NCAA Football Wk 8- (57-32 64.05% YTD)

LAST WEEK RECORD:      8-8           (50.00%)
YTD SEASON RECORD:    57-32-2     (64.05%)              
YTD SIDES RECORD:        34-20-2     (62.97%)
YTD O/U RECORD:            23-12         (65.72%)  
YTD FUTURES RECORD:   0-0-0      
MONSTER PLAYS YTD:   6-1        (85.72%) 
YTD units:                                   +39.64     
Units Last Week:                          +5.45      

previous thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101438186&page=1

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101439169



Pending Futures Wagers

Utep UNDER 4.5 (-130)     (Currently 1-6)
Idaho UNDER 4.5 (-170)    (Currently 1-6)
Army UNDER 5.5 (-110)    (Currently 1-5)
Ohio UNDER 9.5 (+130)    (Currently 7-0)
UNLV UNDER 4.5 (-195)    (Currently 1-6)
Duke  OVER 3.5 (-190)     (Currently 5-2)  WINNER


futures thread:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101375357
POST #10

Week 7 Recap:

Kent State +4    MONSTER PLAY 6u

navy vs CMU over 60

WVa vs TTU over 78

UAB vs Houston over 66.5

Tulsa TT over 37

Washington State +7.5

La Tech +8

Duke +10.5
add MD vs VA over 21.5 2h
adding la tech +10.5 (-130) 1u
ucf over 14.5 2h team total
ADDINGnew Mexico -0.5 1st H    1 unit

Guys, I am just going to take a few minutes to try and analyze what happened last week.

I really feel like I got cleaned out...8-8 is not ok by my standards and if it wasnt for Kent state hitting with absolute ease and making my BIGGEST PLAY OF THE YEAR (part 2) (part 1 was marshall vs tulsa over 67.5 in week 6)...cash in for me i would have lost money this week.

weather had alot to do with some of the over unders and the wind and whatever else was going on effected alot of games. Wva vs Texas Tech was a shocker to most, and i am flabbergasted that WVa only scored 14 points. absolutely unreal. I cannot believe that UAB/Houston didnt go over. really houston, 7 FG attempts. rediculous. Duke, up 20...duke was up 20 vs va tech. and then they lose the rest of the way 41-0, absolutely disgusting.

I was 0-2 during the weekday games, absolutely dredful. Tulsa shit the sheets in the 1st half vs UTEP, then found explosiveness in the 2nd half only to shut it back down with 33 points, i needed 37. Navy vs CMU was well on its way to being a score fest, till CMU exposed why they are only 2-16 ATS their last 18 games. CMU is soft, their coach sucks, there QB is garbage and their Defense is putrid. CMU is a fade the rest of the way, they quit and laid down against Navy .How sad. so the weekgames were terrible, BUT,

i found some saving redemption during the evening games, La Tech cashed in BIG for me and then in the super late degenerate bail out special i gave new mexico 1st H -0.5 and they cruised to a 21-7 half time lead.

overall, i am very fortunate to get out of the week at + money and an even record of 8-8...i found a cash cow in kent state that was absolutely never in doubt, I will look at week 8 and be back for more...

best of luck this week

Week 8 Leans
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
La Lafayette vs UNT
Marshall vs So. Miss
Oregon vs Az State over
NIU vs Akron
San Jose St vs UTSA
UNLV vs Boise st
Rice vs Tulsa over
K state vs Wva over
Idaho vs La Tech
Tulane vs UTEP

One of few cappers on this site with rock solid analysis ! Keep it up

Hardly any decent matchups, the teams I like at home are on the road and visa versa

Like the overs in the Oregon & WV games 

jd

good call, keep it up

ball state -3

ULL -4

jdn, LaTech, no emotional let down?  Idaho blows really bad, but after a game like that, which was basically their season (Lame duck conference season, BCS was their ultimate goal IMO), LTU can come back again and cover such a big spread?  LTU-30 looks low (I can't believe I said that).

Thanks jdmoney for your hard work! I hammered kent st! my book and friends were like kent st? I was like oh ya! I have inside information! Thanks man. Look forward to your picks again this week 

great week last week i tailed you on your kent state play love it!!!

I want to see if you have any more Monster plays

hey JD i have a early lean to the mean green in this tuesday night special ..they played K state tough a couple of weeks back and laffayette got out of the gates  a little slow vs the greenwave before pulling away late  but not covering the number...can you enlighten  me to why you like the cajuns in this tuesday night special ...thanks in advance JD  and keep up the good work....... 

Ull has been playing very well with the new QB (broadway) and their offensive explosiveness is unrivaled in the sbc. NT has played well this year, but struggle greatly vs teams with mobile QB's in spread systems... Im taking the rajen's to win this game by at leaast the 4, and ill say that they win by 12+

yes broadway is mobile  and runs the spread very good ,,i did not know that .......know that the mean green D been having trouble with spread O ...K-state runs some spread with qb klien and they lost 35-21 but covered the number....i think they came out a little sluggish vs the greenwave and should come out more ready for this SBC matchup...starting to lean back with the caluns now....thanks for the respone JD..

From what i remember ULL exploded vs a garbabe tulane team...

yes i was worried about them having a letdown vs the greenwave and i also think they took there feet off the gas and took it  easy vs there friends down south....don;t see that happening vs this sunbelt foe....

Nope and also i had ULL -24 so they in fact did cover for me... That tulane line was unreal... It opened at 21, moved to 23. Then 24, 24.5, 26.5, 27, 28, 28.5, 31, and the. Settled back at 28.5

ok did know it opened so low ..when i saw it..it was at like 27...good for you ...the greenwave are so bad that;s why that line moved like that,,,good thing you jumped on it early.....this line may settle around 3 with north texas being the home dog..hope it does or even go to 2/12....