I LOVE the WACKY MAC / FUTURES $$ / WK 1

What's up FAMILY??

BEST OF HEALTH, BLESSINGS AND LUCK TO ALL COVERS BROTHERS AND SISTERS..

MISS YOU ALL more than I can put into words ...The CFB forum has been home for almost 14 years ...

Hope you're all doing Fantastic in Life and your wagers ..I've been watching CFB , but for first time in 31+ years of sports wagering  barely made any bets  (3-3 YTD / most less than a unit  ) ... Unfortunately Made a nice chunk of change betting back in March that College football would not start on time...In JUNE for the first time in my life I was PRAYING to LOSE BETS 

When I found out MAC FOOTBALL was coming back I CELEBRATED  by getting hammered and Baked ..

 ..Most people could give 2 craps about the MAC ( Understandably) , BUT I LOVE IT !!! 

The Plan is to FOCUS entirely on the MAC and my 2nd favorite conference ( PAC12 )

Going to need a a ton of discipline to avoid betting on the other conferences..LOL 

Let's Get to it 

Point Spread Ratings 

Predictions 

Futures

Week 1 wagers to follow ..

I’m right there with you my much respected brother. 

sweep your board, and bring back the COLOR

DoubleUp - Absolutely love your user profile pic/avatar or whatever it's called on here. I been lurking around for a bit but I made an account to make you aware of how fn awesome that is.

@steponaduck

 Where’s your picks this week my good man?

I'm waiting for your Buffalo season preview and NIU game analysis.....

I went all in on OHIO tommorow ML

please tell me ur thoughts on that game?

Looking forward to your Pac12 Futures. My gut is screaming that Oregon falls short & as much as I hate SC, something tells me it might be their year. 

MAC FUTURES 

I've made some BIG money over the years going large on MAC futures .

Also LOST my arse on them as well ..

I LOVE MY HOMETOWN UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO BULLS to WIN the EAST !!

In a "NORMAL" YEAR ( Probably LARGEST FOOTBALL FUTURE overall ) ....

HOWEVER there is a a FUGGIN PLAGUE/PANDEMIC / Whatever you believe GOING ON ....

WHO KNOWS how COVID IMPACTS a CONFERENCE with VERY LITTLE DEPTH on its ROSTERS  ..

That being said , I'll take a stab on a FEW LIVE schools to WIN the CONFERENCE at what I believe are DECENT PRICES..

The REAL OPPORTUNITY to MAKE $$$$$ on the MAC will be on WEEKLY GAME ATS/TOTAL WAGERING ..

ANYTHING COULD CHANGE ON TH E FLY !!! 

DUFL - Welcome Back!   As I mentioned on the other post, I am on Kent State and Buffalo this week along with SC.   I think all 3 are legit this season, and it will help Kent State that they don't have to get massacred by Penn State, Bama and Kentucky...Have a great week!  

BALL ST. is ONE  my COLLEGE COVID FOOTBALL INVESTMENT squads.

LED the MAC IN OFFENSE last year and could be the best again..

The DEFENSE can ONLY BE BETTER with 12 of the TOP 15 tacklers ( Believe its 11 of 18 at the moment ) ..

The WEST is WIDE OPEN 

FANTASTIC spot right off the bat to BEAT the DEFENDING MAC CHAMPIONS MIAMI OHIO ...

Wagering Key 1 UNIT = $200

BALL ST to WIN MAC +900

$560/$5,040  Seneca Niagara odds ..

.I'm getting +1350 from a local but that doesnt count on Covers ...This Intial $560 bet could offer plenty of Double Ups and hedges along the way !!!  See below ..

WEEK 1 

BALL ST +108 

$520/562.60

BALL ST -5.5 +180

$56/100.80 

My point spread Ratings have the Cardinals as a 6.3 + point chalk ..IF I'm WRONG , I'm Wrong ..Cest Le Vie ..

This really is NOT a BIG bet ..But at in this spot I would make it 100 out of 100 times ...

.NO Result would shock me with 17-24 year old Children , but it appears oddsmakers are tipping their hand wirh the current line ..

Ball St should have a major chip on their shoulders this season ...

This is my STRONGEST MAC PLAY FOR WEEK 1 !!! 

Always good insight 

Fantastic to hear from you ...

Thank you for your kindness ..Appreciate your time ..

Much respect...

My children have temporarily stolen my color ...

As they have every electronic at their disposal excluding our Phones.  

My Samsung 10 whatever CRICKET phone does not want to recognize the Color button on Covers ...LOL 

Sweep your board 

Thank you Brother 

I'm a 70's / 80's Kid that grew up on Sesame Street  ..

Oscar is the Perfect social role model for a Global Pandemic ...lol ....He talked to everybody from a distance , and knew when to keep it moving...

May you live in Fantastic health and make some great Bank $$$$ BROTHER 

In GOD'S TIME or whatever YOU BELIEVE in .

This should be the WACKIEST MAC SEASON EVER !!! 

GO GRAB BALL ST NOW ...They might be the Chalk before kickoff ( Practically are already ) 

BEST of LUCK BROTHER 

SWEEP your BOARD $$$$

Thank you

i agree ..bol 

Fantastic to hear from you ...one of my LONGEST MOST RESPECTED BROTHERS TRAIN 

Have always admired that you're never afraid to disagree or go against anyone about anything...

We would have a Fantastic time gambling together even if we're miles apart on a ton of things ...

Fun Fact ...My MACHO MAN HOOD , MARINE UNCLE  is NEVER SCARED of anything or anyone ...But passed out WATCHING SILENCE of THE LAMBS 

No result would shock me in this game .

.So Many question Mark's on both sides ..

Hope the Bobcats win easy for you , game is a pass for me ..

Best of luck Brother 

@DoubleUp4Life

 Thanks brother good luck to u too

Point Spread Ratings for Week 1 MAC games ONLY 

NOT for hypothetical or future matchups 

Suggested wagers are 3.4+ points off the actual point spread..

 BALL ST. 92.2.                   -6.3 

MIAMI OH  84  HF +1.9

EMU.  82.2 

KENT ST. 85.4  HF +2.         -5.2 

WESTERN MICHIGAN.  83.5.  -17.8 

AKRON.   64.6. HF +1.1

BOWLING GREEN  64.1

TOLEDO 88.4. HF +2.1    -26.4 

UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO. 96.3.   -14.1 

NORTHERN ILLINOIS  80.5 HF +1.7

 OHIO  87.4.             -2.7

CMU. 83. HF +1.7

The ONLY point spread Ratings suggest play for week 1 is BALL ST .

SCORE CHART 

Completely separate game breakdown from the point spread Ratings..I often use this for betting totals rather than games ATS ..

SUGGESTED Totals wagers are 4.4 + points off the actual total..

Take these numbers with a grain of salt .As they have a habit of going 3-0 one week , and 1-4 the next .. 

BALL ST.  33.  (55.5)

MIAMI OH  25

EMU.       27

KENT ST. 31.    (# UNDER  65.5)

WESTERN MICHIGAN. 31.  ( # UNDER 54.5 )

AKRON.   15

BOWLING GREEN  17

TOLEDO  42.    ( 62.5)

UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO.  34.  (52.5)

NORTHERN ILLINOIS. 20

OHIO.  29.  ( 57.5) 

CMU. 27

Great to hear from you my much respected Brother 

Some the PAC12 got smashed with Covid opt outs....

On paper the chalks should meet in the conference championship ( USC VS OREGON ) . I dont see much value in either winning the conference at the current odds .

Might be best to take a wait and see approach before betting more than 1 unit on any future or game ...

The Trojans have a lot coming back , but I'd want +300 or more and those odds are not there ( at the moment ) .

My pops who lived in Cali for awhile calls USC the University of spoiled Children ..He roots against them every week...Lol ..

Best of Luck Brother 

Sweep your board 

@DoubleUp4Life

 I try to assign characters to the people I engage with on Covers.

To me you are James Brown the preacher in The Blues Brothers.

$200 on Ball State ML at +112 it is

MAC EAST PREDICTIONS 

1. UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO        A deserving Chalk ??  ..Fantastic 2+ headed Running game , Solid O line ,  2 decent QBS ..Hard hitting defense that should make stops and create turnovers..The Local who gave me BALL ST at +1350 ,currently has the BULLS +170 to win the conference..  I have the BULLS as a TD chalk over anyone on an neutral field right now , but I don't see any value at 2-1 or less ..If you want to bet the BULLS TT OVERS might be the way to make money this season ..

2  OHIO.         HUGE LOSS of MAC STAR QB ROURKE , his Brother or a UNLV transfer will need to step up for the Bobcats to have a shot at winning the East .. All the top targets are back ..3 O lineman are gone ..Defense had 2 covid opt outs, but should be better than last year's soft numbers ..Taking a wait and see on Ohio , clearly as a BULLS fan I'm hoping Ohio loses tonight...At the current price If you like Ohio , you're probably just better off betting them weekly ATS ..

3. KENT ST.   DUAL THREAT QB Dustin Crum should be the best in the MAC ..Might end up playing on sundays soon . O line is a little small but returns 4 of 5 ..Top target is back but new options will have to step up ..The defense should improve with 8 of the top 10 tacklers return..Again small on the line..The comeback monster win over UB still haunts me, and my bankroll ..lol .. Having Crum at QB might give them a live shot at winning any game on the schedule..Golden Flashes could be a tad overrated as well ..Who knows???

4  MIAMI OHIO.      Suprise MAC CHAMPIONS last year..Offense was young and could be much better with so much returning...Now the bad news , the Red Hawks were 5-0 in one possession games and are LOSING a ton of playmakers off the defense and special teams ...Sure Miami could be live to win the MAC , but the losses on defense and special teams are massive , and we don't really know if the offense will be much better than average ...

5 and 6 

As horrible as Akron was last year ( one of the worst teams ever ?? ) Bowling Green might be worse ...You could make a strong case to insta Fade both of them every week ...I'll Pass week 1 , but will probably regret it ...

Standard wager #2 

UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO OVER 31.5  -115

$230/200. ( 1 UNIT )

Call it a homer play if you want , but I like this number better than I do the point spread ..Dont discredit UB from having a revenge angle from 2 seasons ago when NIU beat the BULLS in the MAC CHAMPIONSHIP...The monster choke  loss to Kent St should have the BULLS keeping their foot on the gas ..The running backs should be padding their stats in the 4th ...Backdoor could be left open though....Be careful