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Freak Pics!!! (Bowl Edition)

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Posted: #301
Are you always on public plays?
 
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Posted: #302
Public's been taking a beating the last few days
 
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Posted: #303

Quote Originally Posted by woodsickle:

No wonder vandy was 6-6.  The SEC is so over-rated.  Another big loser.  The bad thing is i took Auburn and am not feeling good about it.

You do realize that Cincinnati tied for the Big East championship and Vanderbilt is the 9th best team in the SEC right???

 

 
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Posted: #304
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I have been following Auburn pretty closely during the bowl season.  They have had a lot of adversity, but from everything I have been able to tell, they are very motivated for a win tonight.  They have superior talent so their preparedness and state of mind were my main concerns.  But every thing you said is consistent with the opinion I have form about the game.  I'm confident that Auburn wins this game.

Again, thanks for your input.

Hey Jimmy, what are your thoughts on AUB TT 24.5?

 
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Posted: #305

Quote Originally Posted by freeone:

Are you always on public plays?

I have no idea which plays are public and which plays aren't, and honestly couldn't care less.  It has zero impact on the games I play, and it should have zero impact on the games you play.  Sometimes public plays win, sometime they lose.  It does not provide a blueprint for gambling success.  If it did, then we you never have to concern ourselves with the messy details of capping football games.  All we would have to do is fade the public.  Unfortunately that doesn't work.

 

 
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Posted: #306
Quote Originally Posted by cjonesin20:

Hey Jimmy, what are your thoughts on AUB TT 24.5?

I like OVER and OVER for the game.

 

 
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Posted: #307

Adding:

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 49 (2-Unit Play)

 
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Posted: #308
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I have no idea which plays are public and which plays aren't, and honestly couldn't care less.  It has zero impact on the games I play, and it should have zero impact on the games you play.  Sometimes public plays win, sometime they lose.  It does not provide a blueprint for gambling success.  If it did, then we you never have to concern ourselves with the messy details of capping football games.  All we would have to do is fade the public.  Unfortunately that doesn't work.

 

Fade the public !!! That's exactly how books make their money.They fade the public on every game. The problem is we never know which public games are going to be losers.

 
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Posted: #309
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Adding:

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 49 (2-Unit Play)


Posted: 12/31/2011 7:36:56 PM

No good. Off the board 6 minutes before you posted. Blah. lol GL.
 
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Posted: #310
Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:


Posted: 12/31/2011 7:36:56 PM

No good. Off the board 6 minutes before you posted. Blah. lol GL.

Yeah, I made the bet right before kickoff.  Sorry!!! 

 

 
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Posted: #311

Thanks for your OVER input Jimmy, and correct these numbers if they're wrong.

Louisiana +10 +1 Unit

ASU +7.5 (1st Half) -1.05 Units

ASU/Boise UNDER 34 (1st Half) +2 Units

Nevada/USM UNDER 33 (1st Half) +2 Units

Boise -7 (2nd Half) PUSH

Southern Miss -6 +10 Units

Purdue -0.5 (1st Half) +2 Units

Purdue/WMU UNDER 31 (1st Half) -5.5 Units

NC State -0.5 (1st Half) +2 Units

NC State/Louisville OVER 43.5 (Game) +5 Units

NC State/Louisville OVER 22.5 (2nd Half) +2 Units

Notre Dame vs. Florida State -2.5 +10 Units

Toledo TT OVER 37 +1 Unit

Toledo vs. Airforce OVER 69.5 +2 Units

California vs. Texas -2.5 (Hook) +2 Units

Washington vs. Baylor -9 +5 Units

Notre Dame TT UNDER 21 +1 Unit

Tulsa vs. BYU ML +105 +2 Units

Rutgers vs. Iowa State ML -105 -2.1 Units

Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State -6.5 -5.5 Units

Iowa vs. Oklahoma -13.5 +5 Units

Mississippi State UNDER 24 (1st Half) +5 Units

Rutgers Vs. Iowa State OVER 23 (2nd Half) -105 -2.1 Units

Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State -3 (2nd Half) -115 -5.75 Units

Texas A&M vs. Northwestern +10 -2 Units

Cincinnati vs. Vanderbilt -1.5 -10 Units

17-8-1 For a TOTAL PROFIT of +25 Units

PENDING:

Virginia vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook) (5-Unit Play)

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 49 (2-Unit Play)

 

 
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Posted: #312
Quote Originally Posted by Football10:

Fade the public !!! That's exactly how books make their money.They fade the public on every game. The problem is we never know which public games are going to be losers.

Your theory presupposes that books know who will win the game beofore it's played.  Because they don't, your theory fails to hold up to the scrutiny of reality.

 

 
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Posted: #313
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Your theory presupposes that books know who will win the game beofore it's played.  Because they don't, your theory fails to hold up to the scrutiny of reality.

 



Don't waste your time Jimmy, some people will never get it.
 
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Posted: #314

Good Luck Jimmy...I went with Virginia +3 for 8 units...

Tough one to capp'

 
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Posted: #315
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Yeah, I made the bet right before kickoff.  Sorry!!! 

 


haha no worries. GL with it! Happy New Year!
 
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Posted: #316

Adding:

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 27.5 (2nd Half) (2-Unit Play)

 

 
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Posted: #317
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Your theory presupposes that books know who will win the game beofore it's played.  Because they don't, your theory fails to hold up to the scrutiny of reality.

 

There is no theory involved here. What I am saying is that books do fade the public. They take all public bets and let the chips fall where they may. I have been booking longer than you have been alive. Don't try to tell me anything about booking.

 
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Posted: #318

Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:



Don't waste your time Jimmy, some people will never get it.

And what can you tell me about booking since you seem to have all the answers?????????????????????????

 
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Posted: #319
Quote Originally Posted by cjonesin20:

Thanks for your OVER input Jimmy, and correct these numbers if they're wrong.

Louisiana +10 +1 Unit

ASU +7.5 (1st Half) -1.05 Units

ASU/Boise UNDER 34 (1st Half) +2 Units

Nevada/USM UNDER 33 (1st Half) +2 Units

Boise -7 (2nd Half) PUSH

Southern Miss -6 +10 Units

Purdue -0.5 (1st Half) +2 Units

Purdue/WMU UNDER 31 (1st Half) -5.5 Units

NC State -0.5 (1st Half) +2 Units

NC State/Louisville OVER 43.5 (Game) +5 Units

NC State/Louisville OVER 22.5 (2nd Half) +2 Units

Notre Dame vs. Florida State -2.5 +10 Units

Toledo TT OVER 37 +1 Unit

Toledo vs. Airforce OVER 69.5 +2 Units

California vs. Texas -2.5 (Hook) +2 Units

Washington vs. Baylor -9 +5 Units

Notre Dame TT UNDER 21 +1 Unit

Tulsa vs. BYU ML +105 +2 Units

Rutgers vs. Iowa State ML -105 -2.1 Units

Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State -6.5 -5.5 Units

Iowa vs. Oklahoma -13.5 +5 Units

Mississippi State UNDER 24 (1st Half) +5 Units

Rutgers Vs. Iowa State OVER 23 (2nd Half) -105 -2.1 Units

Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State -3 (2nd Half) -115 -5.75 Units

Texas A&M vs. Northwestern +10 -2 Units

Cincinnati vs. Vanderbilt -1.5 -10 Units

17-8-1 For a TOTAL PROFIT of +25 Units

PENDING:

Virginia vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook) (5-Unit Play)

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 49 (2-Unit Play)

 

SUPER RUN.

 
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Posted: #320
went max bet on second half at work on break...so much for the 4th quarter going anywhere.. 

nice call on totals, over, and spread for the game tho jimmy! wish i would have focused more on those! 
 
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Posted: #321
Hey jimmy , what do you think about Houston -7 ? I'm thinking about a big 5u play.

Can't see penn state stoping this Houston whom had a great year, w alot of seniors parting ways they will want to go out and put on a show.

Any thought?
 
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Posted: #322

Todays Recap:

Texas A&M vs. Northwestern +10  -2.2 Units  

Cincinnati vs. Vanderbilt -1.5 *** Best Bet ***  -11 Units 

Virginia vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook)  +5 Units 

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 49  +2 Units 

Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 27.5 (2nd Half) -2.2 Units 

Some tough losses today, particularly the Northwestern game and that 2nd half OVER in the Auburn game.

 

 
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Posted: #323
 another profitable day, jimmy
 
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Posted: #324

Bowl recap:

-8.4 units on the day.    My overall record on "posted" bowl plays is currently 19-9-1 and 2 & 1 on "Best Bets," which is good for +28.70 Units.

Back at it on Monday.

 
 
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Posted: #325
Great Picks! Any lean for the Houston game?
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