Seven days until CFB. Value has been created which means you need to get your wagers in before prices are inflated (some already are). Futures can be a fun way to watch CFB and should be on your radar when you are shopping for a competitive advantage during your comparison of the locals, online, or Vegas books. The idea here is that the future's bettors give a season long macro view of the CFB scene. Consequently, you can find an edge from the books out there if you shop around.
First, don't overlook Pittsburgh University this year. They play 7 at home and were on the cusp of a winning season last year. I have their total at over 6 @ -115. This seems to be a nice solid future wager if you are looking to get into the market soon (prices will trickle up). They have gone from plus money to a trend toward price prohibitive (not there yet) and still hold nice value.
Other trends that I have seen move at some books are Notre Dame under 9 games and Michigan State over 8.5. If you can get either one of those at some sort of solid value then I suggest massaging that idea.
In another debate, conference and overall champions are hitting the future's market in a much more perpetuated behavior than years past. We look at Georgia and Oregon to hold some volume in the futures market and look at Oregon (projected to win ~11 games). Oregon has moved from 6/1 to 8/1 or 9/1. Yes, they lost Chip Kelly but the value still exists.
However, my championship team this year is going to rest in the hands of the Dawgs. Georgia is sitting at 22/1 and need to pull out a couple tricks to thump the SEC populous. Some have said a couple sharp bets have been put on UGA and I can see that line of thinking. The books have created value and in my opinion have deluded the Dawgs value a bit (due to Alabama and Ohio State hype).
Incidentally, I am going heavy on Pittsburgh U to win over 6 games and light on UGA to win the BCS. However, opinions are welcome on your future wagers and ideas. Let's entertain some quality debate on where solid money is going.
WD
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Here we go,
Seven days until CFB. Value has been created which means you need to get your wagers in before prices are inflated (some already are). Futures can be a fun way to watch CFB and should be on your radar when you are shopping for a competitive advantage during your comparison of the locals, online, or Vegas books. The idea here is that the future's bettors give a season long macro view of the CFB scene. Consequently, you can find an edge from the books out there if you shop around.
First, don't overlook Pittsburgh University this year. They play 7 at home and were on the cusp of a winning season last year. I have their total at over 6 @ -115. This seems to be a nice solid future wager if you are looking to get into the market soon (prices will trickle up). They have gone from plus money to a trend toward price prohibitive (not there yet) and still hold nice value.
Other trends that I have seen move at some books are Notre Dame under 9 games and Michigan State over 8.5. If you can get either one of those at some sort of solid value then I suggest massaging that idea.
In another debate, conference and overall champions are hitting the future's market in a much more perpetuated behavior than years past. We look at Georgia and Oregon to hold some volume in the futures market and look at Oregon (projected to win ~11 games). Oregon has moved from 6/1 to 8/1 or 9/1. Yes, they lost Chip Kelly but the value still exists.
However, my championship team this year is going to rest in the hands of the Dawgs. Georgia is sitting at 22/1 and need to pull out a couple tricks to thump the SEC populous. Some have said a couple sharp bets have been put on UGA and I can see that line of thinking. The books have created value and in my opinion have deluded the Dawgs value a bit (due to Alabama and Ohio State hype).
Incidentally, I am going heavy on Pittsburgh U to win over 6 games and light on UGA to win the BCS. However, opinions are welcome on your future wagers and ideas. Let's entertain some quality debate on where solid money is going.
Wage, getting Notre Dame under 9 looks like a winner to me. That schedule is difficult especially after losing key returners on offense (QB) and defense (LB) before the season even starts.
Michigan, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Arizona State, USC, Pitt, BYU and Stanford will all be landmines the Irish must navigate.
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Wage, getting Notre Dame under 9 looks like a winner to me. That schedule is difficult especially after losing key returners on offense (QB) and defense (LB) before the season even starts.
Michigan, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Arizona State, USC, Pitt, BYU and Stanford will all be landmines the Irish must navigate.
Wage, getting Notre Dame under 9 looks like a winner to me. That schedule is difficult especially after losing key returners on offense (QB) and defense (LB) before the season even starts.
Michigan, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Arizona State, USC, Pitt, BYU and Stanford will all be landmines the Irish must navigate.
I completely agree. However, I hope that some books will offer up some value on this line. I will be watching this one closely.
WD
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Quote Originally Posted by Workhorse:
Wage, getting Notre Dame under 9 looks like a winner to me. That schedule is difficult especially after losing key returners on offense (QB) and defense (LB) before the season even starts.
Michigan, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Arizona State, USC, Pitt, BYU and Stanford will all be landmines the Irish must navigate.
I completely agree. However, I hope that some books will offer up some value on this line. I will be watching this one closely.
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