NCAA FB Week 4: 42-32 YTD +8.93u

WEEK 4:   UPDATED CARD 

(FRI) Washington State -13.5

BC -6.5

NC State +15.5

Rutgers +4.5

ULL +4.5

Navy +12.5

ECU +7.5 -112

OHIO +19.5 -102

Toledo -1.5

Kent State + Penn State over 54.5

New Mexico +16.5

SHSU + NMSU over 43.5

ÜTEP +9.5. .66u

FCS Plays:

@steponaduck

 Thank you, basically what I thought, appreciate your opinion 

I appreciate your thoughts. They have me limited to 250 on the game (and frustratingly on most CFB and NFL games), but I played the max at -31.5.

everyoner on Ohio      like syr-9   n.texas-9  n dame-28, app st -7 BIG

gl

FCS PLAY:

PITT PANTHERS -24

i’m writing up this game for the Action Network but I can tell you that it is not going to go well for a very poorly coached and inexperienced Youngstown state defense. They were just pushed around by Valparaiso and allowed 11.8 yards per carry against Duquesne…Pittsburgh may rack up 700 yards of total offense here 

Hey step with the rr parlays do you use ml's or spreads? I started out using ml's, then thought about using spreads as a safer way to win at a lesser amount obviously.

@steponaduck

 What is your FCS record? Been a rough few weeks with those plays. You've had 4 large favorites that not only didn't cover, but didn't win straight up, and in fact lost by multiple TDs...seems like those should be very low on the totem pole or just avoided altogether

The design of the money line round Robin parlay is to Have fun for very little risk. Since I’ve already hit one, I could lose the next 80 and still be in the positive on these wagers. It’s a low risk, high reward, very small percentage of the portfolio sort of play.

@KarmaStateU2024

 Week 0: 2-1

week 1: 1-1

week 2: 3-6

week 3: 2-4

8-12 so far on plays involving two FCS teams only, my plays involving FCS and FBS teams have been much much more profitable, either way I’m not gonna let a 20 game sample size determine what I’m going to do going forward, just because we’ve had a rough start on FCS only plays doesn’t mean I’m gonna stop. i’m really comfortable where I’m at at this point in the season. Week to week wagers I have one more than eight units, and I have netted eight units on round robin parlays. I’m really comfortable where I’m at at this point in the season. Week to week wagers on FCs will continue 

a 10-2 week is just what we need 

RR- 6s 5s 4s

underdog money line round robin 

Rutgers. UTEP. Louisiana. GT. ECU. NAVY

Totally makes sense! Also noticed you have GT in ml parlays but not ats like others. Thanks 

@steponaduck

 I’m seeing a few respectable cappers on Tulane to destroy ULL. Any further thoughts on this game?

@R1729amanujan

 Well, really the only thing that would shock me is if Tulane destroys them, the green wave have to be gassed. While they have been playing up in competition the last two weeks and giving maximum effort, Louisiana Lafayette has been off scheming for this in-state rivalry matchup, which they play at home,

The movement late this week will be telling, if this goes to 2 1/2 that’s a clear tell that they are pleading for people to take Tulane. The line has already come down from what? Five.

I think anyone playing Tulane is ignoring the spot And ignoring the mental and physical exhaustion, they have gone through over the last two weeks against power five competition.

The only thing that would surprise me is if the green wave would destroy them. I think Louisiana can win the game on the field.

WEEK 4:   UPDATED CARD 

(FRI) Washington State -13.5

BC -6.5

NC State +15.5

Rutgers +4.5

ULL +4.5

Navy +12.5

ECU +7.5 -112

OHIO +19.5 -102

Toledo -1.5

Kent State + Penn State over 54.5

New Mexico +16.5

SHSU + NMSU over 43.5

ÜTEP +9.5. .66u

Duke Team Total over 33.5 -120

FCS Plays:

WEEK 4:   UPDATED CARD 

(FRI) Washington State -13.5

(FRI) Washington State -11.5 .66u

BC -6.5

NC State +15.5

Rutgers +4.5

ULL +4.5

Navy +12.5

ECU +7.5 -112

OHIO +19.5 -102

Toledo -1.5

Kent State + Penn State over 54.5

New Mexico +16.5

SHSU + NMSU over 43.5

ÜTEP +9.5. .66u

Duke Team Total over 33.5 -120

FCS Plays:

Boise State -31.5 vs Portland St  2 unit play  

Hawaii + No. Iowa under 51.5

RR- 6s 5s 4s

underdog money line round robin 

Rutgers. UTEP. Louisiana. GT. ECU. NAVY

came back for more wazzu and making this a larger play than the standard 1 unit. 

also added duke team total over 33.5 and wrote the play up for action network so be sure to check that out friday morning. 

Weird stat with Duke I just noticed, they've scored exactly 26 points in 3 straight games, wtf lol

Woah. That is insane 

@steponaduck

 Is it still up on Heritage? Just signed up and not seeing it. Maybe I’m not looking correctly. 

Taken down now. I’m sure it will come back up soon 

WEEK 4:   UPDATED CARD 

(FRI) Washington State -13.5

(FRI) Washington State -11.5 .66u

BC -6.5

NC State +15.5

Rutgers +4.5

ULL +4.5

Navy +12.5

ECU +7.5 -112

OHIO +19.5 -102

Toledo -1.5

Kent State + Penn State over 54.5

New Mexico +16.5

SHSU + NMSU over 43.5

ÜTEP +9.5. .66u

Duke Team Total over 33.5 -120

FCS Plays:

Boise State -31.5 vs Portland St  2 unit play  

Hawaii + No. Iowa under 51.5

Harvard -33.5

South Dakota + Drake over 47.5

Northern Arizona +8.5

RR- 6s 5s 4s

underdog money line round robin 

Rutgers. UTEP. Louisiana. GT. ECU. NAVY

@steponaduck

 Is post 11 spread RRs? How much do you drop a week on plays? Goodness that looks like a lot with all the robins too

@SPark1

 I am not entirely sure how I can answer this. Most of my plays are one unit, that comes out to about 2% of my bank ROLL so I have enough in the gambling accounts right now to place 50 wagers a week. The round, robin parlays are underdog, money line parlays, those are being executed for a total of about 1/6 of one unit. So if you’re doing round, robin underdog, money line parlays you do a 6 team parlay, A series of five team parlays, and another series of various four team parlays, so you end up having about 35 total parlays in the round robin well that may seem like a lot. Those are being executed at five dollars a parlay. So the total at risk is very very small. I already hit one in week two which netted me about 8-9 units. 

no. Underdog ML parlay RRs

Duck, I love the early FCS plays on Action Network, but where are these available? The games involving FBS teams have flashed at Heritage, DK, and FD throughout the week, but I haven't seen the FCS-FCS games anywhere.