It's taken me a while to crunch the numbers here. Firstly, because this isn't an easy game, and secondly I almost laid off of this one, as there are many more mouth watering match ups tomorrow. But I saw an opportunity here and here I am ...
It is to be kept in mind that this is the lowest set total for quite sometime for these two teams. In the past we're talking some 70 pt total, today we find ourselves having to contend against "a mere" 52 points!!! Nevertheless, As i always say, it's set this low for a bloody good reason. Overnight (my time) around 81-92% of the public has been taking the over. In many forums I've been, everyone is talking about the Over as a sure bet! The over is a very enticing number here, and I don't blame those who are lured by the given number.
Also is to be kept in mind that Hawii doesn't have last year's offense, no longer. Broncos on the other hand have proven themselves to be extremely stingy as far as giving points is concerned. On the blue turf the Broncos are unstoppable and a whole new different breed which would have you develop balls of steel if you want to go against them ATS.
But spreads isn't my interest here (although IT MUST ALWAYS be taken into consideration when making a totals play) as I'm only playing the total score here. LVSConsultants opened this b/w 51 and 53. The number sits at 52.5 with most books now, at even money. Lastly, The weather doesn't favour either play here...
Pick: UNDER 52.5 for a 2.5 Unit play
AUSSIE
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
14W-8L Record...
It's taken me a while to crunch the numbers here. Firstly, because this isn't an easy game, and secondly I almost laid off of this one, as there are many more mouth watering match ups tomorrow. But I saw an opportunity here and here I am ...
It is to be kept in mind that this is the lowest set total for quite sometime for these two teams. In the past we're talking some 70 pt total, today we find ourselves having to contend against "a mere" 52 points!!! Nevertheless, As i always say, it's set this low for a bloody good reason. Overnight (my time) around 81-92% of the public has been taking the over. In many forums I've been, everyone is talking about the Over as a sure bet! The over is a very enticing number here, and I don't blame those who are lured by the given number.
Also is to be kept in mind that Hawii doesn't have last year's offense, no longer. Broncos on the other hand have proven themselves to be extremely stingy as far as giving points is concerned. On the blue turf the Broncos are unstoppable and a whole new different breed which would have you develop balls of steel if you want to go against them ATS.
But spreads isn't my interest here (although IT MUST ALWAYS be taken into consideration when making a totals play) as I'm only playing the total score here. LVSConsultants opened this b/w 51 and 53. The number sits at 52.5 with most books now, at even money. Lastly, The weather doesn't favour either play here...
I'm ridin with ya on this one aussie guy, since this is the only show in town tonite and joe public loves the over I'll just hang around and see if I can catch another point or two before kick off and before firing on tonite game --THE UNDER-- locked in on Baylor at + 17.5 and Mizzu to at + 6.5,,sweet,, see ya at the cashiers window
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I'm ridin with ya on this one aussie guy, since this is the only show in town tonite and joe public loves the over I'll just hang around and see if I can catch another point or two before kick off and before firing on tonite game --THE UNDER-- locked in on Baylor at + 17.5 and Mizzu to at + 6.5,,sweet,, see ya at the cashiers window
It's taken me a while to crunch the numbers here. Firstly, because this isn't an easy game, and secondly I almost laid off of this one, as there are many more mouth watering match ups tomorrow. But I saw an opportunity here and here I am ...
It is to be kept in mind that this is the lowest set total for quite sometime for these two teams. In the past we're talking some 70 pt total, today we find ourselves having to contend against "a mere" 52 points!!! Nevertheless, As i always say, it's set this low for a bloody good reason. Overnight (my time) around 81-92% of the public has been taking the over. In many forums I've been, everyone is talking about the Over as a sure bet! The over is a very enticing number here, and I don't blame those who are lured by the given number.
Also is to be kept in mind that Hawii doesn't have last year's offense, no longer. Broncos on the other hand have proven themselves to be extremely stingy as far as giving points is concerned. On the blue turf the Broncos are unstoppable and a whole new different breed which would have you develop balls of steel if you want to go against them ATS.
But spreads isn't my interest here (although IT MUST ALWAYS be taken into consideration when making a totals play) as I'm only playing the total score here. LVSConsultants opened this b/w 51 and 53. The number sits at 52.5 with most books now, at even money. Lastly, The weather doesn't favour either play here...
Pick: UNDER 52.5 for a 2.5 Unit play
AUSSIE
I MUST HAVE BALLS OF STEEL.. HAW +23 1/2
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Quote Originally Posted by Aussieguy:
14W-8L Record...
It's taken me a while to crunch the numbers here. Firstly, because this isn't an easy game, and secondly I almost laid off of this one, as there are many more mouth watering match ups tomorrow. But I saw an opportunity here and here I am ...
It is to be kept in mind that this is the lowest set total for quite sometime for these two teams. In the past we're talking some 70 pt total, today we find ourselves having to contend against "a mere" 52 points!!! Nevertheless, As i always say, it's set this low for a bloody good reason. Overnight (my time) around 81-92% of the public has been taking the over. In many forums I've been, everyone is talking about the Over as a sure bet! The over is a very enticing number here, and I don't blame those who are lured by the given number.
Also is to be kept in mind that Hawii doesn't have last year's offense, no longer. Broncos on the other hand have proven themselves to be extremely stingy as far as giving points is concerned. On the blue turf the Broncos are unstoppable and a whole new different breed which would have you develop balls of steel if you want to go against them ATS.
But spreads isn't my interest here (although IT MUST ALWAYS be taken into consideration when making a totals play) as I'm only playing the total score here. LVSConsultants opened this b/w 51 and 53. The number sits at 52.5 with most books now, at even money. Lastly, The weather doesn't favour either play here...
Aussie have a gut feeling after researching this one, that the over may be the play here.A quote from the coach from Hawaii talking about Fanaki there qb he sounded pretty confident in this kids ability in both running the ball and passing.I beleive Hawaii gets atleast 20 points in this one, and boise will crank up mid 30's or higher, there qb though young is sharp and the receivers are there,along with Ian Johnson.Love your insight Aussie always a pleasure to read your stuff !! GL
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Aussie have a gut feeling after researching this one, that the over may be the play here.A quote from the coach from Hawaii talking about Fanaki there qb he sounded pretty confident in this kids ability in both running the ball and passing.I beleive Hawaii gets atleast 20 points in this one, and boise will crank up mid 30's or higher, there qb though young is sharp and the receivers are there,along with Ian Johnson.Love your insight Aussie always a pleasure to read your stuff !! GL
Well not really. It looks like the 'balls of steel' play is the popular play at the moment. When the line makers put their heads down together to determine the spread here, they came up with spreads b/w the numbers 19 and 28! Officially it opened 24.5 with most agencies and hasn't moved a whole lot either. You could still find it at that number now, half an hour before kick off.
It's a big spread really, but for a good reason at that. The Broncos are a nightmare on the smurf turf. They have no respect for any opponents. They're no Fresno st either. The books also are aware of the bettors mindset who immediately shy away from a large spread. That's what's been happening for the past 24 or so hours.
Anyhow, I have no interest at all as far as the spread goes here, and wishing best of luck to everyone, whether "balls of steel" or a "box cat" player! I hope everyone makes the right choice tonight and cashes in (but I'm aware that not everyone will cash in either. That's what gambling is!) Either way, best of luck and best wishes to ALL.
Let's hope this baby stays well and truly Under: Even if it means boring the crap out of the ESPN viewers
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2 people with balls of steel
Well not really. It looks like the 'balls of steel' play is the popular play at the moment. When the line makers put their heads down together to determine the spread here, they came up with spreads b/w the numbers 19 and 28! Officially it opened 24.5 with most agencies and hasn't moved a whole lot either. You could still find it at that number now, half an hour before kick off.
It's a big spread really, but for a good reason at that. The Broncos are a nightmare on the smurf turf. They have no respect for any opponents. They're no Fresno st either. The books also are aware of the bettors mindset who immediately shy away from a large spread. That's what's been happening for the past 24 or so hours.
Anyhow, I have no interest at all as far as the spread goes here, and wishing best of luck to everyone, whether "balls of steel" or a "box cat" player! I hope everyone makes the right choice tonight and cashes in (but I'm aware that not everyone will cash in either. That's what gambling is!) Either way, best of luck and best wishes to ALL.
Let's hope this baby stays well and truly Under: Even if it means boring the crap out of the ESPN viewers
Yeah same here mate. I actually really wanted to bet the 1Half Under but the price wasn't made available at all. There was only a small window of opportunity there that the First Half option was given, and then it was taken off the board again. I got bored and IMPATIENT waiting ....
Hence, I settled for the Full Game Under.
Hopefully it pays off now ....
Good luck and best wishes to ALL. I'm out till after the game now .... CHEERS everyone
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Yeah same here mate. I actually really wanted to bet the 1Half Under but the price wasn't made available at all. There was only a small window of opportunity there that the First Half option was given, and then it was taken off the board again. I got bored and IMPATIENT waiting ....
Hence, I settled for the Full Game Under.
Hopefully it pays off now ....
Good luck and best wishes to ALL. I'm out till after the game now .... CHEERS everyone
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