Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
Well, I really don't disagree with anything you've said.
In the SEC championship game I laid the points with LSU, but I said that Georgia's defense matches up pretty well with LSU's smash-mouth attack. I went on to say that the problem is that Georgia's defense just doesn't have enough depth to hang with LSU for 4 quarters. That's exactly how the game played out.
Before last year's Capital One Bowl between Alabama and Michigan State I said that the Spartans smash-mouth style offense played right into the strength of the Alabama defense. We saw what happened.
Now we have Michigan State (still a smash-mouth type of an offense) playing against a Georgia defense that is molded in the image of Alabama's 3-4 defense. Just as I didn't think Michigan State couldn't win a smash-mouth style of game with Alabama last season, I also don't think they can do it against Georgia this season. I don't think this game will be anywhere near the blowout that the Alabama/Michigan State game was last season, but Georgia should win this game.
My biggest concern about this game is betting on a Marc Richt coached team, something I have pretty much avoided like the plague the last few seasons. Nevertheless, I'm going to bite the bullet here and back Richt here.
As far a Weiss is concerned, I think Muschamp couldn't wait to see him hit the bricks. Recall that Weiss wasn't hired by Muschamp but by Florida Athletic Director Jeremy Foley. I think this gives Muschamp the opportunity to hire his own guy - someone who will look up to Muschamp the way an offensive coordinator should. So no, Muschamp won't be coordinating this game tomorrow, and I think that is both good and bad. Good for Florida's long-term success, but probably not good for their upcoming bowl game against Ohio State.
Ohio State, on the other hand, is very motivated from everything I can tell. With them being banned from participating in a bowl next season, the players seem determined to go out in a blaze of glory. I also think the Ohio State's offense is more balanced and mulitiple with Braxton Miller under center.
South Carolina is my favorite side of the day. I think Nebraska's one-dimensional offense will have a tough time moving the ball against a very stout South Carolina defense. And if Martinez starts throwing up some of his wounded-duck passes, expect South Carolina's secondary to feast on some ints.
Again. my main concern here is coaching. Spurrier has been abysmal in bowl games recently. If Spurrier has the cocks ready to play, they should absolutely win this game.
If I had to bet the Okie State game, I would probably have to lay the points with them. What I said about Stanford before they played Oregon still applies. They just don't have the athletes to stay with teams like Oregon or Oklahoma State.
Good stuff.
Regarding uga-msu, you sure msu is going to go smash mouth? I watched that big 10 champ game and both teams weren't afraid to air it out. I just didn't get the impression msu was conservative smash mouth. They opened things up.
Just a really tough call to me on that game. I can see msu winning this thing straight up. I have no doubt last year's embarrassing bowl loss wasn't forgotten.
I agree on the 'richt' factor. Makes me damn nervous backing that guy.
Liked buckeyes from the get go but maybe I'm having SEC homerism prevent me from loving it more. I know muschamp will play good D, so hate betting against teams I know get after it on defense. And if Brantley has a good day they could win it as well.
Agree on again on the Spurrier factor. If that are motivated and show up, should be a one-sided affair? Question is can we count on the visor. I really do think no garcia is the best thing that could have happened to this team.
Also agree on the okie state thing. Luck is a great qb but his surrounding cast is just not great talent. It's amazing he does what he does with what he has to work with. Exactly why the scouts love him. It's just goinig to be too much to keep up with okie state. They will put on a show tonight.