LSU Under 6.5 wins

I love the Tigers with all of my heart, but being an alum from Southeastern Louisina in the historic city of good ol' Hammond Louisiana, I have the privilege of betting against the Bayou Bengals. I'd like to look at it as a win-win scenario, here I want to take the Tigers at face value, I see them as a 6 win team this year, cut and dry, and hey if they do better, sure I'll lose some money, but I'll relish in a predominately good season, and that's alright for me.

Actually I think things are pretty bad here, and recruiting hasn't seemed to pick up with coach O either, and let's not get started on not landing Jimbo, that one hurts big time, and I think we'll feel that sting this year.

To start, our defense should be our best bet, returning key starters in Greedy, Battle, Delpit (who was injured in the scrimmage game) and (future 1st rounder) Devin White at LB, but where will the offense come from?

Running Backs Clyde and Brossette are basically freshmen and neither have major playing time, I'd say Clyde has the upper hand and better talent. WR's even less experience: Fresh Terrance Marshall will get a chance to show his skills early, and likely starters Sullivan and Anderson will be relied on as upperclassmen, none of which has over 10 catches in their careers... scary.

And the Qb: sure we got transfer Joe Burrow from OSU but with inexperience all around I'm not asking him for much, couple that with Myles Brennan who was highly touted and comes with a good pedigree, yet his snaps at LSU have been limited and in garbage time. Either way, to come in and command the offense at this point will be daunting. 

Don't get me started with new OC Steve Ensminger, didn't impress me before and likely won't show me anything special here in his new role.

So let's look at the schedule. A part from the opener against Miami, the non-conference schedule are duds (including the valiant Lions of SLU which I will be in attendance) so that's 3 Wins off the bat:

SLU - W

La Tech - W

Rice - W

Here's where it get's tough. LSU has never lost to A&M since they came to the SEC, but A&M are a rising stock and LSU a faltering one, I think the shift in coaching styles and improvements on the Aggies will help get them over the hump this year. I won't even consider the upsets with Georgia and Alabama here, so now we sit at 3-2

Georgia - L

Alabama - L

A&M - L 

We've struggled with Arkansas and State over the last few years, and the physical battle with Florida every year doesn't help. Playing down to an opponent is real, and factor in each of these games are sandwiched between juggernauts like Georgia and Bama which will mentally and physically tax us, I see another 1-2 scenario:

Florida - W(still early, and fresher so I like our chances and talent)

Miss St - L (coming off Georgia, no thanks) 

Arkansas - L (they've had our number and now with a revamped offense and juice another tough spot) 

Miami and Auburn are the turning points for me, win both and we easily eclipse 6 wins. LSU tends to fair pretty well in openers, but this is a new season and a new team. I like what Mark is doing with Miami and think they can be an 8-9 win team. They have the better team at the start of the season and better coaching staff.

Miam - L

Auburn is a toss up and I'd like to think we can get off on the right foot into the SEC, grow in maturity and confidence. So I'll take this hard fought win.

Auburn - W

5-6... wait, we can't be that bad can we? I think I just upchucked. 

LSU Under 6.5 wins: $500 to win $600 (+120)

5 Dimes has the LSU total at 7 -120......L just dont see LSU winning 8 VS that schedule..........I would do some line hunting before you lock in 6.5.

I don’t see them beating Auburn, Florida, and Mississippi State. BM has under 7 at +108. They do not get 8.