Florida and why

Between LSU debacle, and miss st. qb wishing he was someplace else and mich giving up that late touchdown vice a field goal - you just shake your head. We did hit the over in neb, and the stanford gm.  Anyways I took a breather lastnight but let's try to hit them again today.

Record stands at 14-4 (mich +4.5 - for me).  Today, we have the following situation:

         Louisville   47  25   52  88

13.5  Florida      104  5  4    16

This is what I call a 1 A / 3 situation.  Florida is better in 3 categories while Louis. is only better in Total off.  The other categories from left to right - Total def., sagarin rank and sagarin sched. strength.  The line opened up at 13.5 - currently around 14.   Based on the numbers and patterns from previous bowl games played - Florida should dominate and cover.  This is a similar to the game with fsu and nill. lastnight. 

As always good luck to all. 

hav 2 agree agan after ur write up tuesday ....

Good luck buddy

florida dominates on the field but will they even score 14 points? struggled against teams much worse than louisville this year. could even be 20-6 final. but i see more of 24-13 or 27-17

Best of luck Bro

Best of Luck 

Whsbaseball - once again I just look at numbers and follow patterns - does it work every time of course not but percentage wise it has done pretty good.

Thanks for the well wishes all - hopefully we will bring it home. 

GL Buddah

BOL

percentages say that florida won't cover a spread of 14 but will win the game, but those are just percentages. game still has to be played/rigged/moosed, lol

Everyone is saying gators because, Sec over big east, Louisville lost to this team , fla beat that who beat blah blah blah... This game stands on its own, unlike last night this is no athletic mismatch... Half of ville players including teddy bridgewater are from Florida and will be motivated to play Gators... Forget last 4 or so games for cards bridgewater was hurt badly .... He is rested and ready to go... Add in fact that Charlie strong used to be d coord for gators & couple other sec teams... They will be ready... I know Gators have top D, but they have trouble scoring! They beat up Fsu but you seen how poorly Fsu is coached.... Can't lay 14 1/2 with lesser qb and a team that has trouble scoring..

BOL On it!

I'm with you!

I dont' think the Card's has a chance against UF Defense.

Card's weakness is against the run and thats UF strength.

Bol tonight....

really....u must be out of ur skull which team in florida schedule is worst than...Missou.st,FIU,So.Miss,Pitt,south fliorida,temple and kty-- oh yeah  the gators faced kty but they zipped them,meanwhile louiville defense allowed 14pts,

I do enjoy listening to the different perspectives on why one team should cover versus another team - entertaining as well as interesting.  That's the whole reason for the system I use - it takes a lot of the gut feel out of the equation. I see florida sucks on offense 104 out of 120 teams or so but instead of simply looking at that or whether the sec is more dominate than other conferences - let the numbers lead you to a decision and that's what this system tries to do - every game I have posted has been on data, patterns and results of previous scenarios so when I say I use percentages - i'm reffering to previous scenarios and results of those games. 

Anyways if florida and ga tech in basketball cover it will be a good night. Once again good luck all.

  

I couldn't have said it better brother, nice write-up, nice capping, I think Florida will dominate! BOL!! 

Just don't believe in the Budda

Lou +14 5 units and ML 2 units 

I respect all opinions , just think most on this site don't understand how to cap ... We all lose and have bad beats, sometimes you have right side & lose but that's ok... It happens. For anyone to lay 14 & hook with gators just because they play in sec is like sheep being led to slaughter