Posted:
#301
Are you always on public plays?
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Freak Pics!!! (Bowl Edition)
Posted:
#303
Quote Originally Posted by woodsickle:
No wonder vandy was 6-6. The SEC is so over-rated. Another big loser. The bad thing is i took Auburn and am not feeling good about it.
No wonder vandy was 6-6. The SEC is so over-rated. Another big loser. The bad thing is i took Auburn and am not feeling good about it.
You do realize that Cincinnati tied for the Big East championship and Vanderbilt is the 9th best team in the SEC right???
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Posted:
#304
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
I have been following Auburn pretty closely during the bowl season. They have had a lot of adversity, but from everything I have been able to tell, they are very motivated for a win tonight. They have superior talent so their preparedness and state of mind were my main concerns. But every thing you said is consistent with the opinion I have form about the game. I'm confident that Auburn wins this game.
Again, thanks for your input.
Hey Jimmy, what are your thoughts on AUB TT 24.5?
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Posted:
#305
Quote Originally Posted by freeone:
Are you always on public plays?
Are you always on public plays?
I have no idea which plays are public and which plays aren't, and honestly couldn't care less. It has zero impact on the games I play, and it should have zero impact on the games you play. Sometimes public plays win, sometime they lose. It does not provide a blueprint for gambling success. If it did, then we you never have to concern ourselves with the messy details of capping football games. All we would have to do is fade the public. Unfortunately that doesn't work.
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Posted:
#308
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
I have no idea which plays are public and which plays aren't, and honestly couldn't care less. It has zero impact on the games I play, and it should have zero impact on the games you play. Sometimes public plays win, sometime they lose. It does not provide a blueprint for gambling success. If it did, then we you never have to concern ourselves with the messy details of capping football games. All we would have to do is fade the public. Unfortunately that doesn't work.
Fade the public !!! That's exactly how books make their money.They fade the public on every game. The problem is we never know which public games are going to be losers.
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Posted:
#311
Thanks for your OVER input Jimmy, and correct these numbers if they're wrong.
Louisiana +10
+1 UnitASU +7.5 (1st Half)
-1.05 UnitsASU/Boise UNDER 34 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsNevada/USM UNDER 33 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsBoise -7 (2nd Half)
PUSHSouthern Miss -6
+10 UnitsPurdue -0.5 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsPurdue/WMU UNDER 31 (1st Half)
-5.5 UnitsNC State -0.5 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsNC State/Louisville OVER 43.5 (Game)
+5 UnitsNC State/Louisville OVER 22.5 (2nd Half)
+2 UnitsNotre Dame vs.
Florida State -2.5 +10 UnitsToledo TT
OVER 37 +1 UnitToledo vs. Airforce
OVER 69.5 +2 UnitsCalifornia vs.
Texas -2.5 (Hook) +2 UnitsWashington vs.
Baylor -9 +5 UnitsNotre Dame TT
UNDER 21 +1 UnitTulsa vs.
BYU ML +105 +2 UnitsRutgers vs.
Iowa State ML -105 -2.1 UnitsWake Forest vs.
Mississippi State -6.5 -5.5 UnitsIowa vs.
Oklahoma -13.5 +5 UnitsMississippi State
UNDER 24 (1st Half) +5 UnitsRutgers Vs. Iowa State
OVER 23 (2nd Half) -105 -2.1 UnitsWake Forest vs.
Mississippi State -3 (2nd Half) -115 -5.75 UnitsTexas A&M vs.
Northwestern +10 -2 UnitsCincinnati vs.
Vanderbilt -1.5 -10 Units17-8-1 For a TOTAL PROFIT of +25 Units
PENDING:
Virginia vs.
Auburn -2.5 (Hook) (5-Unit Play)Virginia vs.
Auburn OVER 49 (2-Unit Play)
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Posted:
#312
Quote Originally Posted by Football10:
Fade the public !!! That's exactly how books make their money.They fade the public on every game. The problem is we never know which public games are going to be losers.
Your theory presupposes that books know who will win the game beofore it's played. Because they don't, your theory fails to hold up to the scrutiny of reality.
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Happy New Year!
Posted:
#317
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
Your theory presupposes that books know who will win the game beofore it's played. Because they don't, your theory fails to hold up to the scrutiny of reality.
There is no theory involved here. What I am saying is that books do fade the public. They take all public bets and let the chips fall where they may. I have been booking longer than you have been alive. Don't try to tell me anything about booking.
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Posted:
#319
Quote Originally Posted by cjonesin20:
Thanks for your OVER input Jimmy, and correct these numbers if they're wrong.
Louisiana +10
+1 UnitASU +7.5 (1st Half)
-1.05 UnitsASU/Boise UNDER 34 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsNevada/USM UNDER 33 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsBoise -7 (2nd Half)
PUSHSouthern Miss -6
+10 UnitsPurdue -0.5 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsPurdue/WMU UNDER 31 (1st Half)
-5.5 UnitsNC State -0.5 (1st Half)
+2 UnitsNC State/Louisville OVER 43.5 (Game)
+5 UnitsNC State/Louisville OVER 22.5 (2nd Half)
+2 UnitsNotre Dame vs.
Florida State -2.5 +10 UnitsToledo TT
OVER 37 +1 UnitToledo vs. Airforce
OVER 69.5 +2 UnitsCalifornia vs.
Texas -2.5 (Hook) +2 UnitsWashington vs.
Baylor -9 +5 UnitsNotre Dame TT
UNDER 21 +1 UnitTulsa vs.
BYU ML +105 +2 UnitsRutgers vs.
Iowa State ML -105 -2.1 UnitsWake Forest vs.
Mississippi State -6.5 -5.5 UnitsIowa vs.
Oklahoma -13.5 +5 UnitsMississippi State
UNDER 24 (1st Half) +5 UnitsRutgers Vs. Iowa State
OVER 23 (2nd Half) -105 -2.1 UnitsWake Forest vs.
Mississippi State -3 (2nd Half) -115 -5.75 UnitsTexas A&M vs.
Northwestern +10 -2 UnitsCincinnati vs.
Vanderbilt -1.5 -10 Units17-8-1 For a TOTAL PROFIT of +25 Units
PENDING:
Virginia vs.
Auburn -2.5 (Hook) (5-Unit Play)Virginia vs.
Auburn OVER 49 (2-Unit Play)
SUPER RUN.
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Posted:
#322
Todays Recap:
Texas A&M vs. Northwestern +10 -2.2 Units 
Cincinnati vs. Vanderbilt -1.5 *** Best Bet *** -11 Units
Virginia vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook) +5 Units 
Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 49 +2 Units
Virginia vs. Auburn OVER 27.5 (2nd Half) -2.2 Units
Some tough losses today, particularly the Northwestern game and that 2nd half OVER in the Auburn game.
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My overall record on "posted" bowl plays is currently 19-9-1 and 2 & 1 on "Best Bets," which is good for +28.70 Units.
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