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NCAA WEEK 11 60-37

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Posted: #1
Season 60-37

Gonna get it rolling tonight........Another MAC challenge this week
-Last week we had big scores and favorites rolling....

Tonite...??

Leans
Toledo-12
NIU-5.5
-both favorites are the better team

Public is on both overs, and both favorites

Not sure if I'll play my leans or fade the public and myself, which is what has made me money this year....

Will post my plays closer to kickoff
 
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I currently haven't locked anything in for tonight, but I would consider fading NIU.  That line move from 7 down to 5.5 seems to indicate that NIU is not the play.  Just my opinion though.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

I currently haven't locked anything in for tonight, but I would consider fading NIU.  That line move from 7 down to 5.5 seems to indicate that NIU is not the play.  Just my opinion though.


And if the line goes to 7.5/8 , NIU will be the play? Based your analysis then you will always lose points and value points. Just cap the game. Line movement might be because BG gets their best RB back today.
 
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Parlay Tuesday for fun

Western+12 over 69.5 1 to win 245
BG+6 over 69.5 (western/toldeo) 1 to win 231
Over65/Over69.5 1 to win 231

Sides for record purposes
Western+12.5
Over 69.5
BG+6
Over 65

fadeing my leans on sides, rolling with the hot mac scoring machines....

Good Luck to all!!!!


 
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Posted: #6
BG!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:



And if the line goes to 7.5/8 , NIU will be the play? Based your analysis then you will always lose points and value points. Just cap the game. Line movement might be because BG gets their best RB back today.

I never said Bowling Green was the play.  I just said I would be weary of taking NIU.  Thanks for the helpful hint though.

 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by BlackCat:

Parlay Tuesday for fun

Western+12 over 69.5 1 to win 245
BG+6 over 69.5 (western/toldeo) 1 to win 231
Over65/Over69.5 1 to win 231

Sides for record purposes
Western+12.5
Over 69.5
BG+6
Over 65

fadeing my leans on sides, rolling with the hot mac scoring machines....

Good Luck to all!!!!


Good luck to you.

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

Good luck to you.

 

Thanks, Luck to you as well

 
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Posted: #10
we got some more mac high scoring games....not sure the dogs can keep up, we shall see...
 
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niu-3 2nd half

western/toledo O34.5 2nd half

3 team parlay for fun....(hedging earlier parlay)

toledo-6,5 2nd half, over 34.5, niu-3.5 50/300

 
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Parlays

Western+12 over 69.5 1 to win 245
BG+6 over 69.5 (western/toldeo) 1 to win 231
Over65/Over69.5 1 to win 231

3 team parlay for fun....(hedging earlier parlay)

toledo-6,5 2nd half, over 34.5, niu-3.5 50/300

 

Sides

Western+12.5Pending

Over 69.5 Winner
BG+6Loser

Over 65Loser

niu-3 2nd half Winner

western/toledo O34.5 2nd half Winner

 

 
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Posted: #14
Tuesday Results
Western+12.5 Winner

Over 69.5 Winner
BG+6Loser

Over 65Loser

niu-3 2nd half Winner

western/toledo O34.5 2nd half Winner


Sides 4-2

Parlays 1-3

-so close on killing it on parlays


 
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Posted: #15
This week 4-2
Season 64-39

Leans for tonight
Miami Oh 13
over 44.5

Got to look into these games, but that my initial lean
 
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Posted: #16
Miami (OH)
 
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Posted: #17
I think Miami Ohio is a winner and the perhaps the over.
 
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Posted: #18
Pierce looks to have had a concusion, and might not play...

think the line will move if this is the case?
 
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Posted: #19
WEDNESDAYS LOCKED IN PLAYS...

MIAMIOH+13
UNDER44

GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAYS...
 
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Posted: #20

BlackCat-

What are your thoughts on the Miami team total of under 16?  That sticks out to me.  I realize Miami put up some points against some bad MAC defenses, but this Temple defense is legit.  Add-in that they can't be thrilled about the fact that they played poorly on the road last week at Ohio and I would think they come out fired up.

 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

BlackCat-

What are your thoughts on the Miami team total of under 16?  That sticks out to me.  I realize Miami put up some points against some bad MAC defenses, but this Temple defense is legit.  Add-in that they can't be thrilled about the fact that they played poorly on the road last week at Ohio and I would think they come out fired up.



Personaly i think there is more value with the pts than a team total

these mac games have been nuts of late, temple can shut them down, I just feel better not worrying about 1 team scoring in this spot, and play the game and total...

temple hasnt played well the last 2 weeks, and miami ohio has, so im not sure what we are going to see...

under 16 does look apealing tho

im seeing a 24 to 14 game...
 
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any more info on pierce?
 
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Posted: #24
Update.....

WEDNESDAY 1-1

MIAMIOH+13 Winner
UNDER44 Loser, missed by 1 pt....


 
 
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Posted: #25
Thursday

Houston-34.5
Houston-7.5 1st qtr
Over 17 1st qtr

gonna have some others shortly
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