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*** NCAA Football Week 3 ***

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Posted: #226
"juice isn't a big deal" 

lol..........

anywhos good luck hope you bounce back 
 
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Posted: #227
Juice is the reason why you need to win 53% to break even 

53 wins 47 losses to break even after 100 wagers which is 6 units. 

depending on how much you play a nickle player that's $3000 in juice to break even after 100 bets 

most successful bettors play 1 flat unit per play and an outstanding season would be around 30 units+

at a 60% rate which is godly for a full season that is around over 170 plays ? so about 9 units in juice? and you say that's not a big deal? 

for a nickle player that's almost $5000 in juice in one season 
 
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Posted: #228
not taking anything away from boom he knows his football but in gambling juice is a huge deal. 
 
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Posted: #229
 
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Posted: #230
Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

Juice is the reason why you need to win 53% to break even 

53 wins 47 losses to break even after 100 wagers which is 6 units. 

depending on how much you play a nickle player that's $3000 in juice to break even after 100 bets 

most successful bettors play 1 flat unit per play and an outstanding season would be around 30 units+

at a 60% rate which is godly for a full season that is around over 170 plays ? so about 9 units in juice? and you say that's not a big deal? 

for a nickle player that's almost $5000 in juice in one season 


I've never understood why more people don't sell off half a point to reduce juice. Most of these games aren't on key number like 3 or 7. If a lines -11.5 @ -110 why not take the -12 @ -105. It's rare that a football game lands on a number like 12.
 
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Posted: #231
Selling off a half or full point to get at +100 is a good strategy. Lines in College football are nowhere near as sharp as the NFL and were you might get moosed by doing this.
 
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Posted: #232
The reason the line is so low on the Va Tech game more than likely has to do with Va Tech playing on the road. Also, bookmakers still have hopes for Pitt. Pitt actually has some very talented players, but unfortunately they have absolutely no identity as a team, and nobody is stepping up to claim a leadership role. We all saw in week 1 that Va Tech struggled against G Tech, and I think the line makers are seeing a struggle here. If the was in Hokie Land then they probably would have posted it around 19.5 or so. Still I look for the Hokies to cover big here, but historically Beamer has just been a coach who wins close games, and is terrible ATS.

4-9 ATS 2011-2012 with an overall 11-3 record (2 losses to Clemson), and pretty bad for years before that with the exception of 2010-2011.


 
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Posted: #233
Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

Here we go guys




TCU   -20.5     2.5 units 

Tennessee  -2   2 Units

Boston College  +4.5   2 units

Florida S.T   -24   ( First 5 Unit Play of the Year )

Washington S.T  /  UNLV   Over 54.5     2 Units

UL Lafayette  /  Oklahoma S.T   Over 73   2 Units

Bama  /  Arkansas   Under 54    2 Units 

Notre Dame   +6   2 units  ( I dont think they need the points, I think they win SU )




guys I will have a few more games or totals maybe tomorrow or early Saturday
 
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Posted: #234
@alkazzi... seriously???? who are you f-ing kidding? you're in a ncaafb thread full with veteran cappers pitching your european soccor bullshit.
Get out off town man.
 
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Posted: #235

Boom,  If there was a corpse that laid in the sun for a week and got stink and maggot nasty and people had to don Hazmat uniforms to deal with this horrible thing.

Then that corpse took a shit. Then that turd took a shit, that would be the approximate smell of some off these post.

Doc

 

 
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Posted: #236
4-0 LIKE THE PICKS...TCU IS BEST BET OF DAY IMO.
 
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Posted: #237
..
 
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Posted: #238

Boom,Im with u on Irish..Im an SEC guy,but this is one of my all time favorite rivalries..Time BK get it going.,,,NotreDame 24 MichSt 23

 
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Posted: #239

Boom Boom,

Any thoughts on Maryland/Uconn Under 41?

 
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Posted: #240
I think Fla St is a good bet at the number you got, wished I had jumped on earlier.
 
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Posted: #241
Quote Originally Posted by Kaka123:



I've never understood why more people don't sell off half a point to reduce juice. Most of these games aren't on key number like 3 or 7. If a lines -11.5 @ -110 why not take the -12 @ -105. It's rare that a football game lands on a number like 12.

Kaka, most books allow you to buy not to sell
 
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Posted: #242

Your gonna KILL it this week bro.  Good Luck

Missed the boat on FSU @ 24.  Not sure I wanna jump on at 27.5

 
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Posted: #243
Quote Originally Posted by grins1010:

Following the Boom for 3rd year.  Fantastic write ups even if predictions the picks are not always money.  A true fan of the sport.



I saw this and wanted to add too it.

I've been following Boom for about 4 years now. Obv i dont post much but i do every now and again. I'm def a fan and have off of his picks.

Keep doing the work bossman Boom. You have my support bro.
 
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Posted: #244
Boom, u sweatin that fsu pick yet? Fsu has a lot of unknowns and we all know how inconsistent EJ can be. Hopw u wear a bib tomorrow, 26 is a lot of chalk to be eating. Best of luck tomorrow though.
 
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Posted: #245
BOL Boom!
 
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Posted: #246

im verry interested in this room and even though im new at making post i have been betting real money with bookies  for over 10 yrs.  i do my research. i might watch the most college football out of anyone i know.    here is what i like outside of what Boom post.   

boise  mizz  kanst  tex tech byu ucla  and i think mass covers

 

 
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Posted: #247
 
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Posted: #248

Why do you think VaTech is only favored by 10 against Pitt?  Makes no sense to me.  Thanks

 
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Posted: #249
Quote Originally Posted by Forsaken:



I saw this and wanted to add too it.

I've been following Boom for about 4 years now. Obv i dont post much but i do every now and again. I'm def a fan and have off of his picks.

Keep doing the work bossman Boom. You have my support bro.


Yeh thats for sure,17 posts in 5 years,no carpel tunnel for you,
 
 
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Posted: #250
O shit,forgot,
GL this week Boom,you will get it going.
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