*** Freak Pics!!! *** (Week 3)

And there it is!!!  The village idiot has spoken!!!

Because it is quite obvious that you are a few fries short of a Happy Meal, and have zero understanding of the concept of probability, let me break it down for you.  After Alabama went up 48-30, Ole Miss had scored two touchdowns on 14 possessions, or 14.3% of the time.  In other words, there was a 14.3 chance that Ole Miss would score a touchdown on their next possession.  And even if they defied those odds and scored, they would have had a 7% chance of recovering an on-sides kick when the opposing team is prepared for an on-sides kick.  Then, even if they defied those odds, they only had a 20% chance of scoring a second touchdown.  Discounting several other factors that I won't calculate, you had a .002% chance of winning your bet.  So does that make you a shrewd gambler, or an extremely lucky one?

And oh by the way Einstein, I was 9-6-1 on the day, and 2 & 1 on Best Bets, and made a profit.  And but for two horrific beats (Alabama & Pitt), I would have been 11-4-1 on the day.

droyder . . . the laughingstock of Covers!!!

It should be noted that Alabama's defense had also scored two touchdowns on Ole Miss' first 14 possessions, or 14.3% of the time.  In other words, there was theoretically just as much chance that Alabama's defense would score a touchdown on Ole Miss' 15th offensive possession as there was that Ole Miss' offense would score a touchdown.

It is also worth mentioning that another loss - the Georgia/Missouri 1st half UNDER - went UNDER the total for the game, just not the first half.  So the UNDER was the correct call, it just didn't play out to the UNDER in the first half.  Also noteworthy is that Phil Steele's predicted score for that game was Georgia 17, Missouri 16.  So it was not as if this was some sort of terrible play.  So with a little luck, my card certainly could have been as good as 12-3-1, which would have made for a monster week instead of an average one.

Quote Originally Posted by hatrick13:

wow...was away all day sat  and missed the games but read the thread...alot of hateful people out there...plenty who do appreciate the posts however freak..me included 

I haven't even read through it.  Just looked at page 10 and saw droyder's ridiculous post, and responded to it.  This guy was mocking me during the early games on which I went 2-0-1.  I mean geez, how dumb can you get?  Then I had two horrific beats on my afternoon games.  Those really should have gone 3 & 0.

Droyder; we are all anxiously awaiting your picks??