice time after the season with their bowl appearance in December. Not only that, but they pulled off a miracle which only boosts the confidence. CU on the other hand, had yet another dismal season, and the move to the Pac-12 is looking worse and worse by the season. Although the Rams are losing a ton on the O-Line, I think they bring in enough talent on that line to offset some of the losses. The return of Garrett Grayson, Kivon Cartwright, and Rashard Higgins should help the offense through the air, and the addition of Dee Hart at Running Back is huge for CSU. He brings a big, nasty presence to the Rams running game, and I think it will help CSU keep control of the ball. He isn't technically the starter, but I think he ends up as the number 1 when all is said and done.
Even though the Rams are losing talent up front on defense also, they are not losing the leadership of Max Morgan. He keys the defense, and if healthy, he will help the Rams D keep some of these lower octane offenses from running up big numbers. The linebackers and the secondary are experienced, and they should be much improved from last year.
On the CU side of things, the one threat that always scared me to death in these CU/CSU games is now gone. Paul Richardson absolutely torched the Rams with his speed, and it didn’t hurt that the Rams seemed to lose track of him on multiple occasions. When your best offensive weapon goes from Paul Richardson to Nelson Spruce, you have some problems.
Mike MacIntyre is most likely going to get this CU team to at least a .500 level at some point, but this is still a terrible football team. There are too many edges for the Rams that lead me to believe they walk away with this one.
Taking the Rams +3, and will hammer the Moneyline when it comes out.
Good luck on the season folks!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
One of my favorite scenarios on display with the Rams and Buffaloes in week 1. CSU got the extra practice time after the season with their bowl appearance in December. Not only that, but they pulled off a miracle which only boosts the confidence. CU on the other hand, had yet another dismal season, and the move to the Pac-12 is looking worse and worse by the season. Although the Rams are losing a ton on the O-Line, I think they bring in enough talent on that line to offset some of the losses. The return of Garrett Grayson, Kivon Cartwright, and Rashard Higgins should help the offense through the air, and the addition of Dee Hart at Running Back is huge for CSU. He brings a big, nasty presence to the Rams running game, and I think it will help CSU keep control of the ball. He isn't technically the starter, but I think he ends up as the number 1 when all is said and done.
Even though the Rams are losing talent up front on defense also, they are not losing the leadership of Max Morgan. He keys the defense, and if healthy, he will help the Rams D keep some of these lower octane offenses from running up big numbers. The linebackers and the secondary are experienced, and they should be much improved from last year.
On the CU side of things, the one threat that always scared me to death in these CU/CSU games is now gone. Paul Richardson absolutely torched the Rams with his speed, and it didn’t hurt that the Rams seemed to lose track of him on multiple occasions. When your best offensive weapon goes from Paul Richardson to Nelson Spruce, you have some problems.
Mike MacIntyre is most likely going to get this CU team to at least a .500 level at some point, but this is still a terrible football team. There are too many edges for the Rams that lead me to believe they walk away with this one.
Taking the Rams +3, and will hammer the Moneyline when it comes out.
Love the under in this one. Last year it got to 68 with 4 TDs over 50 yards. Paul Richardson was completely wide open on both of his TDs. CSU should control the clock on a couple of drives to buy us the time we need to keep this one under.
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Love the under in this one. Last year it got to 68 with 4 TDs over 50 yards. Paul Richardson was completely wide open on both of his TDs. CSU should control the clock on a couple of drives to buy us the time we need to keep this one under.
Ole Miss -10 – Me and everyone else on Ole Miss. The Broncos actually have a lot of returning starters coming back, but they were showing signs of falling off on defense last year, and I think a start against an SEC team, in SEC country is going to go poorly for Boise. The biggest loss of all for Boise is Chris Petersen. I think he is smart enough to game plan for a team like Ole Miss, but even last year, this Boise team was getting stomped by better teams. This just isn’t the same team offensively like two and three years ago. Now this team has an average offense and defense. Ajayi is a guy that excels when he is able to run between the tackles, and I don’t see him doing that much against this Ole Miss front four. If Ajayi can’t get going, Boise is going to be pretty easy to stop. Rebels should be able to move up and down the field, and I think they make a statement against Boise. If Chris Petersen was still the coach, I might hesitate to go against Boise, but there is no way a guy with one year of coaching experience is going to keep this team in the game with Ole Miss.
Temple +14 – PJ Walker and Kenneth Harper are two of the better players that people most likely have never heard of. Harper can grind out 3-4 yards at will, and that is going to be exactly what Temple will need to keep this one close. Even though they were 2-10 last year, they were a scrappy bunch that was solid against the spread down the stretch last year, and I think if Walker can keep his mistakes to a minimum, they cover this easily, and possible pull off the win. They will have to overcome their kicking woes, which won’t help much on the road, but I think they have enough to keep pace with a Vandy team that lost a lot of key pieces.
Temple Moneyline +420
Houston/UTSA over 55 – John O’Korn to Deontay Greenberry all day.
Wash State/Rutgers over 62- When Rutgers gets together with these uptempo teams, they adjust and play the same speed. I can see this game being exactly like last year’s Fresno/Rutgers game. Mike Leach will have Halliday throwing 50+ times. The best part about this total, is that even if WSU is leading late, they will continue tossing the ball around. With all of the terrible decision making that Leach is known for, I think Wazzu finds a way to lose this one.
Rutgers Moneyline +250 – Shootout where Mike Leach is on the opposite sideline. Gottago with the dog here.
Colorado State Moneyline +120 – Another long season for the Buffs begins. Loss of Paul Richardson is too huge for CU.
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Ole Miss -10 – Me and everyone else on Ole Miss. The Broncos actually have a lot of returning starters coming back, but they were showing signs of falling off on defense last year, and I think a start against an SEC team, in SEC country is going to go poorly for Boise. The biggest loss of all for Boise is Chris Petersen. I think he is smart enough to game plan for a team like Ole Miss, but even last year, this Boise team was getting stomped by better teams. This just isn’t the same team offensively like two and three years ago. Now this team has an average offense and defense. Ajayi is a guy that excels when he is able to run between the tackles, and I don’t see him doing that much against this Ole Miss front four. If Ajayi can’t get going, Boise is going to be pretty easy to stop. Rebels should be able to move up and down the field, and I think they make a statement against Boise. If Chris Petersen was still the coach, I might hesitate to go against Boise, but there is no way a guy with one year of coaching experience is going to keep this team in the game with Ole Miss.
Temple +14 – PJ Walker and Kenneth Harper are two of the better players that people most likely have never heard of. Harper can grind out 3-4 yards at will, and that is going to be exactly what Temple will need to keep this one close. Even though they were 2-10 last year, they were a scrappy bunch that was solid against the spread down the stretch last year, and I think if Walker can keep his mistakes to a minimum, they cover this easily, and possible pull off the win. They will have to overcome their kicking woes, which won’t help much on the road, but I think they have enough to keep pace with a Vandy team that lost a lot of key pieces.
Temple Moneyline +420
Houston/UTSA over 55 – John O’Korn to Deontay Greenberry all day.
Wash State/Rutgers over 62- When Rutgers gets together with these uptempo teams, they adjust and play the same speed. I can see this game being exactly like last year’s Fresno/Rutgers game. Mike Leach will have Halliday throwing 50+ times. The best part about this total, is that even if WSU is leading late, they will continue tossing the ball around. With all of the terrible decision making that Leach is known for, I think Wazzu finds a way to lose this one.
Rutgers Moneyline +250 – Shootout where Mike Leach is on the opposite sideline. Gottago with the dog here.
Colorado State Moneyline +120 – Another long season for the Buffs begins. Loss of Paul Richardson is too huge for CU.
Tough game. I lean to CU due to them having more experience along both lines. Powell should be able to pound the Rams front which will open up play action for Liufau.
Like the Temple pick, they should be a good dog play all year.
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Tough game. I lean to CU due to them having more experience along both lines. Powell should be able to pound the Rams front which will open up play action for Liufau.
Like the Temple pick, they should be a good dog play all year.
ST. Jude Pirate, you may want to think about Florida game instead of 1st Half. Muschamp will have something to prove this season, a new OC means they will probably keep the 1st string in longer than usual and next week is another cupcake so no need to rest them in this one. Hope this helps.
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ST. Jude Pirate, you may want to think about Florida game instead of 1st Half. Muschamp will have something to prove this season, a new OC means they will probably keep the 1st string in longer than usual and next week is another cupcake so no need to rest them in this one. Hope this helps.
Cu opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around he same number. Looking at numbers from last year - Colst is better in Total off., Total def. Sagarin rank.....while CU is only better in sagarin schedule strength with 6. History has shown - when the home team has a single digit schedule strength (6) vice a team with a significant difference (99)......and the home team is only better in that category and Vegas has made them the home team the favorite......the home team should get the victory and the cover. I recognize it's a new season but I find in the first week of the season....last years stats apply to the first week of the season. Either way good luck to you.
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I'd be careful with the Col st game - here's why:
Col st 25 83 71 99
3 Cu 92 111 75 6
Cu opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around he same number. Looking at numbers from last year - Colst is better in Total off., Total def. Sagarin rank.....while CU is only better in sagarin schedule strength with 6. History has shown - when the home team has a single digit schedule strength (6) vice a team with a significant difference (99)......and the home team is only better in that category and Vegas has made them the home team the favorite......the home team should get the victory and the cover. I recognize it's a new season but I find in the first week of the season....last years stats apply to the first week of the season. Either way good luck to you.
Cu opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around he same number. Looking at numbers from last year - Colst is better in Total off., Total def. Sagarin rank.....while CU is only better in sagarin schedule strength with 6. History has shown - when the home team has a single digit schedule strength (6) vice a team with a significant difference (99)......and the home team is only better in that category and Vegas has made them the home team the favorite......the home team should get the victory and the cover. I recognize it's a new season but I find in the first week of the season....last years stats apply to the first week of the season. Either way good luck to you.
This line is based on the names on the jersey and the Buffs being in the Pac 12. The average fan doesnt know or care of the stats you speak of.
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Quote Originally Posted by TheBuddah:
I'd be careful with the Col st game - here's why:
Col st 25 83 71 99
3 Cu 92 111 75 6
Cu opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around he same number. Looking at numbers from last year - Colst is better in Total off., Total def. Sagarin rank.....while CU is only better in sagarin schedule strength with 6. History has shown - when the home team has a single digit schedule strength (6) vice a team with a significant difference (99)......and the home team is only better in that category and Vegas has made them the home team the favorite......the home team should get the victory and the cover. I recognize it's a new season but I find in the first week of the season....last years stats apply to the first week of the season. Either way good luck to you.
This line is based on the names on the jersey and the Buffs being in the Pac 12. The average fan doesnt know or care of the stats you speak of.
Cu opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around he same number. Looking at numbers from last year - Colst is better in Total off., Total def. Sagarin rank.....while CU is only better in sagarin schedule strength with 6. History has shown - when the home team has a single digit schedule strength (6) vice a team with a significant difference (99)......and the home team is only better in that category and Vegas has made them the home team the favorite......the home team should get the victory and the cover. I recognize it's a new season but I find in the first week of the season....last years stats apply to the first week of the season. Either way good luck to you.
Neutral site.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by TheBuddah]
I'd be careful with the Col st game - here's why:
Col st 25 83 71 99
3 Cu 92 111 75 6
Cu opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around he same number. Looking at numbers from last year - Colst is better in Total off., Total def. Sagarin rank.....while CU is only better in sagarin schedule strength with 6. History has shown - when the home team has a single digit schedule strength (6) vice a team with a significant difference (99)......and the home team is only better in that category and Vegas has made them the home team the favorite......the home team should get the victory and the cover. I recognize it's a new season but I find in the first week of the season....last years stats apply to the first week of the season. Either way good luck to you.
Train.....I wish you the best of luck this season. And I agree the average fan doesn't care. I wish I knew what exactly made up the opening line....yes i'd agree pac 12 vice....the mountain west has some degree of it but not everything....so all we can do is what you said before....."I gamble today so I can gamble tomorrow"......and this is my method to allow me the success to do that.
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Train.....I wish you the best of luck this season. And I agree the average fan doesn't care. I wish I knew what exactly made up the opening line....yes i'd agree pac 12 vice....the mountain west has some degree of it but not everything....so all we can do is what you said before....."I gamble today so I can gamble tomorrow"......and this is my method to allow me the success to do that.
I like CSU rather easy actually, The Buffalos program has just been terrible while CSU has looked much better (from last season) im not concerned about numbers and statistics but the visual CSU is better team in this rival game
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I like CSU rather easy actually, The Buffalos program has just been terrible while CSU has looked much better (from last season) im not concerned about numbers and statistics but the visual CSU is better team in this rival game
Baldwin has always had Baers number...csu might pull it out, but CU is a little unknown as they get the players that had to sit a year. CU will be better, but still struggle in PAC whatever it is now.
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Baldwin has always had Baers number...csu might pull it out, but CU is a little unknown as they get the players that had to sit a year. CU will be better, but still struggle in PAC whatever it is now.
Tough call here but should side with taking points....Game is being played at Invesco in Denver no HFA.......CSU going to miss that great RB....by far CSU's bowl win down 12 to wsu with 3 mins left was great comeback thanx to wacko Leach throwing the ball......Good luck with your picks, they all look solid...
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Tough call here but should side with taking points....Game is being played at Invesco in Denver no HFA.......CSU going to miss that great RB....by far CSU's bowl win down 12 to wsu with 3 mins left was great comeback thanx to wacko Leach throwing the ball......Good luck with your picks, they all look solid...
BOL. Still can't get over that 7 point teaser I needed with Colorado State +10 last year @Utah State and Grayson decided to have the worst game of his career and they ended up losing 13-0. Probably one of the most painstaking games I had to endure last year
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BOL. Still can't get over that 7 point teaser I needed with Colorado State +10 last year @Utah State and Grayson decided to have the worst game of his career and they ended up losing 13-0. Probably one of the most painstaking games I had to endure last year
Good write-up Greedy. Agree that Grayson and co. should be able to put up points even with the new look O-line and Morgan, Davis, and James should keep the buffs in check on the defensive side. hit CSU ML this morning myself at +130.
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Good write-up Greedy. Agree that Grayson and co. should be able to put up points even with the new look O-line and Morgan, Davis, and James should keep the buffs in check on the defensive side. hit CSU ML this morning myself at +130.
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