What are we thinking on this one? Ideally from people who watched that Navy/Memphis game and the UCF/Cinci game as I did. My talking out loud thoughts below:
- Second half of that Cinci game it seemed to me that UCF may have a better defense than the score said. I have a lean that the defense shows up tonight for UCF and this game doesn’t end up the greatest show on turf as the O/U semi predicts - but I’m not touching the over under.
- Memphis and UCF both have bad losses but UCF is 3-0 at home (2 with the correct QB who is now dead and one with the now backup QB who is the starter against a JV team) Does this strong home field advantage still hold weight with this backup now against real comp?
- is Memphis real comp? I’m close to being sold on them being a team that beats up on trash and then loses games just like this when pressed and away in hostile environments. We all know the type of team I’m talking about.
- IMO we are in the toughest time of college football to cap and win games because the linesmakers now have all of the info they need from the previous weeks. Sketchy lines are left and right this week (see App state coastal game, army games, Clemson game, etc for example) - Is this another that we should look at carefully as money pours in on Memphis?
- as you all know I’m a HUGE believer in line movement/money split/public %, etc on my wagers in the NFL but I don’t think it holds the same weight in college due to the physical advantage from week to week/game to game in college - but just for talking point, we are at 87% of the money @ 67% of the tickets currently on Memphis.
let’s hear what you guys got - I have a lean.
Hot Forum Topics
