Very interesting matchup - S Carolina definitely has Clemson's number over the past few yrs - but this is the best D Clemson has had during that span potentially - this is offset of course by the relative lack of explosiveness that Clemson has on offense this yr - Getting that awesome QB for some snaps will help immensely just not sure how healthy he is guys who follow clemson closely will know - But just looking objectively at this one - Facts are - Clemson run game has not been very good this yr - leading rusher 523Y....but their D has been sick lights out for the most part....SC has been playing better - lost a close one at Aub - blew 4Q lead lost close one to Tenn - got a couple of breaks late to beat Fla on the road in OT.....hmmmmm....One final thought - Clemson has not played too many good passing teams - but Ga got them for some points - Fla St had no Winston - UNC got them for 35....Louisville QB hurt.....
summary
side - lean s carolina +6.5 waiting for 7 tho need a full TD for official play
total - lean under 54.5
mega
0
Clemson 6.5 S Carolina 54.5
mega line 5
sagarin 5.5
Very interesting matchup - S Carolina definitely has Clemson's number over the past few yrs - but this is the best D Clemson has had during that span potentially - this is offset of course by the relative lack of explosiveness that Clemson has on offense this yr - Getting that awesome QB for some snaps will help immensely just not sure how healthy he is guys who follow clemson closely will know - But just looking objectively at this one - Facts are - Clemson run game has not been very good this yr - leading rusher 523Y....but their D has been sick lights out for the most part....SC has been playing better - lost a close one at Aub - blew 4Q lead lost close one to Tenn - got a couple of breaks late to beat Fla on the road in OT.....hmmmmm....One final thought - Clemson has not played too many good passing teams - but Ga got them for some points - Fla St had no Winston - UNC got them for 35....Louisville QB hurt.....
summary
side - lean s carolina +6.5 waiting for 7 tho need a full TD for official play
yes - clemson has not had their top qB in the lineup for a lot of the latest stretch - but if our numbers are correct they have not covered a game since first wk october
Louisville 12.5 Kentucky 51.5
mega line 17
sagarin 11
Kentucky needs the game for bowl eligibility - but can they do enough on offense against the solid Louis D? lead the ncaa in int we believe....Cannot trust the Kentucky D even with motivation - gave up 113 last 2 games - and while Louisville is not the most explosive team out there - as they proved in our 2498305723489057 star SMOKESHOW LOCK WINNER against ND - they can run the ball well and MATRICULATE in the passing game when needed....Would be surprised if it was close but it is a rivalry game so not gonna jump in laying DD for an official play.
summary
side - lean louisville - but would play TT over 32.5 vs the pointspread
total - lean over
mega
0
** added tidbit to clemson game **
yes - clemson has not had their top qB in the lineup for a lot of the latest stretch - but if our numbers are correct they have not covered a game since first wk october
Louisville 12.5 Kentucky 51.5
mega line 17
sagarin 11
Kentucky needs the game for bowl eligibility - but can they do enough on offense against the solid Louis D? lead the ncaa in int we believe....Cannot trust the Kentucky D even with motivation - gave up 113 last 2 games - and while Louisville is not the most explosive team out there - as they proved in our 2498305723489057 star SMOKESHOW LOCK WINNER against ND - they can run the ball well and MATRICULATE in the passing game when needed....Would be surprised if it was close but it is a rivalry game so not gonna jump in laying DD for an official play.
summary
side - lean louisville - but would play TT over 32.5 vs the pointspread
Think this should be a close one....Everybody knows that Florida St has been playing with fire this yr - especially in the first half of games - and no matter how we look at this one it appears on the surface that this one will be the same.....We have the fair line at 6....Sagarin has it at 5 so a bit of perceived value here.
Will not go into too much analysis - by Saturday you have heard and read every angle...To us it comes down to - Will Florida be able to run the ball effectively ? We think they can. Who has the better D ? Well it is not close. Florida. Now Florida St has the huge edge at QB and they are a team that always finds a way to win - but like we always say - this is not a pick em - we will take the 7.5 points and hope that Florida can run the ball and play great D.....Fla St just gave up over 240 rush yds to BC who has no real ability to MATRICULATE in the passing game.....same as Florida....so we still think despite the serious QB issues for Florida they will find a way to move the ball...........Road team has found a way to win recently in this one and Fla St has not been lights out at home to not too worried about home field....Added bonus which may not mean a thing....Motivation to play hard to HC leaving? You SEC guys will know better but it appears from reading stuff that the players seem to like him a lot as a whole.
GL guys - mega
I like it, good luck today
0
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
First pick
MEGALOCKS BIRTHDAY SPECIAL
Florida +7.5
Think this should be a close one....Everybody knows that Florida St has been playing with fire this yr - especially in the first half of games - and no matter how we look at this one it appears on the surface that this one will be the same.....We have the fair line at 6....Sagarin has it at 5 so a bit of perceived value here.
Will not go into too much analysis - by Saturday you have heard and read every angle...To us it comes down to - Will Florida be able to run the ball effectively ? We think they can. Who has the better D ? Well it is not close. Florida. Now Florida St has the huge edge at QB and they are a team that always finds a way to win - but like we always say - this is not a pick em - we will take the 7.5 points and hope that Florida can run the ball and play great D.....Fla St just gave up over 240 rush yds to BC who has no real ability to MATRICULATE in the passing game.....same as Florida....so we still think despite the serious QB issues for Florida they will find a way to move the ball...........Road team has found a way to win recently in this one and Fla St has not been lights out at home to not too worried about home field....Added bonus which may not mean a thing....Motivation to play hard to HC leaving? You SEC guys will know better but it appears from reading stuff that the players seem to like him a lot as a whole.
Have to roll with Miss St even tho it may be a sucker play with sharp semi square public reverse trap square action being placed on ole miss.
Ole miss still has an excellent D. Number 1 in scoring D. Now we all know they have lost 3/4 with the only win being vs Presbyterian. Just got punched in the mouth vs Arkansas. Just cannot trust them not playing their best football right now especially if they get behind. Where will the confidence be? Have to respect it is a big rivalry game and we almost never pick the fav in that scenario. Just like miss St game right now. Mobile QB. Number 1 in RZ Def and Number 13 in 3rd D defense. They have put up 428y or more in every game. Ironically their lowest total was losing at Bama even tho they out gained Bama 428-335. Miss St 4-1 vs top 30 sagarin teams and ole miss 3-3. We have the fair line at 3.5 sagarin at ole miss 2.5. Miss St has won 4L5. Miss st D ranked 117 vs pass but we always look at pass eff D and they are number 26. Think they pull it out but ole miss must be respected.
GL.
0
Thx guys
Next pick
Sucker Bet of the Week
Miss St -2.5
Have to roll with Miss St even tho it may be a sucker play with sharp semi square public reverse trap square action being placed on ole miss.
Ole miss still has an excellent D. Number 1 in scoring D. Now we all know they have lost 3/4 with the only win being vs Presbyterian. Just got punched in the mouth vs Arkansas. Just cannot trust them not playing their best football right now especially if they get behind. Where will the confidence be? Have to respect it is a big rivalry game and we almost never pick the fav in that scenario. Just like miss St game right now. Mobile QB. Number 1 in RZ Def and Number 13 in 3rd D defense. They have put up 428y or more in every game. Ironically their lowest total was losing at Bama even tho they out gained Bama 428-335. Miss St 4-1 vs top 30 sagarin teams and ole miss 3-3. We have the fair line at 3.5 sagarin at ole miss 2.5. Miss St has won 4L5. Miss st D ranked 117 vs pass but we always look at pass eff D and they are number 26. Think they pull it out but ole miss must be respected.
with you on Florida. Love the under in Miss/Miss st game. Olemiss has trouble scoring and their defense will hold MSU in check. Any thoughts on this total MEGA? BTW happy Bday and I enjoy reading your threads. you and DavidN is reason I still use covers
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with you on Florida. Love the under in Miss/Miss st game. Olemiss has trouble scoring and their defense will hold MSU in check. Any thoughts on this total MEGA? BTW happy Bday and I enjoy reading your threads. you and DavidN is reason I still use covers
Rockytopthx bud. I cannot recommend a total play did not look at it closely. Sorry it looks about right to us. Would absolutely play under if I had to play it. GL.
0
Thx guys
Rockytopthx bud. I cannot recommend a total play did not look at it closely. Sorry it looks about right to us. Would absolutely play under if I had to play it. GL.
Have to roll with Miss St even tho it may be a sucker play with sharp semi square public reverse trap square action being placed on ole miss.
Ole miss still has an excellent D. Number 1 in scoring D. Now we all know they have lost 3/4 with the only win being vs Presbyterian. Just got punched in the mouth vs Arkansas. Just cannot trust them not playing their best football right now especially if they get behind. Where will the confidence be? Have to respect it is a big rivalry game and we almost never pick the fav in that scenario. Just like miss St game right now. Mobile QB. Number 1 in RZ Def and Number 13 in 3rd D defense. They have put up 428y or more in every game. Ironically their lowest total was losing at Bama even tho they out gained Bama 428-335. Miss St 4-1 vs top 30 sagarin teams and ole miss 3-3. We have the fair line at 3.5 sagarin at ole miss 2.5. Miss St has won 4L5. Miss st D ranked 117 vs pass but we always look at pass eff D and they are number 26. Think they pull it out but ole miss must be respected.
GL.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
Thx guys
Next pick
Sucker Bet of the Week
Miss St -2.5
Have to roll with Miss St even tho it may be a sucker play with sharp semi square public reverse trap square action being placed on ole miss.
Ole miss still has an excellent D. Number 1 in scoring D. Now we all know they have lost 3/4 with the only win being vs Presbyterian. Just got punched in the mouth vs Arkansas. Just cannot trust them not playing their best football right now especially if they get behind. Where will the confidence be? Have to respect it is a big rivalry game and we almost never pick the fav in that scenario. Just like miss St game right now. Mobile QB. Number 1 in RZ Def and Number 13 in 3rd D defense. They have put up 428y or more in every game. Ironically their lowest total was losing at Bama even tho they out gained Bama 428-335. Miss St 4-1 vs top 30 sagarin teams and ole miss 3-3. We have the fair line at 3.5 sagarin at ole miss 2.5. Miss St has won 4L5. Miss st D ranked 117 vs pass but we always look at pass eff D and they are number 26. Think they pull it out but ole miss must be respected.
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