Natty Lines - Value on Ohio State?

I think there’s value on Ohio State at +1400 and curious thoughts from others. I do believe Georgia wins it overall but don’t see value in that line.

I estimate there’s a 75% chance of them being in the CFP (need either USC or TCU to lose). Then Ohio State has a 25% chance against Georgia and then say a 60% chance against whoever is left. That gives them an 11% chance to win at 14-1 payout. Curious for thoughts on this analysis. 

I'm going to jump all of over this. The committee knows exactly what they're doing. I wouldn't be surprised if both TCU and USC loses this weekend. Now making a GA vs Bama matchup and an OSU vs Mich matchup. You talk about ratings. NCAA and the Television network would love this. Would be $$$$$$$ I still think OSU will win it all. They want that SCUM again, if our coach knew how to call plays, OSU should have been winning by 21 or more at the half. 

But back to your original question, yes I would throw some out there. Why not? TCU is going down to Kansas State. When that happens, OSU is in. 

FWIW, the odds dropped from 14-1 to 10-1 in the last 24 hours. I guess others had similar thoughts, lol.

There's no value in Ohio St at anything under 100-1.....decent chance they don't even make it in....then, a very good chance they can't beat 2 of the other 3 best teams if they do make it in....

You will know tonight if they have a chance to get in, if they are ahead of bama they have a very good chance of getting in, all takes is just 1 of either usc or tcu to lose sat, if bama ahead of them they would need both to lose. Tcu still may get in w a loss, people saying no way, tcu and bama common opponent was Texas and tcu had a better win against Texas, bama survived against Texas 

People confuse getting into the playoff with winning it.  It is easier to luck into a playoff spot with other teams choking than to beat the best 2 teams (as a 4 seed, they face the best 2 teams)

K-State and Utah are rolling right now. They are both winning. My final 4, Georgia, michigan, Ohio state, Alabama in that order. Georgia versus alabama, Michigan versus Ohio State. Alabama versus Ohio State. Alabama national champions. I don't like Alabama or Nick Saban. But that's how I see it. I'm going to have small to decent wagers on K-State and Utah money lines. One of them will win for sure, and I'll be okay wager-wise

Utah beat USC by a point at home 7 weeks ago...

Williams passed them blind....Utah wasnt  sure they would beat

USC in OT and made the 2 point conversion...Utah lost to Oregon

3 weeks ago....Williams will find a way to get it done.

I dont see Georgia winning.. They seem like the to obvious bet

Well best outcome yesterday for this bet.

Ohio St now at +450. 

Seeing more value now