I'm seeing -40.5. I have no problem with that line. ECU should be able to name their score here. Aside from a Hail Mary, SMU has not scored an offensive touchdown all season. I expect that to change in this game, as ECU is not exactly known for defense. I will give SMU credit for 14 points in this game. Thus, the question becomes whether ECU can/will score 56 or better. I'm pretty confident they will.
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Quote Originally Posted by dallasm:
thoughts on current line?
I'm seeing -40.5. I have no problem with that line. ECU should be able to name their score here. Aside from a Hail Mary, SMU has not scored an offensive touchdown all season. I expect that to change in this game, as ECU is not exactly known for defense. I will give SMU credit for 14 points in this game. Thus, the question becomes whether ECU can/will score 56 or better. I'm pretty confident they will.
I had intended to auto-bet ECU at anything under 41 when it opened, and would still consider it bettable up to 44.5, which is where I think the line will end up before gametime...
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I had intended to auto-bet ECU at anything under 41 when it opened, and would still consider it bettable up to 44.5, which is where I think the line will end up before gametime...
Honestly I'm not sure what to think. I, like many people, were very high on UCLA coming into the season. Clearly they have been very underwhelming thus far and don't look like final four material at this point. I also don't put a lot of stock into their seemingly impressive win over ASU last week. I watched that game in stunned amazement as ASU were literally standing around watching UCLA ball carriers run down the field. I'm not a "every game is a fix" kind of guy, but I swear it looked like ASU was letting them score. Either that or that was the worst display of defense I have ever witnessed in a football game in my life, all the while the announcers were telling the viewing audience how Todd Graham runs "a tight ship." Really???
One thing is for sure, Kyle Whittingham's team is going to at least play with some effort, and will at least put up a little resistance on the defensive side of the ball. So if I discount last week's UCLA performance, I would have to side with Utah and the points. But if the ASU game did mark some sort of turning point for UCLA - something of which I'm highly skeptical - then maybe UCLA runs away with it.
I don't like the game at all, but if forced to bet it, I would play Utah until UCLA's offense proves they can score points against a legitimate defense.
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Quote Originally Posted by thejhnny:
How do u feel about ucla -13?
Honestly I'm not sure what to think. I, like many people, were very high on UCLA coming into the season. Clearly they have been very underwhelming thus far and don't look like final four material at this point. I also don't put a lot of stock into their seemingly impressive win over ASU last week. I watched that game in stunned amazement as ASU were literally standing around watching UCLA ball carriers run down the field. I'm not a "every game is a fix" kind of guy, but I swear it looked like ASU was letting them score. Either that or that was the worst display of defense I have ever witnessed in a football game in my life, all the while the announcers were telling the viewing audience how Todd Graham runs "a tight ship." Really???
One thing is for sure, Kyle Whittingham's team is going to at least play with some effort, and will at least put up a little resistance on the defensive side of the ball. So if I discount last week's UCLA performance, I would have to side with Utah and the points. But if the ASU game did mark some sort of turning point for UCLA - something of which I'm highly skeptical - then maybe UCLA runs away with it.
I don't like the game at all, but if forced to bet it, I would play Utah until UCLA's offense proves they can score points against a legitimate defense.
hey jimmy i see you've have had Texas state on your card last few weeks. Just wondering whats your take on them this week after they had an emotional win with Louisiana-Lafayette on deck . I kinda like Idaho in this spot. Nice card you got so far
Not crazy about the game. I would probably lay the points with Dennis Franchione's squad, but you make a good point about them coming off of an emotional win. I like backing Texas State as a dog. I'm still not real comfortable about laying points with the Bobcats, particularly DD.
Idaho is a team I look to back as a home dog and generally would fade on the road. If the Georgia Southern line opens at less than 17 next week, I'll probably jump on the Eagles again.
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Quote Originally Posted by getrdonrite7:
hey jimmy i see you've have had Texas state on your card last few weeks. Just wondering whats your take on them this week after they had an emotional win with Louisiana-Lafayette on deck . I kinda like Idaho in this spot. Nice card you got so far
Not crazy about the game. I would probably lay the points with Dennis Franchione's squad, but you make a good point about them coming off of an emotional win. I like backing Texas State as a dog. I'm still not real comfortable about laying points with the Bobcats, particularly DD.
Idaho is a team I look to back as a home dog and generally would fade on the road. If the Georgia Southern line opens at less than 17 next week, I'll probably jump on the Eagles again.
Jimmy, Can you give your input on Alabama/Miss??...playing in Oxford?.....is Bama that much better than the Rebels??.......again that's for the info......
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Jimmy, Can you give your input on Alabama/Miss??...playing in Oxford?.....is Bama that much better than the Rebels??.......again that's for the info......
Darn it no one making me feel good with being on ucla.. I'm a bruin and I'm going to the game.. hahaha I'll prob just tease out down. Thanks a lot for your insight! Bol this week.
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Darn it no one making me feel good with being on ucla.. I'm a bruin and I'm going to the game.. hahaha I'll prob just tease out down. Thanks a lot for your insight! Bol this week.
Loving Georgia Southern this week. Being an NMSU Alum. Our program is awful. Its better than in past years but still pretty bad. We have no depth and will get worn out by the fourth quarter by the triple option. UNM and UTEP racked up the yards on NMSU on the ground. Should be close early but I can't see NMSU in the game late.
“You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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Loving Georgia Southern this week. Being an NMSU Alum. Our program is awful. Its better than in past years but still pretty bad. We have no depth and will get worn out by the fourth quarter by the triple option. UNM and UTEP racked up the yards on NMSU on the ground. Should be close early but I can't see NMSU in the game late.
Not crazy about the game. I would probably lay the points with Dennis Franchione's squad, but you make a good point about them coming off of an emotional win. I like backing Texas State as a dog. I'm still not real comfortable about laying points with the Bobcats, particularly DD.
Idaho is a team I look to back as a home dog and generally would fade on the road. If the Georgia Southern line opens at less than 17 next week, I'll probably jump on the Eagles again.
I think Az St defense is just that bad and that's why I jumped on S.Cal -10 Sunday night + Az St thumped them last year 62-41 and I think S.Cal will remember that Saturday + when Az St QB Kelly got hurt Az St is not the same team. If you can get the time Jimmy I would like you to look at this game you may like it enough to make it a play. I am also on several of your plays this week. Good luck to us...............
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
Not crazy about the game. I would probably lay the points with Dennis Franchione's squad, but you make a good point about them coming off of an emotional win. I like backing Texas State as a dog. I'm still not real comfortable about laying points with the Bobcats, particularly DD.
Idaho is a team I look to back as a home dog and generally would fade on the road. If the Georgia Southern line opens at less than 17 next week, I'll probably jump on the Eagles again.
I think Az St defense is just that bad and that's why I jumped on S.Cal -10 Sunday night + Az St thumped them last year 62-41 and I think S.Cal will remember that Saturday + when Az St QB Kelly got hurt Az St is not the same team. If you can get the time Jimmy I would like you to look at this game you may like it enough to make it a play. I am also on several of your plays this week. Good luck to us...............
Honestly I'm not sure what to think. I, like many people, were very high on UCLA coming into the season. Clearly they have been very underwhelming thus far and don't look like final four material at this point. I also don't put a lot of stock into their seemingly impressive win over ASU last week. I watched that game in stunned amazement as ASU were literally standing around watching UCLA ball carriers run down the field. I'm not a "every game is a fix" kind of guy, but I swear it looked like ASU was letting them score. Either that or that was the worst display of defense I have ever witnessed in a football game in my life, all the while the announcers were telling the viewing audience how Todd Graham runs "a tight ship." Really???
One thing is for sure, Kyle Whittingham's team is going to at least play with some effort, and will at least put up a little resistance on the defensive side of the ball. So if I discount last week's UCLA performance, I would have to side with Utah and the points. But if the ASU game did mark some sort of turning point for UCLA - something of which I'm highly skeptical - then maybe UCLA runs away with it.
I don't like the game at all, but if forced to bet it, I would play Utah until UCLA's offense proves they can score points against a legitimate defense.
Sorry this was the post I meant to quote not the one that my post was on.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
Honestly I'm not sure what to think. I, like many people, were very high on UCLA coming into the season. Clearly they have been very underwhelming thus far and don't look like final four material at this point. I also don't put a lot of stock into their seemingly impressive win over ASU last week. I watched that game in stunned amazement as ASU were literally standing around watching UCLA ball carriers run down the field. I'm not a "every game is a fix" kind of guy, but I swear it looked like ASU was letting them score. Either that or that was the worst display of defense I have ever witnessed in a football game in my life, all the while the announcers were telling the viewing audience how Todd Graham runs "a tight ship." Really???
One thing is for sure, Kyle Whittingham's team is going to at least play with some effort, and will at least put up a little resistance on the defensive side of the ball. So if I discount last week's UCLA performance, I would have to side with Utah and the points. But if the ASU game did mark some sort of turning point for UCLA - something of which I'm highly skeptical - then maybe UCLA runs away with it.
I don't like the game at all, but if forced to bet it, I would play Utah until UCLA's offense proves they can score points against a legitimate defense.
Sorry this was the post I meant to quote not the one that my post was on.
Jimmy, Can you give your input on Alabama/Miss??...playing in Oxford?.....is Bama that much better than the Rebels??.......again that's for the info......
I am planning a write-up on the game. I'm not sure when I'll time to do it, but I'll do my best.
To answer your question, yes they are.
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Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:
Jimmy, Can you give your input on Alabama/Miss??...playing in Oxford?.....is Bama that much better than the Rebels??.......again that's for the info......
I am planning a write-up on the game. I'm not sure when I'll time to do it, but I'll do my best.
I hate keeping track of my record because it's a PIA and, quite frankly, I don't care what it is. I only care about my account balances. I'm never going tout, so it's completely meaningless to me. That said, years ago people moaned and groaned that I didn't keep track of it, so I did it for several years. I kept the record, not the units. Keeping track of the record isn't so bad, but trying to keep an accurate record of units is almost impossible.
This season I have been particularly busy, so I said f-it. I can tell you that I have missed exactly 1 "Best Bet" every week, so my record is something & 5. I usually do about 4 "Best Bets" a week so my guess would be something like 15 & 5. I haven't been nearly as good on non-Best Bets. Those are probably hovering a little over 50% if I had to guess. My goal is 75%/60%. I'm pretty close on "Best Bets."
Nevertheless, if someone wants to go back and tally my record, let them knock themselves out. It's all posted. As for me, I'll spend my time on more productive endeavors.
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Quote Originally Posted by drake808:
Jimmy, do you have a YTD record and with units?
I hate keeping track of my record because it's a PIA and, quite frankly, I don't care what it is. I only care about my account balances. I'm never going tout, so it's completely meaningless to me. That said, years ago people moaned and groaned that I didn't keep track of it, so I did it for several years. I kept the record, not the units. Keeping track of the record isn't so bad, but trying to keep an accurate record of units is almost impossible.
This season I have been particularly busy, so I said f-it. I can tell you that I have missed exactly 1 "Best Bet" every week, so my record is something & 5. I usually do about 4 "Best Bets" a week so my guess would be something like 15 & 5. I haven't been nearly as good on non-Best Bets. Those are probably hovering a little over 50% if I had to guess. My goal is 75%/60%. I'm pretty close on "Best Bets."
Nevertheless, if someone wants to go back and tally my record, let them knock themselves out. It's all posted. As for me, I'll spend my time on more productive endeavors.
I hate keeping track of my record because it's a PIA and, quite frankly, I don't care what it is. I only care about my account balances. I'm never going tout, so it's completely meaningless to me. That said, years ago people moaned and groaned that I didn't keep track of it, so I did it for several years. I kept the record, not the units. Keeping track of the record isn't so bad, but trying to keep an accurate record of units is almost impossible. This season I have been particularly busy, so I said f-it. I can tell you that I have missed exactly 1 "Best Bet" every week, so my record is something & 5. I usually do about 4 "Best Bets" a week so my guess would be something like 15 & 5. I haven't been nearly as good on non-Best Bets. Those are probably hovering a little over 50% if I had to guess. My goal is 75%/60%. I'm pretty close on "Best Bets." Nevertheless, if someone wants to go back and tally my record, let them knock themselves out. It's all posted. As for me, I'll spend my time on more productive endeavors.
Gotcha. Keep up the good work
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
Quote Originally Posted by drake808:
Jimmy, do you have a YTD record and with units?
I hate keeping track of my record because it's a PIA and, quite frankly, I don't care what it is. I only care about my account balances. I'm never going tout, so it's completely meaningless to me. That said, years ago people moaned and groaned that I didn't keep track of it, so I did it for several years. I kept the record, not the units. Keeping track of the record isn't so bad, but trying to keep an accurate record of units is almost impossible. This season I have been particularly busy, so I said f-it. I can tell you that I have missed exactly 1 "Best Bet" every week, so my record is something & 5. I usually do about 4 "Best Bets" a week so my guess would be something like 15 & 5. I haven't been nearly as good on non-Best Bets. Those are probably hovering a little over 50% if I had to guess. My goal is 75%/60%. I'm pretty close on "Best Bets." Nevertheless, if someone wants to go back and tally my record, let them knock themselves out. It's all posted. As for me, I'll spend my time on more productive endeavors.
Darn it no one making me feel good with being on ucla.. I'm a bruin and I'm going to the game.. hahaha I'll prob just tease out down. Thanks a lot for your insight! Bol this week.
Don't let me talk you out of a play you like. It's not a game I have a good feel for so I'm not going to personally get involved, but if you like it, play it.
There is a guy on another site that I really respect who is pretty much an expert on Utah football, and he was pretty down on Kyle Wittingham and the Utes after they blew a 21-point lead to Wazzu last week, so maybe you're on to something. If we look at this play from a momentum standpoint, UCLA would certainly be the play.
But now let me poop on your play a little bit. Home favorites of 10-16 points were 2 & 7 ATS last week. If we give any credence to that trend this week, it would suggest we play on teams like Idaho, UAB, ULM and Utah.
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Quote Originally Posted by thejhnny:
Darn it no one making me feel good with being on ucla.. I'm a bruin and I'm going to the game.. hahaha I'll prob just tease out down. Thanks a lot for your insight! Bol this week.
Don't let me talk you out of a play you like. It's not a game I have a good feel for so I'm not going to personally get involved, but if you like it, play it.
There is a guy on another site that I really respect who is pretty much an expert on Utah football, and he was pretty down on Kyle Wittingham and the Utes after they blew a 21-point lead to Wazzu last week, so maybe you're on to something. If we look at this play from a momentum standpoint, UCLA would certainly be the play.
But now let me poop on your play a little bit. Home favorites of 10-16 points were 2 & 7 ATS last week. If we give any credence to that trend this week, it would suggest we play on teams like Idaho, UAB, ULM and Utah.
I'm seeing -40.5. I have no problem with that line. ECU should be able to name their score here. Aside from a Hail Mary, SMU has not scored an offensive touchdown all season. I expect that to change in this game, as ECU is not exactly known for defense. I will give SMU credit for 14 points in this game. Thus, the question becomes whether ECU can/will score 56 or better. I'm pretty confident they will.
Hey Jimmy .. quick glance at this injury list for EC .. Do you still like EC at -42 ???? Thx Bro for your thoughts !!
East Carolina
DatePosPlayerInjuryStatus
09/28/14WRCam WorthySuspensionexpected to miss Saturday vs. SMU
09/28/14OLChristian MatauKnee"?" Saturday vs. SMU
09/28/14WRDaQuan BarnesBack"?" Saturday vs. SMU
09/28/14TEDarren DowdellLeg"?" Saturday vs. SMU
09/28/14LBDesi BrownLeg"?" Saturday vs. SMU
09/28/14LBJoe CarterElbow"?" Saturday vs. SMU
09/28/14LBKirk DonaldsonKnee"?" Saturday vs. SMU
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
I'm seeing -40.5. I have no problem with that line. ECU should be able to name their score here. Aside from a Hail Mary, SMU has not scored an offensive touchdown all season. I expect that to change in this game, as ECU is not exactly known for defense. I will give SMU credit for 14 points in this game. Thus, the question becomes whether ECU can/will score 56 or better. I'm pretty confident they will.
Hey Jimmy .. quick glance at this injury list for EC .. Do you still like EC at -42 ???? Thx Bro for your thoughts !!
East Carolina
DatePosPlayerInjuryStatus
09/28/14WRCam WorthySuspensionexpected to miss Saturday vs. SMU
yeah, bad thing here is I've been seeing bama -7.5 already with both my guys down here. I don't like that number but may play some thing small.
already seeing Baylor @ -17...... I think they'll beat Tx. by 3 TD's....but this is their 3rd road game....etc...blah...blah..blah....What do you think about that -17 ?
BOL this week bro
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yeah, bad thing here is I've been seeing bama -7.5 already with both my guys down here. I don't like that number but may play some thing small.
already seeing Baylor @ -17...... I think they'll beat Tx. by 3 TD's....but this is their 3rd road game....etc...blah...blah..blah....What do you think about that -17 ?
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