Freak Pics!!! (Week 13)

jimmy,

I am right there with you on some plays (USCe, LSU, UGA and UF). Howevah, the main reason I opened this thread was to see a long write-up on the the 'Iron Bowl'.

Love the Rutgers/ Pitt Under first half and the Florida matchup under first half.

Rutgers and Pittsburgh both play a conservative style offense and hard nosed defence. And both are SLOW starters this year (Rutgers especially).

In the Florida matchup I think both teams defences will overwhelm the other's offences. Gators are really big and physical in their front seven, and the Seminoles are particularly savy in their secondary (Xavier Rhodes is a top 5 defensive back in all of NCAAF IMO). In a low scoring affair it also makes sense to take the points, which I see you are doing.

Ballsy pick taking the Gamecocks

I think the over is an absolute lock in that game. Could see 85 or 90 being put up.

BOL today brother, I like Northern Illinois and Washington U big today as well

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:





No long write-up.  Honestly, before the season began I had planned to "Max Bet" this game.  I expected Auburn to be bad this season, but they even exceeded my expectations.  That has pushed the line through the roof, and I think taken some of the edge off this game.  I think Alabama will probably cover this spread, but I'm not overly confident.  I honestly think Saban will do what he needs to do to win the game, and play for the SEC Championship Game.  I just don't see him leaving starters in the game and running up the score.  If Auburn can manage to score a touchdown in this game, I think they'll cover.

IF I take a stab at it, it wil be on Auburn. This is what I put in my thread:

I think the number is high but it is right about where I thought it would be. I have not looked into this game a lot so far since I just got back from blastin' ducks in Arkansas (if you ever get the chance to go, do it). Off the top of my head, I see no angle for Auburn except maybe special teams. The advantage Alabama has on O and D far out weigh any advantage Auburn may have on special teams. I think Alabama can name the score, right down to how many Auburn has. Alabama being back in the BCS mix may help, in that HCNS will need/want to keep everyone healthy more than avenge The Comeback from 2010. Currently no play, but 31.5 is a lot of points in a rivalry game...

Sounds a lot like yours. The Auburn TT is 7 (-115) at my book. So, the books agree with you as far as Auburn covering if they can (back door) a TD. Wasn't the WKU line 33ish, too?

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:





No long write-up.  Honestly, before the season began I had planned to "Max Bet" this game.  I expected Auburn to be bad this season, but they even exceeded my expectations.  That has pushed the line through the roof, and I think taken some of the edge off this game.  I think Alabama will probably cover this spread, but I'm not overly confident.  I honestly think Saban will do what he needs to do to win the game, and play for the SEC Championship Game.  I just don't see him leaving starters in the game and running up the score.  If Auburn can manage to score a touchdown in this game, I think they'll cover.

LIKE ALWAYS YOUR CORRECT FREAK. BAMA WONT KEEP 1ST UNIT THE WHOLE GAME. SO HAVE YOU THOUGHT ABOUT JUST TOUCHING THE 1ST HALF ON BAMA SPREAD OR EVEN JUZ TT. IN MY BOOK THEY STILL DONT HAVE IT BUT IF COMES OUT LIKE -17PTS OR LESS OR BAME TT 20PTS OR LESS. AM ON DAT MORE THEN ANYTHING. WHAT DO YOU THINK FREAK ??

MAD RESPECT..