Freak Pics!!! (Week 1)

In Post #1 I explained that I had not done a write-up on the game, but had posted extensively about the game in other threads.  The post that you quote was one of my first after the 24-point line was initially released, and before I had looked at the game closely - something that really can't be done until fall camp begins.  And as I'm sure you are well aware, the Hookies have had a tumultuous fall camp.

What I have said repeatedly about this game is that if I were setting the line on the game, I would make it 24.  I have gone on to say that even at 24 I think Alabama still covers.  Obviously 24 crosses several key numbers, so that would be a much more tenuous bet than -19.5 which is where the line sits right now.

Last season Alabama was favored by 13.5 against Michigan, and beat them by 27.  But at the start of the 4th quarter the score was 34-14, so Michigan was actually within in striking distance of covering that game.  They never really threatened to score again, and Alabama iced it with a 4th quarter touchdown.  The point is that even as dominant as Alabama was in that game, Michigan was still essentially one lucky bounce away from potentially covering.

I think Alabama wins this game by at least 4 touchdowns, so I am supremely confident that Alabama will cover anything under 3.  But this is gambling, and I cannot guarantee that Virginia Tech doesn't get a lucky break that narrows the margin of victory to 21 for example.

My take on the game in a nutshell is that I am very confident that Alabama will score in the 40s, and I don't believe Virginia Tech's offense can generate more than about 7 or 10 points.  I think an absolute worst case scenario would be a score of something like 38-14 which would be a 24-point margin of victory.

Lastly, I would say do not bet more than you are comfortable betting.  If you aren't comfortable betting Alabama at whatever the prevailing line is, then don't - or at least proceed cautiously.  I don't tell people how much to bet.  By posting, I am simply letting everyone know what I am doing.  If you decide to mimic that, you do so at your own risk.

Originally Posted by Thoy21:

Jimmy.... every time you post I can't help but stare at the shelf of that female in your avi. 

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



She is stunning no doubt!!! 

I have fell in love with Jimmy because of that avatar pic.

I try not to look at it when I ready Jimmy's posts.