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    All Forums | College Football

    Miami vs Louisville

    12 Next Last»
    165yds
    WussieMan
    camby700
    VinnyCooch
    DickyR
    ...
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    12 Next Last»
     
    165yds
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:40 PM ET #1

    First thing that jumped out was wow I can get nearly a TD at home with a 9-3 club?  Miami doesn't really travel well, heck their fans don't even go to home games but the perception is there.  This feels like a sucker bet when I saw the current line but lets get into a bit.

    Miami makes big plays and has weapons all over the field at the WR position even without Duke.  My problem is Morris, he's not as good as his numbers suggest.  How he's at nearly 60% completion rate I don't know how.  He's not that accurate.  What's weird about this offense as explosive as they are they have a high % in 3 and outs and turnovers (21), that's not going to fly tonight against this top notch defense.  

    Cards defense is top five in every major defensive category.  Last two times the Canes have faced a top 5 defense they got killed in both games against FSU and Tech.  

    Canes biggest problem will be on defense.  They don't have one match up in their favor on the entire field.  How are they going to stop the Cards?  Maybe most of you think Cards offense is slow and methodical and that's true but they'll have no problems scoring what I believe will be in the mid 30's.  They are banged up with some injuries but shouldn't matter much in what is a bad bad defense.  

    Say what you want but the Cards are a sound play smart fundamental football.  Maybe the Canes stick around for a half but the better team will take over and the Canes only have so many tricks up their sleeve to even keep this close and will have to play a perfect game.  Sometimes the other team is just too good.

    The pick..

    Cardinals -6


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    First thing that jumped out was wow I can get nearly a TD at home with a 9-3 club?  Miami doesn't really travel well, heck their fans don't even go to home games but the perception is there.  This feels like a sucker bet when I saw the current line but lets get into a bit.

    Miami makes big plays and has weapons all over the field at the WR position even without Duke.  My problem is Morris, he's not as good as his numbers suggest.  How he's at nearly 60% completion rate I don't know how.  He's not that accurate.  What's weird about this offense as explosive as they are they have a high % in 3 and outs and turnovers (21), that's not going to fly tonight against this top notch defense.  

    Cards defense is top five in every major defensive category.  Last two times the Canes have faced a top 5 defense they got killed in both games against FSU and Tech.  

    Canes biggest problem will be on defense.  They don't have one match up in their favor on the entire field.  How are they going to stop the Cards?  Maybe most of you think Cards offense is slow and methodical and that's true but they'll have no problems scoring what I believe will be in the mid 30's.  They are banged up with some injuries but shouldn't matter much in what is a bad bad defense.  

    Say what you want but the Cards are a sound play smart fundamental football.  Maybe the Canes stick around for a half but the better team will take over and the Canes only have so many tricks up their sleeve to even keep this close and will have to play a perfect game.  Sometimes the other team is just too good.

    The pick..

    Cardinals -6


     
    WussieMan
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:47 PM ET #2

    lol at top notch defense.. vs whom dude, they play.scrubs in the big L E A S T!!
    Reply
    lol at top notch defense.. vs whom dude, they play.scrubs in the big L E A S T!!
     
    camby700
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:48 PM ET #3

    BRIDGEWATER WILL

    Im on it LARGE

    GL BRO

    Reply

    BRIDGEWATER WILL

    Im on it LARGE

    GL BRO

     
    VinnyCooch
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:49 PM ET #4

    Confused here.

    Cards D numbers are good. But who have they played?

    Cincy getting dominated by UNC.


    Is this a repeat? 



    Reply
    Confused here.

    Cards D numbers are good. But who have they played?

    Cincy getting dominated by UNC.


    Is this a repeat? 



     
    DickyR
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:52 PM ET #5

    I am not saying UM will win but did you see what UCF did to LOUISVILLE ?
    Reply
    I am not saying UM will win but did you see what UCF did to LOUISVILLE ?
     
    Daran.T
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:53 PM ET #6

    165, this was the exact capper angle I was looking for.  Yes, it's true that teams with low turnover margins (such as Miami, #59 BCS) is not going to change any in this bowl game.  They may even fumble the ball in their own redzone.  This is going to be a scary game if Miami doesn't come out firing efficiently in the first half.  
    Reply
    165, this was the exact capper angle I was looking for.  Yes, it's true that teams with low turnover margins (such as Miami, #59 BCS) is not going to change any in this bowl game.  They may even fumble the ball in their own redzone.  This is going to be a scary game if Miami doesn't come out firing efficiently in the first half.  
     
    Professional1
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:54 PM ET #7

    Disagree ville are frauds 
    Reply
    Disagree ville are frauds 
     
    FlashThatUUU
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:54 PM ET #8

    GL 165  
    Reply
    GL 165  
     
    topohill
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:56 PM ET #9

    I'm on Miami +5.5, Miami ML, and Under 59.5.

    The ACC is better than people think.

    Best of luck.
    Reply
    I'm on Miami +5.5, Miami ML, and Under 59.5.

    The ACC is better than people think.

    Best of luck.
     
    165yds
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 5:56 PM ET #10

    Wussie I don't care if you play a Pop Warner team the numbers don't lie.  You want to take 6 with that defense good luck with that.  They have no shot of stopping the Cards passing attack.

    I heard the same thing last year when the played Florida and pasted them.  

    Canes are frauds and so is their qb.
    Reply
    Wussie I don't care if you play a Pop Warner team the numbers don't lie.  You want to take 6 with that defense good luck with that.  They have no shot of stopping the Cards passing attack.

    I heard the same thing last year when the played Florida and pasted them.  

    Canes are frauds and so is their qb.
     
    165yds
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:00 PM ET #11

    DickyR every team has games they struggle or don't show up.  

    Daran I have about 20 questions for the Canes tonight.  Too many to justify a play on them.  Don't even think this will be close by the end of the third quarter.
    Reply
    DickyR every team has games they struggle or don't show up.  

    Daran I have about 20 questions for the Canes tonight.  Too many to justify a play on them.  Don't even think this will be close by the end of the third quarter.
     
    Ribeye
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:01 PM ET #12

    north carolina -2.5 VS cincinnati.....NOW
    means north carolina is stronger than cincinnati by 2,5 points

    Miami -9.5 vs n.carolina on 10/17/2013
    louisville -3 vs cincinnati on 12/05/2013

    but why does louisville give 6 point to miami if miami fav by 9,5 points againts n.carolina ??

    Reply
    north carolina -2.5 VS cincinnati.....NOW
    means north carolina is stronger than cincinnati by 2,5 points

    Miami -9.5 vs n.carolina on 10/17/2013
    louisville -3 vs cincinnati on 12/05/2013

    but why does louisville give 6 point to miami if miami fav by 9,5 points againts n.carolina ??

     
    Daran.T
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:01 PM ET #13

    It would matter if Louisville is playing against an SEC or a PAC12 team.  This is an AAC vs a ACC team.  The trend here isn't favoring a jump on ACC teams.  In fact, the AAC (BIG EAST) covered 55% ATS of their last 5 years of bowls, while the ACC only covered 48%.  Only as dogs should you fade the BIG EAST/AAC.  The Big East as 6+ dog = 4-15 last 5 years.
    Reply
    It would matter if Louisville is playing against an SEC or a PAC12 team.  This is an AAC vs a ACC team.  The trend here isn't favoring a jump on ACC teams.  In fact, the AAC (BIG EAST) covered 55% ATS of their last 5 years of bowls, while the ACC only covered 48%.  Only as dogs should you fade the BIG EAST/AAC.  The Big East as 6+ dog = 4-15 last 5 years.
     
    WussieMan
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:02 PM ET #14

    Covers.com home page curse... :^)
    Reply
    Covers.com home page curse... :^)
     
    camby700
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:03 PM ET #15

    Duke Johnson being out for canes certainly is not a good thing for Canes backers

    Reply

    Duke Johnson being out for canes certainly is not a good thing for Canes backers

     
    165yds
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:05 PM ET #16

    Ribeye stop you're making too much sense.  The current line is really all you need to know.  Home game and getting 6 against a team that everyone disrespects.  Only the oddsmakers and bookmakers respect what's going to happen tonight.
    Reply
    Ribeye stop you're making too much sense.  The current line is really all you need to know.  Home game and getting 6 against a team that everyone disrespects.  Only the oddsmakers and bookmakers respect what's going to happen tonight.
     
    theIntrospect
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:12 PM ET #17

    Louisville 
    Reply
    Louisville 
     
    EDDIEW
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:18 PM ET #18

    nc beating up on cinncy ,,,cincy gave Louisville a hard time ...love Miami to beat the ville
    Reply
    nc beating up on cinncy ,,,cincy gave Louisville a hard time ...love Miami to beat the ville
     
    ghpdiego
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:19 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by 165yds:

    Wussie I don't care if you play a Pop Warner team the numbers don't lie.  You want to take 6 with that defense good luck with that.  They have no shot of stopping the Cards passing attack.

    I heard the same thing last year when the played Florida and pasted them.  

    Canes are frauds and so is their qb.

      Good cappin, glad to have stumbled on this....gl

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by 165yds:

    Wussie I don't care if you play a Pop Warner team the numbers don't lie.  You want to take 6 with that defense good luck with that.  They have no shot of stopping the Cards passing attack.

    I heard the same thing last year when the played Florida and pasted them.  

    Canes are frauds and so is their qb.

      Good cappin, glad to have stumbled on this....gl

     
    Professional1
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:24 PM ET #20

    Cover or not you're betting a bad number that's not sharp 
    Reply
    Cover or not you're betting a bad number that's not sharp 
     
    165yds
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:28 PM ET #21

    Pro I don't post numbers that are not available at the moment.  Don't think it's fair.  I posted UNC -3 but got a much better number.
    Reply
    Pro I don't post numbers that are not available at the moment.  Don't think it's fair.  I posted UNC -3 but got a much better number.
     
    pavaman58
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 6:42 PM ET #22

    Miami's team speed will surprise Louisville, it will be a close game, take the 6.
    Reply
    Miami's team speed will surprise Louisville, it will be a close game, take the 6.
     
    DORIAN07
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 7:56 PM ET #23

    Good Call
    Reply
    Good Call
     
    wmi799
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 8:11 PM ET #24

    Nice day so far 165
    Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
    Reply
    Nice day so far 165
     
     
    chris5641
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 8:21 PM ET #25

    Touchdown Teddy 
    Reply
    Touchdown Teddy 
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