LONGHORNHOOSIER - NCAAF - Week 2, 2024

LONGHORNHOOSIER 

Results - Covers Posted Plays

Weeks 0-1 - ATS - 1-3-0  - 25% 

STD - ATS - 1-3-0 - 25%

Week 0 - Southern Methodist -24 over @Nevada - Reno- Weird game; took Nevada lightly; Nevada better than preseason expectations; SMU scored last 16 points and won straight up; SMU burned a lot of people...

Week 1 - Georgia -13 over Clemson - in Atlanta- 2 words, Beat Down...Georgia will be the #1 contender for the NC this season...

Week 1 - @Syracuse - 17 over Ohio- Cuse, suspect D, not as many points as expected from O and McCord; Ohio played inspired

Week 1 - @South Carolina -20 over Old Dominion - sloppy rain delayed game; SC could not pass well; SC D saved the day for a win; will be a tougher go against @Kentucky

Week 2 - Picks - Lines at Heritage

@Southern Methodist -11.5 over Brigham Young

Predicted Score - SMU 38 BYU 21

Rationale - SMU got off to a rough start @Nevada after being perhaps over hyped while joining the ACC; rotating QB's Stone and Jennings still a concern; embarrassed by performance at Nevada, will defer "making a statement" to this gave against Big 12 BYU at home; SMU should have the advantage at the skill positions, and if they worked on issues against run, improvement in rush D; weather suppose to be nice in Dallas; nationally televised game; its time for SMU to show up or shut up...I believe SMU will win and cover...

Weather - 11% chance of rain - Wind 9 MPH

Texas -7.5 over @Michigan

Predicted Score - Texas 28 Michigan 13

Rationale - Game at the Big House, early start; and yes I am a Texas Homer; always scary for me to back Texas especially on the road against the defending NC; I was at the Rose Bowl on January 1, 2005 when Texas beat Michigan on a walk off FG; it was glorious, and set us up to win the NC in 2005; Texas has the advantage at QB, though sometimes I hold my breath when Ewers drops back; Michigan has the advantage at RB due to Texas injuries at the position; Texas passing game and WR should have an advantage; Michigan has a stanch and well coached D; that will limit Texas; Texas has some talent and experience on D as well; I think this game will come down to the advantage that Texas has at the QB position, along with making the playoff in the 2023 season along with going to Tuscaloosa last September and leaving with a win; the line opened at Texas -3 I believe, and its up to Texas -7.5, which is always scary to get sucked into the public inflation; but the line has maintained strength over 7 so perhaps the sharps like Texas at this number as well, which may be a bullish sign for Texas; It should be an excellent game, and hopefully Texas will prove something to its doubters that it can come into the Big House and come away with a win and a cover.

Weather - 40% chance or rain; 14 MPH wind

I HIT MY 4000 CHARACTER LIMIT...CONTINUED ON NEXT POST - LHH

CONTINUED...

@Utah -15 over Baylor

Predicted Score - Utah 38 Baylor 17

Rationale - Utah coming off a marginal year with the loss of Rising at QB (a tr from Texas BTW).    Rising is back along with 15 starters playing an afternoon game.  Kyle Whittingham is one of the longest tenured coaches in the business and one of the best;  Baylor's Aranda is on the hot seat, so he will have his troops motivated; he is an excellent coach; Baylor's starting QB DeQuan Finn presents some challenges to Utah along with Baylor returning 19 starters from a 3-9 team; Baylor's D will be improved; but I believe Utah's D wll be as well; @Utah is a tough place to play and with the almost mile high elevation at 4,226 feet, may have an impact on Baylor in the 4th.  Though 15 points is a lot of chalk, I think Utah will come away with a win and a cover. 

Weather - 0% chance of rain; warm and partial sunshine

@Central Florida -21.5 over Sam Houston State

Predicted Score - UCF 42 Sam Houston 13

Rationale - Sam, as we refer to Sam Houston down here in Texas, shocked Rice with a 34 to 14 win @Rice as a 10 pt dog; Sam's Coach Keeler is in his 11th year, and did well in FCS before bumping up to FBS last year.  Sam went 3-9 last season with the growing pains of jumping; Sam has a solid QB in Hunter Watson a JC transfer and an aggressive D, at least against Rice; however, I think this is a mismatch at the Bounce House in Orlando; 4 star and Arkansas tr KJ Jefferson takes over at QB; with RJ Harvey and Peny Boone at RB, a competent WR core 15 returning starters including 7 on Offense; an experienced secondary.   I think UCF's advantage in this night game, is team speed and experience; UCF played at Big 12 schedule last season and finished 6 - 6 in the regular season with the loss in the bowl to Ga Tech; UCF steamrolled New Hampshire 57-3  and did not score in the 4th; I think Sam will play tough for a quarter, but eventually UCF's team speed, focus, coaching and better athletes will result in a comfortable UCF win and cover. 

Weather - 48% Chance of rain; cloudy and humid

I place an equal weight on these four picks to cover, thus no priority.  Again, I post these picks each week to keep myself accountable.   I am certainly not a tout...Do your own research...And don't come back to this page if you decide to tail me and whine that you lost...With my record so far this season, I may be fade material. Remember, its your money... GLTA this week and let's beat the books!  

GL this week!

GL this week

stack bills pal

"With my record so far this season, I may be fade material" and you forget to add last season and possibly beyond!  

Hopefully your capping skills will have you winning them all this week. The only pick I really do not like this week is your texas pick. Utah and SMU I would view as strong choices. 

Thanks - I have been posting picks on here since 2007, so if you go back, you will see that I have done well at times.  In particular, I hit 70% full season in 2015.   GL to you as well. 

Just went and looked and you posted FAKE INFORMATION! but it does not matter, as the only thing matters is you winning this week!

I never posted any fake information.    I am not going to get into a debate with you.  Your next derogatory post on any of my strings this season will be reported to the Covers Moderators and you will be ignored.  

What was derogatory? I posted factual information, and even told you to have a great weekend with your games. Quit acting like a child and grow up. Instead of worrying about other posters you do not know, focus on football. Again have a successful weekend with your plays and have a great season. I am out as I am grown!

You were reported.   

No problem as they will see I did nothing wrong other than respond to your false information where you claimed of a having a 70 percent winning percentage which is laughable. You directed this comment directly to me.  I follow the rules of the forum, and obviously you have mental and emotional issues, as you were just threatening and arguing with Spottie among others last week. I wish you the best, and stick to football instead of fighting with others, and stick to posting truthful information.  For the 3rd time I wish you the best. I do not get upset with people who I do not know, as that is childish behavior. 

Good luck this week mate. I would not bet on UCF...in fact i have a sizeable position on SHSU. I like Texas and SMU, 

Good luck longhorn 

I also reported this one to the moderators...Keep it up.   Stay off my string.  Thank you.  

To the other posters - Does this guy sound like perhaps he was previously a poster here on Covers...that maybe was banned by the moderators...for bullying...I am thinking Wolfe or maybe Urban Wildlife...Regardless, when this guy or others like him post on my string, I will report them to the Moderators...I put a lot of time into this hobby, and I am honest and transparent.   Life is too short to have to deal with this...With that being said, I am open to constructive feedback, like that Step provided above on UCF.   Spottie and I are now cool, so no issues there.   The goal here should be to help each other beat the books...

@LonghornHoosier

 BOL on the plays this week. Block out the noise. 

@PRIMETIMEE21

 What was your previous user name? I am a betting man (though my posted plays have sucked) and I'd bet a gazillion dollars as my lock of the century that you were here and banned prior. BOL 

Possibly an injury to Stone in regards to the rotation?  Stone was very impressive last year as a Freshman so I'm confused on why the rotation is happening.  Nonetheless I agree with your assessment of tonight's game, I got the line at -10.  Hopefully we'll see each other at the pay window.  

AGREE.

GL LH!

@LonghornHoosier

Agree.  Best of luck man

What these trolls dont realize is that LongHorn has been the top dog here for YEARS, hitting above 60% almost every year since he's started posting.  He is basically SyracuseJoe but with a lot more plays.  Matter of fact, do yourself a favor LongHorn and shut these trolls up and post your year by year records.

You obviously are LonghornHoosier as almost all of your posting history is about telling everyone how great LonghornHoosier is, but good try. 

LonghornHoosier what is your take on the Nebraska/Colorado game? 

@Skymasters0n

 Ha ha. What a bunch of lies.