Michigan Nuclear Option

YTD. 14-7+ $ 7,200

Michigan -4  $4000 

Michigan,,, rout in progress. With the situation at Michigan,,,, they not only have the better team,,, they have the “MOTIVATION” to not win but to go full nuclear on Penn State. I don’t see them letting off the gas here,,, it’s hard to keep 18-24 yr olds engaged once they get the lead,,, now they have a reason to crush Penn

..and they will. 

How did the line not change 

I just called and laid another 4k, the juice went up and my guy is laying it off to another bookie. He is worried tomorrow and I have never seen him sweat any bet till tonight! So now I have Michigan for 8k, which will get me a second power pole for my boat!

my local bookie maxes me out at 1k. total BS

Michigan will lose then beat up on Maryland and take out Ohio St and likely have a 3 way tie. For what it is worth Michigan may be the best of the 3 . I think both are slightly better than Penn St. I also think not enough to make up for playing on the road. JMO. GL

i don't see it being a blowout at all. It was drama all week and will be til the final whistle, that makes a lot more sense to me plus both teams have almost identical ppg and points allowed is pretty close  too with Michigan (who has yet to play Ohio St) a little better

Big 10 BS Blowout BOL 

@dukerules01

 I can’t believe you’re wagering your entire listed profit of $7200 and some on this game. 

If you placed this bet with an online Sportsbook I would’ve advised you to cash out and play a smaller position. You’re all in on this game though? I can’t believe it. I would be sweating if I was you.

things that worry me about this game:

game of the day across major sportsbooks with profit boost incentives

as I’m writing this up 67% of $ is on Mich ML 70% of $ on Mich -4.5 

Drama around HC banning 

early game for the public to lose and chase their losses for the rest of the day

with these circumstances a small position on the dog makes more sense than a large position on the favorite.

Do not justify a bet by saying the players are going to fight and play harder because xyz. This mindset will only lose you money as you’re playing into speculation rather than the evidence provided to you.

with all this being said you and 60% of the ppl taking Mich could come out on top and very profitable but it isn’t a sure thing. Certainly not for 8K. I’ve been there before and it’s never easy watching a game with that kind of cash on the line. 

@BreakEvenBrian

 I’m with you. I would stay far far away from this matchup. Too much uncertainty on both sides for me

@smellybunty

 Michigan  wins today by 10ish & win out big with route on Ohio State . Blue on a Mission this year . Bowl loss last year left a sour taste in Coach's mouth . Gl with your plays

14-7 +7200    son....buddy...fellow human....think about how bummed out you would be at  14-8 (-8800 or 8000) and be -1600 or -800 with that fine record......BEST OF LUCK BUD.....i can't make any sense of the risk but you are not me and i have learned long ago the vast variety of people on the planet....hope you win..

I like it. Michigan whips Ped State. I see a thomping. Michigan Players come in pissed and focused. 

A wise man once told me to only bet what you are willing to lose. Takes all the joy away from the day when you take an early loss on a heavy play. I’ve been there more times than I would like to remember. Best of luck

Everyone is saying Michigan will be extra motivated and yes they should be. But if penn state can start the game strong, then that Michigan motivation is so over the top that it can turn into frustration very quickly if it doesn't go their way. Plenty can go wrong when you're too hyped up. Overaggressive defense getting burned, QB overthrows (even more likely with a running QB), etc. If penn state scores and gets a stop to begin the game, then they probably win. Michigan is no doubt the better team and Franklin hasn't proven he can win big games, but this line does not feel right.

@smellybunty

 Every year people underestimate home field at big venues.  Penn st will win or cover.

@dukerules01

 Student section will be storming the field with a win today. Look for home field advantage to be the difference today.

Alt Line -9.5?!

@dukerules01

 I don’t post much. But I can’t my help myself when I see the forum making critical errors. The last time I posted the entire forum was laying all-ins against the Buckeyes when they faced Penn State. So here I am again! 

DO NOT TAKE MICHIGAN HERE! Penn state will get the job done at home today. I’ll subscribe to they haven’t play anyone yet and especially on the road.  Everyone throwing around the word “Motivation” instead of “DISTRACTIONS”. These kids are thinking about the transfer portal and their next home. I hate Franklin and I know he can’t win the big games! If the lions convertsome third downs they beat the mighty Buckeyes. But the Buckeyes have been dominate on the third downs all year! Not to mention that being Allar first big road game. I think the Qb shows out today at home against an over rated Wolverine defense even with knowing the plays.

For you theorists, NCAA probably wants Michigan to lose today. They don’t want any unwanted drama going into the college playoffs. Should Michigan get in even though they cheated? Lose today and that noise is over. 

Good luck to everyone today! Like the Buckeyes when I posted last, I have a lot on Penn State today.

@Smashed69

Wait so cheating scandals motivate the players now?  And you are going all in because of this against the best opponent they have played this year.  Have to fade this