NFL teams before a divisional dog game
are 974-1214 ATS in first 16 weeks of the season. Big sample system,
particularly good when these teams are looking forward to a big rival
(Vikings 5-12 ATS before GB, Redskins 5-17 ATS before Cowboys,etc).
NCAA
teams in this same situation are just as bad as the NFL teams. Probably
the best way to use this system is to split it team-by-team as you will
find out that some teams struggle in this situation more than other
teams, especially before big rivals. Vanderbilt is 5-20 ATS in this
situation before being a dog against Georgia. CMU is 1-12 ATS in this
situation before being a dog against WMU...
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Sunday system of the day:
NFL teams before a divisional dog game
are 974-1214 ATS in first 16 weeks of the season. Big sample system,
particularly good when these teams are looking forward to a big rival
(Vikings 5-12 ATS before GB, Redskins 5-17 ATS before Cowboys,etc).
NCAA
teams in this same situation are just as bad as the NFL teams. Probably
the best way to use this system is to split it team-by-team as you will
find out that some teams struggle in this situation more than other
teams, especially before big rivals. Vanderbilt is 5-20 ATS in this
situation before being a dog against Georgia. CMU is 1-12 ATS in this
situation before being a dog against WMU...
NFL teams with 13-15 wins last season usually struggle in the first 5
weeks of the following season. Here is the breakdown of their ATS
records depending on how many of those wins were upsets.
In the first 5 weeks of the season, teams with 13-15 wins last season are:
18-44 ATS if they had 0 upset wins last season...
25-40 ATS if they had 1 upset win last season...
63-80 ATS if they had 2-5 upset wins last season...
8-5 ATS if they had 6+ upset wins last season.
In conclusion, 12-15 wins teams are a very good early season fade if
they collected 0 or very few dog wins last season. (New Orleans could be
the team to go against early on, but dont forget to go with an
occasional fade against New England, Baltimore and GB as well).
As for the NCAA, there is a good system to go against teams with less
than 4 wins last season if they were upset at least 3 times. That system
is good for the first two weeks only and it is 43-82 ATS (82-43 ATS if
we are going against those teams).
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Monday System of the day:
NFL teams with 13-15 wins last season usually struggle in the first 5
weeks of the following season. Here is the breakdown of their ATS
records depending on how many of those wins were upsets.
In the first 5 weeks of the season, teams with 13-15 wins last season are:
18-44 ATS if they had 0 upset wins last season...
25-40 ATS if they had 1 upset win last season...
63-80 ATS if they had 2-5 upset wins last season...
8-5 ATS if they had 6+ upset wins last season.
In conclusion, 12-15 wins teams are a very good early season fade if
they collected 0 or very few dog wins last season. (New Orleans could be
the team to go against early on, but dont forget to go with an
occasional fade against New England, Baltimore and GB as well).
As for the NCAA, there is a good system to go against teams with less
than 4 wins last season if they were upset at least 3 times. That system
is good for the first two weeks only and it is 43-82 ATS (82-43 ATS if
we are going against those teams).
These systems are as asimple as they come with only 2-3 parameters. Not
even close to what you are saying. And nobody is forcing you to read my
posts. I have been winning big money with those same systems for the
past 7 years. Anyways, thanks for your feedback.
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These systems are as asimple as they come with only 2-3 parameters. Not
even close to what you are saying. And nobody is forcing you to read my
posts. I have been winning big money with those same systems for the
past 7 years. Anyways, thanks for your feedback.
I will post at least one system in both NFL and NCAA every day before
the season as well as during the season. If haters somehow get too
boring you will be able to find me on twitter, but hopefully they will
just quit once I start winning.
0
I will post at least one system in both NFL and NCAA every day before
the season as well as during the season. If haters somehow get too
boring you will be able to find me on twitter, but hopefully they will
just quit once I start winning.
i am generally wary of some of these more convoluted systems (i.e. tons of parameters)... however, some of these do have pretty impressive results over a long period of time, so you can't argue too much...
curious to see how some of these pan out... only problem is spotting games where the systems can be applied...
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i am generally wary of some of these more convoluted systems (i.e. tons of parameters)... however, some of these do have pretty impressive results over a long period of time, so you can't argue too much...
curious to see how some of these pan out... only problem is spotting games where the systems can be applied...
Road NFL teams trying to revenge previous season road loss of more than 10 points are 151-98 ATS.
In the NCAA, revenging previous season road loss is particularly effective for teams that lost that game in the first 9 weeks and by 48 pts or more (119-66 ATS).
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Saturday system:
Road NFL teams trying to revenge previous season road loss of more than 10 points are 151-98 ATS.
In the NCAA, revenging previous season road loss is particularly effective for teams that lost that game in the first 9 weeks and by 48 pts or more (119-66 ATS).
some pretty interesting trends...man have there really been 185 games with a revenge spot losing by 48 or more...that must be at least 30-40 years...it might be interesting to see how these various things have done over the last 5-10 years...a few trends could have reversed themselves and it would not show in the 30-40 year sample for a long time
0
some pretty interesting trends...man have there really been 185 games with a revenge spot losing by 48 or more...that must be at least 30-40 years...it might be interesting to see how these various things have done over the last 5-10 years...a few trends could have reversed themselves and it would not show in the 30-40 year sample for a long time
some pretty interesting trends...man have there really been 185 games with a revenge spot losing by 48 or more...that must be at least 30-40 years...it might be interesting to see how these various things have done over the last 5-10 years...a few trends could have reversed themselves and it would not show in the 30-40 year sample for a long time
4-0 last season after 2 bad seasons for this system. The system was a winner in 21 of last 30 seasons. Last season we had Kansas +20 against Baylor (lost by 1 point), Purdue +7.5 against Ohio State (Purdue won the game) as well as Iowa State covering as big dogs against Oklahoma and Wake killing Maryland 31-10 as 11 pts fave.
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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:
some pretty interesting trends...man have there really been 185 games with a revenge spot losing by 48 or more...that must be at least 30-40 years...it might be interesting to see how these various things have done over the last 5-10 years...a few trends could have reversed themselves and it would not show in the 30-40 year sample for a long time
4-0 last season after 2 bad seasons for this system. The system was a winner in 21 of last 30 seasons. Last season we had Kansas +20 against Baylor (lost by 1 point), Purdue +7.5 against Ohio State (Purdue won the game) as well as Iowa State covering as big dogs against Oklahoma and Wake killing Maryland 31-10 as 11 pts fave.
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