Perfect storm has come.
80% of the money all over S.Carolina and the line has come off the -3 to -2 1/2.
East Carolina + 2 1/2 is the GOY
Good Luck All !!!
Perfect storm has come.
80% of the money all over S.Carolina and the line has come off the -3 to -2 1/2.
East Carolina + 2 1/2 is the GOY
Good Luck All !!!
Perfect storm has come.
80% of the money all over S.Carolina and the line has come off the -3 to -2 1/2.
East Carolina + 2 1/2 is the GOY
Good Luck All !!!
There's no world in which +2.5 makes sense, game of the year or otherwise. Either buy the hook to +3 to avoid this sort of loss, or sell the hook to +2 to get better odds for the same useless points.
Something like 4% of football games end on 1 or 2, the rest are 3+, so it makes no sense to pay the bookmaker's rake on a useless +2.5.
Also, trying to fade the imaginary 'public' is no better than flipping coins. Those public money charts are filled with assumptions based on incomplete data, and are not a complete snapshot of the betting market. Cap the teams and compare the market to your own spreads. That's the only way to get an edge.
Better luck on the next plays
There's no world in which +2.5 makes sense, game of the year or otherwise. Either buy the hook to +3 to avoid this sort of loss, or sell the hook to +2 to get better odds for the same useless points.
Something like 4% of football games end on 1 or 2, the rest are 3+, so it makes no sense to pay the bookmaker's rake on a useless +2.5.
Also, trying to fade the imaginary 'public' is no better than flipping coins. Those public money charts are filled with assumptions based on incomplete data, and are not a complete snapshot of the betting market. Cap the teams and compare the market to your own spreads. That's the only way to get an edge.
Better luck on the next plays
@BetFriends
Actually…your logic seems right, but it’s not. Very small % of games land on 3 or 7… VERY few. It’s psychological at best, but very low % of those numbers come into play.
I agree with what you said to either buy to 3 or take ML.
some key numbers I have found myself buying are +4.5 (28-24, 31-27, 35-31), and honestly with the environment we are in now with kickers and going for 2…8.5 is more key than 7.5 IMNSHO.
ALSO +11.5, and in college, the key numbers continue at 13, 14, 14.5, 17.5, 21.5, 24.5, 28.5, 31.5, 38.5, etc.
totals as well. Key numbers in college totals seem to be:
44, 48, 51, 56.5, 59.5, 63.5, 69.5.
@BetFriends
Actually…your logic seems right, but it’s not. Very small % of games land on 3 or 7… VERY few. It’s psychological at best, but very low % of those numbers come into play.
I agree with what you said to either buy to 3 or take ML.
some key numbers I have found myself buying are +4.5 (28-24, 31-27, 35-31), and honestly with the environment we are in now with kickers and going for 2…8.5 is more key than 7.5 IMNSHO.
ALSO +11.5, and in college, the key numbers continue at 13, 14, 14.5, 17.5, 21.5, 24.5, 28.5, 31.5, 38.5, etc.
totals as well. Key numbers in college totals seem to be:
44, 48, 51, 56.5, 59.5, 63.5, 69.5.
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