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Fox's **11/24 Picks and Analysis**

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Posted: #1
NFL/NCAAF: +38,750 (+77.5u) 106-72-2 (60%) ATS/Totals

NBA YTD: -1850 (-3.7u) 36-37-3 (49%) ATS/Totals

NCAAB YTD:  +1,570 (+1.94u) 11-6 (65%) ATS/Totals

1unit= $500
Max Bet = $2000

Week 11/13-11/19:  +13,090   30-16-1 ATS 

Week 11/20-11/26:  -2,450   9-12-1 ATS
Pending Louisville, kings, warriors, suns


Will prolly end up making it 2 straight winning days after a horrid 1-9 start to the week. 8-3-1 run (before tonight's late games) in the last 2 days. 
Feeling good about this NCAAF card today. Here are the picks:
$2000 Florida +7.5 **Max Bet**
This game is going to be a defensive struggle. Turnovers and feild position will play a big role in determining the winner. FL has already experienced 2-3 of these type games this year being in the SEC. They have a couple 2nd half comebacks as well and know how to play 4 qtrs of solid football. I don't see the same thing with FL st. First Fl st. Hasn't played a team close to the defensive capability they are going to see with FL. the gators are bigger, faster and stronger than anyone in the ACC. The Seminoles havnt closed games well either. They let up a huge lead in the loss to NC st, and also let a bad USF team get back in the game late. That's not something I want if I was to lay points, and is another reason why I'm picking up the points with the gators. The Gators are battle tested. They know what it takes to win this game. FL St. is a good football team, but I don't believe they have a TD worth of more talent in them. Take the points, Gators win. Florida Gators win 19-17


 
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$2000 Oklahoma St. +7 **Max Bet**
I like the matchups this game presents. First in the Oklahoma running attack vs. the OK St run defense. I see the Ok st defense limiting Oklahoma ability to run the ball consistently. This will make it tough on Landry jones, especially on 3rd and longs. Landry Jones has def underachieved this year and he will be going up against one of the better defenses he's seen this year. Next I look at the Ok St running attack against the sooner rush defense. WVU put up massive numbers on the ground against the sooners last week. In fact the sooners are giving up around 185yds per game on the ground. That's not good when you are going up against an offense that's average over 200 on the ground per game. In fact in the games where the sooners faced a team that racked up more than 200 yds on the ground they are 0-5 ATS this year. 2 of which were home losses to Kansas St and Notre dame and as a favorite in both games. In games in which the Sooners let up less than 200 on the ground they are 5-0 ATS this year. OK St. should be able to run the ball quite well.  I'll stick with OK St in this one with the points. OK St wins 30-27

$500 Oregon -9.5
Oregon was bottled up against a very talented Stanford defense last week. Look for them to take it out on Oregon St. this week. I expect a 50 spot by the Ducks here. They will still be motivated because there is still a chance for them to make the BCS national championship game. Ducks should roll. It's not a bigger play because they are a sizable favorite on the road in a rivalry game. And there is always a chance of another loss if they let last weeks defeat get to them. Chip Kelly knows what he's doing tho. Ducks should roll here. Oregon wins 50-31


 
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$500 South Carolina +4 
This is another ACC fade. And Im getting points with the SEC team here. Clemson won't be able to have he same success they do on a weekly basis playing in the ACC. SC has dominated this Clemson team the last couple of years. That trend should continue in this one.  Take the points with the bigger, more talented team. SC wins 34-24

$500 Stanford -3
I think Stanford can keep it going from last week. Their defense is one of the best in the nation. I mean they kept the Ducks offense in check, that's not easy to do. If they can stop the Ducks offense, they can stop UCLA. UCLA has a decent team this year, but coming off the big win against USC last week I don't honk they have the experience to get 2 big wins, 2 weeks in a row. Stanford is the more experienced team here. Lay the fg. Stanford wins 27-29
 
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Posted: #4
Stanford wins 27-20***
 
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Posted: #5
GL bro...
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:


$2000 Oklahoma St. +7 **Max Bet**
I like the matchups this game presents. First in the Oklahoma running attack vs. the OK St run defense. I see the Ok st defense limiting Oklahoma ability to run the ball consistently. This will make it tough on Landry jones, especially on 3rd and longs. Landry Jones has def underachieved this year and he will be going up against one of the better defenses he's seen this year. Next I look at the Ok St running attack against the sooner rush defense. WVU put up massive numbers on the ground against the sooners last week. In fact the sooners are giving up around 185yds per game on the ground. That's not good when you are going up against an offense that's average over 200 on the ground per game. In fact in the games where the sooners faced a team that racked up more than 200 yds on the ground they are 0-5 ATS this year. 2 of which were home losses to Kansas St and Notre dame and as a favorite in both games. In games in which the Sooners let up less than 200 on the ground they are 5-0 ATS this year. OK St. should be able to run the ball quite well.  I'll stick with OK St in this one with the points. OK St wins 30-27

$500 Oregon -9.5
Oregon was bottled up against a very talented Stanford defense last week. Look for them to take it out on Oregon St. this week. I expect a 50 spot by the Ducks here. They will still be motivated because there is still a chance for them to make the BCS national championship game. Ducks should roll. It's not a bigger play because they are a sizable favorite on the road in a rivalry game. And there is always a chance of another loss if they let last weeks defeat get to them. Chip Kelly knows what he's doing tho. Ducks should roll here. Oregon wins 50-31


In what world has Landry Jones underachieved? He is having his best year of his career in every statistical category other than TD and yards but cut his interceptions in half and is coming off his best performance  of his career and probably one the most gutsy calls ever on a 4th down check play to win last weeks shootout with 26 seconds to play. OSU gives up 26 pts per game so they are nothing special. Its a rivalry game so anything can happen but after that horrible defensive game against WV I expect OU's defense to play much better. OSU has played 4 road games and gave up 59 to Zona,  41 to Texas and 44 to Kstate. OUCH.

The Florida play is good though.

 
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Posted: #7
Really like SC and Florida
Gambling is only a problem when your losing!
 
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Posted: #8
Nevada.. Your reasoning means nothing to me. Points against means nothing because of the tempo in which OK St. Offense plays with. The other teams get way more possessions, thus more points. I looking at matchups, as well as stats, but if u just look at stats you will get murdered in this business.

Landry jones comment you made is hilarious.

having his best stats EXCEPT FOR TD's and YARDS. Those are pretty important don't you think. 

Post your picks. Read my picks. Comment if you would like. But I don't need some 20 year old bs comments in here. I'm making money. Record speaks for itself. The end 
 
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Posted: #9
And it's was WVU defense. Every Qb has had their best career game on them this year. 
 
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Posted: #10
So we gone to make it all back wright
 
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Ok st games vs. Texas and Arizona were 2 months ago. Totally different team. They did play horrible against Arizona but Texas was a battle. As for the 44 at K state if you actually did your research, which you didn't, you would know that ok st had like 6 turnovers. 2 pick 6 and a kick return against. That's not the defenses fault. 

This is a rivalry, in which they have won the last 2 years, you will see a battle here. 
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by NevadaGamer:

In what world has Landry Jones underachieved? He is having his best year of his career in every statistical category other than TD and yards but cut his interceptions in half and is coming off his best performance  of his career and probably one the most gutsy calls ever on a 4th down check play to win last weeks shootout with 26 seconds to play. OSU gives up 26 pts per game so they are nothing special. Its a rivalry game so anything can happen but after that horrible defensive game against WV I expect OU's defense to play much better. OSU has played 4 road games and gave up 59 to Zona,  41 to Texas and 44 to Kstate. OUCH.

The Florida play is good though.

Its called earth (hope you leave it soon). If he hadnt underacheived, OU would be in the hunt for a NC and he would be in the Hiesman race.....neither is occuring.

You dont know garbage about football. Stop regurgitation stats and other bs your paid service gives you.

 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Nolaboy2:

So we gone to make it all back wright

Have I let you down yet bro? Lol 

Of course man. Gonna kill it
 
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Posted: #14
Bol.
 
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Posted: #15
Train- he's using the WVU game to tell me Jones is a good Qb. Pretty sure every Qb looks like a heisman winner against them lol 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

NFL/NCAAF: +38,750 (+77.5u) 106-72-2 (60%) ATS/Totals

NBA YTD: -1850 (-3.7u) 36-37-3 (49%) ATS/Totals

NCAAB YTD:  +1,570 (+1.94u) 11-6 (65%) ATS/Totals

1unit= $500
Max Bet = $2000

Week 11/13-11/19:  +13,090   30-16-1 ATS 

Week 11/20-11/26:  -2,450   9-12-1 ATS
Pending Louisville, kings, warriors, suns


Will prolly end up making it 2 straight winning days after a horrid 1-9 start to the week. 8-3-1 run (before tonight's late games) in the last 2 days. 
Feeling good about this NCAAF card today. Here are the picks:
$2000 Florida +7.5 **Max Bet**
This game is going to be a defensive struggle. Turnovers and feild position will play a big role in determining the winner. FL has already experienced 2-3 of these type games this year being in the SEC. They have a couple 2nd half comebacks as well and know how to play 4 qtrs of solid football. I don't see the same thing with FL st. First Fl st. Hasn't played a team close to the defensive capability they are going to see with FL. the gators are bigger, faster and stronger than anyone in the ACC. The Seminoles havnt closed games well either. They let up a huge lead in the loss to NC st, and also let a bad USF team get back in the game late. That's not something I want if I was to lay points, and is another reason why I'm picking up the points with the gators. The Gators are battle tested. They know what it takes to win this game. FL St. is a good football team, but I don't believe they have a TD worth of more talent in them. Take the points, Gators win. Florida Gators win 19-17


Not arguing with any of that, but I dont think Florida has seen a defense this good either. I have zero faith in whoever is playing qb for the Gators.....that doesnt bode well playing on the road.

As far as Clemson/SC goes, theres a reason SC is getting points. Road night game and they are missing lots of key guys. They have held the Tigers the last few years, but this group is just that much better and havent regressed at all this seaon.

 

bol

 
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Posted: #17
Damn up 38,000? Like a boss. I wanna go like 25,000 on some of these games tomorrow, especially the under in the nd game. Great d against a freshmen qb. Sounds intriguing. I also like:
Mich/osu over 55
Texas A&M/mizzou over 61
Northwestern -18
What do you think of each of these plays fox. Btw i started sports betting like a couple months ago so yes feel free to school me on why each play is good ir bad and which ones i should be most confident on
 
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Posted: #18
Train- thanks for the input man. We differ in some of our thinking but it's good to get someone's else's perspective. BOL
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

Nevada.. Your reasoning means nothing to me. Points against means nothing because of the tempo in which OK St. Offense plays with. The other teams get way more possessions, thus more points. I looking at matchups, as well as stats, but if u just look at stats you will get murdered in this business.

Landry jones comment you made is hilarious.

having his best stats EXCEPT FOR TD's and YARDS. Those are pretty important don't you think. 

Post your picks. Read my picks. Comment if you would like. But I don't need some 20 year old bs comments in here. I'm making money. Record speaks for itself. The end 

Train stop stalking me seriously do you wait for me to post. You are an absolute joke. You have picked close to 400 games in college football alone. Nobody takes you seriously.

As far as Jones he doesnt have as many TD and yards is because he has attempted 150 less idiot. You are an attention female its why you sit there and say you are betting 2k on this game and that game. Give me a break. Nobody gives 2 craps about how much you are betting on the game. You are making FANTASY money.  Oregon plays twice the tempo but give up less points and over 65% of the points given up were after halftime when they pulled their starters. If you think pts against means nothing you are just stupid. OSU has looked extremely BELOW AVERAGE away with their only win at Kansas by 6 putting up 20 against an extremely tough Jayhawk team. As far as the Kstate game OSU had TURNOVERS. Are you freaking serious?? Turnovers those are completely unheard of in a football game. Earth shattering news I guess OSU always plays a clean game and teams never have to deal with these things called turnovers. Yea teams like LSU with great defenses that cause turnovers that win games for them how do they do it.  Geezzzzzzz

 
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Posted: #20
Also what is a $300 bet is that 69% of 1 unit.
 
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You proved my point with that post. Points against don't matter if your offense throws 2 pick 6 and let's up kick return. That's not the defense letting up points. And when teams get up big garbage yards make points against look worse than reality. Thanks for proving my point. 
 
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Posted: #22
Mods- can you box this guy please. Thx 
 
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Posted: #23
I'm done with you Nevada. I don't need to explain my self to u. My record speaks for itself. Keep losing money and hating on others.  I'm done responding to your childish post. 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by NevadaGamer:

Train stop stalking me seriously do you wait for me to post. You are an absolute joke. You have picked close to 400 games in college football alone. Nobody takes you seriously.

As far as Jones he doesnt have as many TD and yards is because he has attempted 150 less idiot. You are an attention female its why you sit there and say you are betting 2k on this game and that game. Give me a break. Nobody gives 2 craps about how much you are betting on the game. You are making FANTASY money.  Oregon plays twice the tempo but give up less points and over 65% of the points given up were after halftime when they pulled their starters. If you think pts against means nothing you are just stupid. OSU has looked extremely BELOW AVERAGE away with their only win at Kansas by 6 putting up 20 against an extremely tough Jayhawk team. As far as the Kstate game OSU had TURNOVERS. Are you freaking serious?? Turnovers those are completely unheard of in a football game. Earth shattering news I guess OSU always plays a clean game and teams never have to deal with these things called turnovers. Yea teams like LSU with great defenses that cause turnovers that win games for them how do they do it.  Geezzzzzzz

 

Didnt even read it......

 
 
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Posted: #25
[Quote: Originally Poste  Jfox6546] Ok st games vs. Texas and Arizona were 2 months go. Totally different team. They did play horrible against Arizona but Texas was a battle. As for the 44 at K state if you actually did your research, which you didn't, you would know that ok st had like 6 turnovers. 2 pick 6 and a kick return against. That's not the defenses fault. 

This is a rivalry, in which they have won the last 2 years, you will see a battle here. 
[/Quote]
Completely agreed with you that OU cant stop the run worth garbage, thats
      y they got knocked around by kstate & ND.  However, do u feel that
 ok-state has the same big boys up front as ND & K-state.  I didnt look    at the stats, but i dont think they gave up many sacks this year   
This is a true rivalvry, in which OK State has lost 33 out of the last 4 years!  They haave lost the last 2 in Norman.  No matter how over-rated OU is, they seem to bode well against OK st.  The last 2 yrs, ok st managed to do well against ou offensive wise cuz they haad Blackmon & Weeden.

Im just sayin
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