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Captain
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Posted: #1
Seriously this shit is the best.

Missouri beats UGA, florida loses a tough game to LSU. Florida -3 @ missouri. Everyone on Missouri Do people really think missouri is going to beat florida based on UGA gifting them that game with 4 turnovers?

Clemson tigers sluggish vs bc - FSU on bye week. FSU -3 at clemson. Everyone on clemson - might wanna be careful on those tigers. FSU off a bye week ain't no team to be f*cked with.

SC goes to arky and demolishes them. opens at -7 in Tenn. Tenn was on a bye week. Everyone on USC.

Washington kind of hung with Oregon, ASU whooped cream puff colorado. ASU -3 - everyone on washington

Iowa state hung with TTU (on the scoreboard - yardage and actual stats not so much) Baylor opens as over over 30 point favorite. Everyone on Iowa state.

Yep def looking at a bloodbath for either bookies or public this wknd. I'm leaning public.

Don't kid yourself either even though its monday the action on these games is not going to change.

What do you guys think, are you with the majority on any of these and why?
 
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Posted: #2
I don't know -- I was back and forth, like I agreed with half and disagreed with the other half.

Iowas State got three TDs from special teams, and Tech missed an easy FG and outgained ISU by like 335 yards.  I think Baylor covers.

I also like Florida.  A lot. However, I think USC may be the right side against UT.

Haven't looked at Washington.


 
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Posted: #3
Love Missouri QB Mauk. He's from my hometown, and I seen him play 50 times in HS. Bad dude.......over 18000 yds passing in high school. That being said, I'm on Florida large.
 
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Posted: #4
Tenn has a very balanced offense and at home I believe they can hang within 2 scores of any SEC team except for Alabama. USC has shown weakness on defense and Arky is not in the same class as Tenn. Tenn is middle of the SEC at least, arky is close to the bottom. Tenn is 0-2 in the SEC but the schedule wasn't exactly kind.
 
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Posted: #5
the vast majority of bettors will once again be on Baylor, don't judge by people who post on that forum, Baylor is a flashy team with their point scoring just like Oregon, people will continue to bet on those teams

right now the bettors are 10-1 on those two with the books getting smashed in the teeth and liking it


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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by trawler:

Love Missouri QB Mauk. He's from my hometown, and I seen him play 50 times in HS. Bad dude.......over 18000 yds passing in high school. That being said, I'm on Florida large.
 

lmfao this qb Mauk looks fagggot as hell man.... this guy is horrid to be kind... Give me flordia

 
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Posted: #7
Florida is favored because Franklin is out and its all over all sports channels, they couldn't possible set Mizzou as the favorite or they would get lopsided action

most bettors will take the favorite in that game, maybe not on covers but in the real world there will be more money on Florida
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Posted: #8
I have many different sources that say the majority of action from certain books is coming in on Iowa state.

Couldnt give a crap about the Oregon line, game is not even on the radar for this week.

Baylor is flashy but thats a sh*t load of points after they looked very average against KSU.

All these bets are basically counting on the public over-analyzing what they saw this week and applying it to next weeks games, with the exception of FSU of course, I just cant fade FSU off a bye week.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by eliminat0r85:

I have many different sources that say the majority of action from certain books is coming in on Iowa state.

Couldnt give a crap about the Oregon line, game is not even on the radar for this week.

Baylor is flashy but thats a sh*t load of points after they looked very average against KSU.

All these bets are basically counting on the public over-analyzing what they saw this week and applying it to next weeks games, with the exception of FSU of course, I just cant fade FSU off a bye week.
Oh, the majority now is on Iowa St, that I can understand but as the week goes, Baylor will get bet alot, they will get more action in virtually every game they play unless the skill players get hurt
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Posted: #10
You're right about florida though more people will prob jump on that, they opened the line as a PK on sunday and its up to -3. Prob can't be it now as value is gone. Mizz is in a classic let down spot though.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

Oh, the majority now is on Iowa St, that I can understand but as the week goes, Baylor will get bet alot, they will get more action in virtually every game they play unless the skill players get hurt


I really don't think Baylor is going to jump out as the majority in this game with that spread. Like I said although Baylor is flashy and can score, 4+ TD's is quite a bit and I think most are going to be underestimating them based on what they saw this week.
 
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Posted: #12
Everyone dropping their paychecks on Louisville and UCF beating them would just be awesome.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by eliminat0r85:

Everyone dropping their paychecks on Louisville and UCF beating them would just be awesome.
wouldn't surprise me if they lost

I have ucf in a teaser +18.5 so I like that but also thinking of the 12.5, something with UCF just doesn't sit well with me though and I can't put my finger on it
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Posted: #14
^ Its probably their underachieving road play so far this year. Squeaker vs PSU, squeaker vs Memphis.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by trawler:

Love Missouri QB Mauk. He's from my hometown, and I seen him play 50 times in HS. Bad dude.......over 18000 yds passing in high school. That being said, I'm on Florida large.

You talk about UGA gift wrapping it. UGA did this with Tenn too. Except won. 

Be cautious taking UT. As SC has more motivation, with UGA's loss. I'd be VERY high on SC if it was a night game. But it's a 12pm kick. Nonetheless, I'd take SC 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Will5900:


You talk about UGA gift wrapping it. UGA did this with Tenn too. Except won. 

Be cautious taking UT. As SC has more motivation, with UGA's loss. I'd be VERY high on SC if it was a night game. But it's a 12pm kick. Nonetheless, I'd take SC 


win/lose none of that matters when you're betting the spread. UGA gift wrapped the cover for tenn and they gift wrapped it for mizz. USC on the road @ tenn is going to be a tough game just look at the history man. USC will be motivated to win. i'm not saying tenn is going to win i'm saying tenn keeps it within single digits.
 
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Posted: #17
See your point, just disagree. If anything It's a no bet for me. Thoughts on A&M?
 
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Posted: #18
I think A&M wins by 2TD's - its probably not gonna make my card though.
 
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Posted: #19
Would agree. Haven't played at home in sometime. Would like revenge of an alabama state school. Auburn is 'ranked.' Bad spot for the tigers
 
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Posted: #20
You have to remember it is week 8, that means a lot of square money is out of the game with a busted bankroll. 

Also, a game may feel like all the squares are on one side, but in reality the opposite is the case, or there is 50/50 action.  Even if you are a bookie, you only know that all of your bettors are on the same side, other books will have other action, especially in the hometowns of the teams, and how old the bettors are.

But you missed by far and away the best square pick of the week, and probably second best of the year.

Oregon St -14 or less at Cal.

This is a perfect storm for everyone to take Ore St.

There is "no reason" to bet Cal.  Please find me one.  Yes, they are at home, but they haven't played too many good home games in 3 years.

Ore St just had a convincing cover vs a Wash St team a lot of people like, and their Utah win now looks better.  They have not lost in Berkeley since 1997.

The line opened at 7 or 7.5 and it was 10.5 this morning,

This is the late game.  Anyone up money or chasing will be betting big.  Who is going to take Cal at less than 3 TDs?


 
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Posted: #21

Mauk will be a TO machine in this game. His first live action against a strong SEC defense, after shredding Ohio farmboys for 4 years in Ohio. He threw 2 passes Saturday. One was underthrown that BGreen made a good catch on, and the other goes the other way for 6 if the defender makes a play.

 

Call me square if ya want. Florida wins easy.

 
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Posted: #22
I like your thinking. Gluck
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

You have to remember it is week 8, that means a lot of square money is out of the game with a busted bankroll. 

Also, a game may feel like all the squares are on one side, but in reality the opposite is the case, or there is 50/50 action.  Even if you are a bookie, you only know that all of your bettors are on the same side, other books will have other action, especially in the hometowns of the teams, and how old the bettors are.

But you missed by far and away the best square pick of the week, and probably second best of the year.

Oregon St -14 or less at Cal.

This is a perfect storm for everyone to take Ore St.

There is "no reason" to bet Cal.  Please find me one.  Yes, they are at home, but they haven't played too many good home games in 3 years.

Ore St just had a convincing cover vs a Wash St team a lot of people like, and their Utah win now looks better.  They have not lost in Berkeley since 1997.

The line opened at 7 or 7.5 and it was 10.5 this morning,

This is the late game.  Anyone up money or chasing will be betting big.  Who is going to take Cal at less than 3 TDs?




I didn't miss it, I have no points to defend cal other than. OSU almost 2 TD faves on the road. LOL
Cal will prob. win straight up
 
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Posted: #24
Also C'mon Thorpe everyone is the public, the public never runs out of money.

I just look at boards like these, espn and pretty much everywhere on the internet, I see where the unanimous decisions lie in these games I just start laughing. Like why are you confident that this team is going to destroy another team that received an extra week to prepare for this so called buzz saw coming this way. I'll always take the coach who had more time to prepare him team for a game, i'll also always fade a suspect team coming off a huge victory the week after.

These situations pretty much define every matchup on my card this week with the exception of Baylor. In that one Iowa st was lucky to be anywhere close to TTU and I fully believe that Baylor would make TTU look like a HS squad and we will see it later this year.

I'd also be worry if I was a cardinal fan. UCF off a bye week is going to be no joke, they've been suspect on the road this year, but this game is their superbowl.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by eliminat0r85:

Everyone dropping their paychecks on Louisville and UCF beating them would just be awesome.




I'm glad all this bridgewater heisman talk and NC run talk is now over.
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