Week 1: 6-3 66.66%. +3.08u
Week 2: 3-4 42.86%. -0.82u
Week 3: 10-2 83.33% +8.87u
Week 4: 7-7 50.00% -2.06u
Week 5: 6-8 42.86% -2.41u
Week 6: 12-6 66.67% +6.82u
YTD: 44-30 59.46% +13.43u
huge week last week.
Week 7:
Wed: Coastal Carolina +7
Friday: BYU -4
Saturday:
Vanderbilt +19.5
North Texas +7.5
Good stuff brother!
Talk to me about Vandy. I really like the Bazelak kid for Mizzou. If he continues to play well the Badie and Roundtree are very good RBs.....Mizzou defense ain't good, but they are most vulnerable vs the pass, which Vandy aint gonna do.....
Thoughts on these?
ULL/CC U56.5
UTEP +4.5
i agree about mizzou. I feel as though this game fits the let down angle, and Missouri may be peaking ahead to their trip to the swamp the following week. Is UM the better team than vandy? No question. Should they be laying nearly 3 TDS? I’m not so sure
ULL+ CCU could be slow starting... or the fun belt could get whacky on Wednesday. If I had to bet the total and had the over, ULL would be up 31-24 and take knees at the goal line to end it. If I were on the under, they would punch it in and say F..you. Just the way it seems to go more often than not.
UTEP opened 7 (at betonline at least), so don’t think we’ll be seeing anything better than 3’ between now and kick; looks like you took 4’ which is almost getting the best of it, considering 7 went to 5 within no time at BOL.
I have no issue laying the small number with Army on the road. They are familiar with the environment, after winning there LY Zane covering on a late front door score using the FB dive late vs taking knees. (Yes I was on army LY).
I am willing to disregard last weeks poor performance vs Citadel (I was on El Cit +30, easy winner), and I feel Army will have much. More success on offense this week. Two UTSA D-tackles are questionable and army should focus on the FB dive and QB iso this week, where I believe they will make hay.
UTSA off of two max efforts v UAB and BYU (both UD Covers), how much do they want to play this out of conference game vs Army cut blocking scheme and physical style?
Army gets right this week, and UTSA should have their full focus, with just FCS foe Mercer on deck.
Black Knights -6
North Texas +7.5. They have to get their defense figured out on 1st and 2nd down. MTSU, High off of their first win of the year, but now as a 7.5pt fave?? Two weeks ago UNT would have been -4.5. Now we get 12 points of value, due to UNT losing to two much better teams than the squad they are playing this week.
MTSU seems to have figured some things out (I played them vs lowly FIU) but I don’t know how they will handle being a fave of this size.
Duck , looking at the #s seems clear to me Louisiana has better schedule . Common opponent scores not close and Louisiana won this game by 41 10 months ago . Lou also beat a good Iowa St team in Iowa this year . . The line is suspect at only 7 and you like CC
Do you have local knowledge of these teams , Why do you like CC ?
Flush,
On the surface, perhaps you are right. I look deeper and see that Louisiana Lafayette should be 1-2. They were on the ropes and down big against Georgia state, Georgia state ended up flubbing the game away, and against Georgia southern Louisiana Lafayette needed a last second field goal to escape. Georgia state and Georgia southern or a combined 18/34 on 3rd down in these two games. ULL can’t get off the field. coastal Carolina has converted 21 out of 37/3 downs this year, and they are three for three on fourth down. They move the chains when it matters.
coastal Carolina has dominated there three opponents. Well this is the first test in conference e, they should not be discreditedin my opinion for taking care of business. I was on Louisiana Lafayette in week one, I also bet them live in week two and they were down 21 to 7, so I do believe in Louisiana Lafayette, And they could unquestionably control this game from start to finish at home. From what I have seen from them on defense I do not believe that will be the case. I think coastal is every bit as potent on offense as any of the teams ULL has faced.
coastal has allowed 14, 9 and 17 points through 3 quarters In each of their games this year. So there’s no question in my opinion that in the fourth quarter this will be a competitive game. If Louisiana Lafayette punches one in late to win by 14, so be it. I’m betting that late in the fourth quarter coastal Carolina will be driving deep into opponent territory late to score and tie/win.
Thank you for the thoughts . At the time Lou played Iowa ST , St's offense was not in sync yet . But , ULL matched up well physically .
My two concerns are the game is in Louisiana and again the physical size/talent of ULL .
The book is pretty sharp . They have CC only a 7 point dog otr after losing by 41 10 months ago to ULL somethins up .
Thanks again
La Tech: home underdogs with revenge. Anyone looking at last years scores would believe that LT got steamrolled 31-10 in a laugher...but look closer. LT had three drives end inside the Marshall 8 yard line with NO points...and fumbled the ball away right before half at their own 2, and Moo U punched it in before half to make a 10-7 game 17-7. There was also a 14 point swing late in the 4th with LT down 24-10, where they missed two wide open receivers for TDS and turned the ball over with out scoring. My point is...LY game was much much closer than the score indicated. I watched every snap as I was on LT+8 Last year.
this year. What do we know about Marshall? They whipped Eky, and beat up on a terribly wky team (I was on UM -4. Easy winner), and they won at hope vs app state (you also saw Marshall on my card that week).
is Marshall the better team...yes. Not much debate about it. Do they play different on the road than at home? Yes. The dichotomy is drastic. And Ruston is a weird place to travel to. Hard to get to. And while LT is somewhat soft (I faded big time vs UTEP...and we all saw them @BYU) I would not want to lay 3 scores with UM on the road, conference opponent with revenge from LY. Don’t think skip hasn’t talked about it.
La Tech +15
Established in 1995,
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