GEORGIA SOUTHERN -14 south alabama - South Alabama stays on the road for the 3rd week in a row after getting sissed on 52-7 by Appalachian State. Season is going down the toilet fast. Their defense is yielding 44 ppg. It has gone beyond point of trying to keep games close. They are 1-4 and going nowhere. GA Southern is 3-1 and is undefeated at home..their only loss at Clemson. They beat UMASS by 21...UMASS and South Alabama are about equal in strength. GA Southern had a quality 7 point victory over Arkansas State...a much tougher team than South Alabama. Laying the 14.
South Alabama
Date Pos Player Injury Status
10/02/18 LB Bull Barge Undisclosed is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Georgia Southern
10/02/18 DE Chris Henderson Thigh is out indefinitely
10/02/18 CB Darian Mills Calf is "?" Saturday vs Georgia Southern
10/02/18 S DJ Daniels Targeting Suspension is OUT 1st half Saturday vs Georgia Southern
10/02/18 CB Jay Woods Shoulder is "?" Saturday vs Georgia Southern
10/02/18 S Nigel Lawrence Knee is out indefinitely
10/02/18 DL Riley Cole Leg is out indefinitely
south florida -13.5 UMASS - Lost in the battle of the Florida semi-titans, South Florida is sitting there after a bye week saying, "What are we, wood?". While everyone is raving about UCF, South Florida has quietly gone 4-0. They have beaten Elon by 20 (even though Elon is an FCS team, they are rated higher than UMASS), they beat Georgia Tech by 11, at Illinois by 6 and East Carolina by 7. All of these teams are at least a touchdown better than UMASS. South Florida is rated higher than BC, who beat UMASS by 34. South Florida is rated higher than Georgia Southern, who beat UMASS by 21. South Florida is rated higher than FIU, who beat UMASS by 39. South Florida is at least a touchdown better than Ohio, who beat UMASS by 16.
Against FBS competition, UMASS's defense is giving up an average 48 points per game. One would think that South Florida. South Florida will be the best of the 7 teams UMASS will have played this year...one would think that they will score more than 48 points. Will UMASS score 34 against the Bull defense that is only giving up 21 points per game? Who really thinks that who isn't on some kind of mushrooms?
Laying 13.5 points on da Bulls.....
liberty -4 NMSU - I turned on my TV last night and scanned through the guide. One that was of particular interest was a program titled "Shitshow"...after clicking on it - lo and behold, I was treated to a New Mexico State game. If there was a bigger train wreck than New Mexico State's offense, I haven't seen it yet. They are averaging a whopping 16 points per game. Their only win came in their highest scoring game, against UTEP, that doesn't count as a win. Even though NMSU's record is 1-4, it really should be 0-4 because a win against UTEP shouldn't be allowed to count on anyone's ledger. Now in come's Liberty, averaging 52 points per game in their victories over New Mexico (yes the same New Mexico who defeated NMSU) and Old Dominion. I don't need to know anything else. I'm betting this game. Laying the 4 points on Liberty on the road.
washington -21 UCLA - I watched first hand last weekend how Washington completely dismantled BYU...leaving them nothing but a few garbage scraps to chew on. Washington is the Pac 12 team that thinks it should be in the Big 10 or the SEC. BYU had 28 carries for 34 yards. That meant that they had to put their offensive hopes on their skilled QB, Tanner Mangum....Amazingly he, completed 18 of 21 passes...but they were all of the checkdown swallow me up variety. The bottom line is they only ended up with 7 points. This is the same BYU team that posted 24 points on Wisconsin, 18 on Cal and 28 on Arizona...all good defenses...but not nearly as good as Washington's. Here's the rub...when the NCAAF gods were handing out offenses, UCLA must have been at the beach smoking weed. They are averaging only 17 points a game against defenses that aren't as close to being as good as the Huskies (who are only giving up 11 points per game). UCLA's QB isn't good. This isn't Chip's fault...he'll get his offense going...and he'll get some wins...just not this week. Only one team has scored less than 38 points against UCLA this year..., so if Washington scores 39 points that....means UCLA is going to have to score over its average of 17 points to cover. They won't be able to run the ball, their QB isn't good. They won't score more than 10 points. Lay the wood on the Dogs -21...and howl to the window.
kentucky +6 TEXAS A&M - After betting a week's paycheck on Texas A&M last week against Arkansas...I noticed that this team just doesn't have the killer instinct that I thought I saw when they battled Clemson. They haven't beaten a good team yet...so I don't know if they can beat a good team this week...and still cover. I hate to say it, but seeing is believing and Arkansas outplayed them last week...had it not been for the kickoff return TD gift, the Aggies might not have won that game at all. On the other hand, the 11 point Kentucky win at Florida speaks volumes to me...especially since their front 7 controlled that game. I think Florida is as good as Texas A&M...I know Florida's defense is better than Texas A&M. Throw in the Kentucky beat downs of Miss St and South Carolina (two more teams that one could argue are as good or better than Texas A&M) - you just have to take the points here. Kentucky has clearly proven themselves capable of winning this game...the fact that they also are getting points? Gimmeee gimmeee those points.
Kentucky +6...sank you sank you.
uconn +35 MEMPHIS - yes..connecticut is terrible. No they won't win this game. UCONN did beat Rhode Island, a very good FCS team, but we know Memphis is better than Rhode Island. Yes..they lost to UCF by 39 but UCF is much better than Memphis...at least 2 touchdowns better. Connecticut lost to Syracuse by 30. 30 is less than 35 and Syracuse is a lot better than Memphis. Connecticut lost to Cincinnati by 42...but Cinci is also much better than Memphis. Why am I down on Memphis? Because they aren't very good this year. I watched most of the game last Friday and they looked really soft in the belly...just soft. They aren't a physical or aggressive team at all. They are a patty cake football team and Tulane really kicked the crap out of them. Memphis lost to a bad version of a Navy team this year...and then..most revealing was their two wins. They beat Georgia State by 37...ok, Georgia state is maybe a smidge better than UCONN. But South Alabama isn't as good as UCONN and Memphis only beat them by 20 points. I'm doing the math here...35 points is too many. If UCONN even shows up and score 14 points, it will be really hard for Memphis to crack 50. The math says, take the points. UCONN plus 35.
lousiana -3 TEXAS ST - Louisiana (ULL) beat Alabama's JV last week 14-7 in the second half. Alabama's JV is better than Texas State. Texas State lost by 28 to Rutgers. They also lost by 10 to South Alabama, who is also pretty bad. When in doubt, bet against bad. Laying 3 points on a bad team to beat a putrid team. Go Ragin Cajuns!
utsa +2 RICE - UTSA isn't very good....but they've won twice already. Now they are playing Rice and they don't even have to win the game to cover. RICE, on the other hand, hasn't won an FBS game yet and they've given up 46 points per game in those 4 losses. Yes...swiss cheese. It's kind of hard to pick them to win based on this performance thus far. Taking 2 points and watching the Roadrunners likely win outright.
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