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Dr. Strangelove Week 3

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Posted: #1

YTD: 3-2

 

Central Michigan +19.5

 

 

 
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Posted: #2

I am on it 

 

clover

 

an_cheers

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Posted: #3

@DrStrangelove

 Definitely on my radar.  What do you think of Oregon St. as a running dog?  I like em a lot this week over Oregon.

 
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Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:

@DrStrangelove  Definitely on my radar.  What do you think of Oregon St. as a running dog?  I like em a lot this week over Oregon.
Given the way the Ducks have played on offense thus far, it is a possibilty OSU could be a running dog. The only thing keeping me from playing it is the level of competition that OSU has faced to this point. This is why I like to wait until I have at least month of games in the database before I start looking at the PRD's (probable running dogs). OSU's defense with only one starter returning concerns me a little in this game. Oregon is having the same problems on their offensive line as Oklahoma is, in trying to get a few newcomers to gel with each other in their blocking schemes. Boise was a good test for them last week. So will we see some improvement this week? Maybe. I'm not sure at this point how well OSU's D compares to Boise's D. I admit, I'm very tempted to play OSU small. My ATS formulas have Oregon as one of my biggest "play against" teams this year after winning 10 games ATS last year. Those kind of DD win seasons NEVER happen two years in a row in my experience. Mainly because of overhype, the pressure of high expectations, and this new NIL makes for a lot of different moving parts from season to season. The Ducks are 0-2 ATS at this point, but the "their due for a cover" angle scares me a little here. BOL with the Beavers. I hope you win. 

 
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Posted: #5

GLpeace_5  on your play have a good game mah man @DrStrangelove peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #6

 

@DrStrangelove

 peace_5 clover

 
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Posted: #7

bol

 

ole 

 

pal

 

clover

 
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Posted: #8

Good luck Dr.  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #9

Seeing some MAC love early in the year which is cool and of course, I always think of my horse racing/NCAAF bud in ..... I was thinking the opposite on this game due to their defense but there are a few good cappers like yourself who spotted this one

 

N. Illinois started the snowball down the hill...

 

Good luck Doc....watching this one with interest an_cheers

Proving is truth. Talk is cheap.
 
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Posted: #10

Thanks guys!

 

I was looking at this ASU/Texas St game. With the way ASU has played (so far), they statistically have the better rushing game (PRD?) and better D. The negative here is this is their first road game and they're working off a short week. If it gets to +3 I might put some pizza money down on the Devils. That's about all I want to do with this game...BOL!

 
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Posted: #11

@DrStrangelove

 Yeah, Texas St. +2 was a strong lean for me.  At -2' it's a pass.  Line movement reminds me of the Arky-Okie St. game last week.  Now watch the Bobcats win by one. Lol

 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:

@DrStrangelove  Yeah, Texas St. +2 was a strong lean for me.  At -2' it's a pass.  Line movement reminds me of the Arky-Okie St. game last week.  Now watch the Bobcats win by one. Lol
Lots and lots of Texas money coming in on the game..

 
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Posted: #13

UCLA/Indiana over 45 (-118)

 

I have both teams as slightly weaker on defense this season, and as good or better on offense. I think both teams hit the 20's which should be enough to send this over.

 
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Posted: #14

Nice card peace_5

Any thoughts on Tulane covering vs OK? 

Play the game. Don’t let the game play you.
 
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Posted: #15

@DrStrangelove

 have you looked into the Arizona vs Kansas St game? I believe Arizona gets it done Kansas St is a bit overrated because on their comeback vs Tulane. Tulane should have won but they fumbled the ball in the 4th quarter.

Thoughts?

 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

Nice card  Any thoughts on Tulane covering vs OK?
I think the OU defense will be too much for Tulane. But I'm not running to the window to lay 2 td's on the Sooner offense. The good news is they MIGHT be getting WR Nick Anderson back this week. So they can only get better with him in the lineup. But I've got to see it to believe it...GL

 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by Bet15:

@DrStrangelove  have you looked into the Arizona vs Kansas St game? I believe Arizona gets it done Kansas St is a bit overrated because on their comeback vs Tulane. Tulane should have won but they fumbled the ball in the 4th quarter. Thoughts?
I agree on KSU being a little overrated, but I think Arizona is too. Both of them are "play against" teams for me this year, and so far both of them are 0-2 ATS. So it's kind of a Mexican standoff of teams that I'm not exactly rushing to the window to bet on. Zona won 10 games ATS last year, so everybody is still in love with them. One thing I know for sure, both of these teams are due for a cover. But in my opinion this line is pretty sharp. Something to keep in mind is the rushing game. Can Arizona outrush KSU and be the running dogs? Hard to say. Despite KSU giving up 342 yards in the passing game to Tulane, the Cats still had 215 yards rushing (6.5 ypc). And now come back home where they have a pretty good ATS record as faves. It should be a good game that will tell us a lot about these teams. GL

 
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Posted: #18

Missouri/BC under 54.5

 
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Posted: #19

Wazzuuup mah manan_cheers GLclover on your plays @DrStrangelove peace_5

 

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Posted: #20

GL Doc!  peace_5

LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #21

Thanks guys! 

I can't believe I've lost 2 points of line value on the CMU play. I didn't see that coming...Now up to 21

 

 
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Posted: #22

@DrStrangelove

 BOL Dr peace_5

 
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Posted: #23

bump for the Doc an_cheers

.
 
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Posted: #24

@westlake888

 @WahooS

Thanks guys. GL today!

 

 
 
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Posted: #25

Georgia St. +9.5

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