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NCAAF Stats for this week

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Posted: #1

Biggest Statistical Mismatches for this week.

Stats are only from FBS games and are the following. Just wanted to share the spreadsheet I've been working on. Good luck to everyone this week.


OPPG(Offensive Points Per Game) vs. DPPG( Defensive PPG)

  • Northwestern OPPG #94 vs. Illinois DPPG #14= 80 diff

  • Texas Tech OPPG #4 vs Kansas DPPG #120= 116 diff

  • Toledo OPPG #83 vs Temple DPPG #2= 81 diff

  • Kentucky OPPG # 101 vs LSU DPPG #20=81 diff

  • Kent St OPPG #116 vs Ohio DPPG #39= 77 diff

  • Ohio OPPG #18 vs Kent St DPPG #97=79 diff

  • Kansas St OPPG #36 vs Baylor DPPG #113= 77 diff

  • Marshall OPPG # 107 vs Louisville DPPG # 27= 80 diff

  • GT OPPG #3 vs NC ST DPPG #110=107 diff

  • WKU OPPG #115 vs Ark St. DPPG #28= 87 diff

  • Oregon St OPPG #113 vs Ariz St DPPG # 37=76


Rushing yards per game(RO) vs. Defensive Rushing yards per attempt (RD)

  • BYU RO # 110 vs Utah St DR # 15= 95 diff

  • Texas Tech RO #25 vs Kansas DR #120=95 diff

  • Kansas RO #23 vs Texas Tech DR #103=80 diff

  • Air Force RO #10 vs Navy DR #99=89 diff

  • Navy RO #3 vs Air Force DR #88=85 diff

  • Toledo RO #92 vs Temple DR #7=85 diff

  • Miami Oh RO #111 vs Cincy DR #10= 101 diff

  • Kent St RO #113 vs Ohio DR #31=82 diff

  • Kansas St RO #11 vs Baylor DR #97=86 diff

  • Marshall RO #95 vs Louisville DR #3=92 diff

  • Idaho RO #118 vs Virginia DR #42=76 diff

  • WVU RO #109 vs BG DR #14=95 diff

  • Tulsa RO #22 vs NT DR #113=91 diff

  • Wisconsin RO #12 vs Nebraska RD #89=77 diff

  • Stanford RO #27 vs UCLA RD #110=83 diff


Passing yards per game(PO) vs Defensive Passing yards per attempt(PD)

  • Texas Tech PO #11 vs Kansas PD #120= 109 diff

  • Kentucky PO #104 vs LSU PD #16=88 diff

  • LSU PO #102 vs Kentucky PD #14=88 diff

  • Ohio St PO #105 vs Michigan St PD #2=103 diff

  • SMU PO #24 vs TCU PD #108=84 diff

  • Middle TN PO #16 vs Memphis PD #118=102 diff

  • Troy PO #15 vs UAB PD #115=100 diff

  • Southern Miss PO #29 vs Rice PD #107=78 diff

  • Florida PO #77 vs Alabama PD #1=76 diff

  • NM St PO #30 vs NM PD #105=75 diff

  • Ariz St PO #25 vs Oregon St PD #116=91



SOS Differences(Remember these are only FBS games)

  • Penn St #3 vs Indiana #117=114 diff

  • Michigan #36 vs Minnesota #111=75 diff

  • LSU #8 vs Kentucky #112=104 diff

  • WVU #28 vs Bowling Green #110=82 diff

  • Iowa St #17 vs Texas #93=76 diff

  • Oklahoma #18 vs Ball St #95=77 diff

  • Tulsa #12 vs NT #103=91 diff

  • UNC #24 vs ECU #118=94 diff

  • Notre Dame #5 vs Purdue #113=108 diff


Top 5 Scoring Avg games

Texas Am vs Arkansas=#23

Texas Tech vs Kansas=#16

Baylor vs Kansas St=#19

Alabama vs Florida=#15

Nebraska vs Wisconsin #8


Low 5 Scoring Avg games

New Mexico vs New Mexico St=#100

Arkansas St vs WKU=#98

Akron vs Eastern Michigan=#119

Marshall vs Louisville=#99

Memphis vs Middle TN=#89


Top 5 Rushing Avg Games

Nebraska vs Wisconsin=#8

Michigan vs Minnesota=#23

Air Force vs Navy=#7

Baylor vs Kansas St=#13

Alabama vs Florida=#10


Top 5 Passing Games

Bowling Green vs. WVU=#12

Arizona vs USC=#20

Washington St. vs Colorado=#14

Texas AM vs Arkansas=#19

Texas Tech vs Kansas=#31


Top 5 Defensive Scoring avg games

Northwestern vs Illinois=#19

Michigan St vs Ohio St=#11

Alabama vs Florida=#4

Clemson vs VT=#26

South Florida vs Pittsburgh=#24


 
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Posted: #2
Whewww....that was a lot.  Back to watching this ESPN Documentary
 
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Posted: #3
so what does this tell us, who do you like this week?

great work by the way, that book you carry must be HUGE!
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

so what does this tell us, who do you like this week?

great work by the way, that book you carry must be HUGE!

It tells me that I have a lot of studying to do this week

I rarely post plays early  Just wanted to share the info
 
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Posted: #5
oh yea i know, i usually always leave a little room to see your plays come saturday, i like your total and TT, nfl has been killing me though...
 
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Posted: #6
what do you think of nebraska/ wisconsin over 56
 
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Posted: #7
 Catching Hell...missing it...damn

It tells you take the over in baylor / ks state.


 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by dimedimenickel:

 Catching Hell...missing it...damn

It tells you take the over in baylor / ks state.



I just missed 20 minutes of it because a girl from work called crying about work.

I hate being a shrink sometimes..haha.

DimeNickel you've been on this one all week.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by lawrencephilips:

what do you think of nebraska/ wisconsin over 56

It could go either way.  I'm not sure what I think about either team yet.
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

oh yea i know, i usually always leave a little room to see your plays come saturday, i like your total and TT, nfl has been killing me though...

Thank you   If I could keep from going out and drinking all night on Fridays, I might be able to get them up in time.  But the life of the single guy is a tough one at times

Yea I'm not happy with my NFL, but I get better as the year goes on and I have more stats.  Right now is just a crap shoot.  I'm really pumped to get my Grand Salami plays going in NHL.  Last year was very profitable.
 
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Posted: #11
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by kindergartencapper:


Thank you   If I could keep from going out and drinking all night on Fridays, I might be able to get them up in time.  But the life of the single guy is a tough one at times

Yea I'm not happy with my NFL, but I get better as the year goes on and I have more stats.  Right now is just a crap shoot.  I'm really pumped to get my Grand Salami plays going in NHL.  Last year was very profitable.


cant wait, when do you usually start betting the grand salami's? do you wait a few weeks to start?
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



cant wait, when do you usually start betting the grand salami's? do you wait a few weeks to start?

Yea, I created a spreadsheet and a formula.  So I'll track it without posting.  Once it starts hitting at a decent rate, then I will start posting.  I think I was onto something last year towards the end of the season.
 
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Posted: #14
OHIO
 
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Posted: #15
im surprised GA TECH make the rushing list vs NC ST, figured there D was shitty
 
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Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

im surprised GA TECH make the rushing list vs NC ST, figured there D was shitty

NC St Pass D is the weakest part.  I think GT rolls them but Vegas is not stupid.  But I stay away from sides until Halftime anyways.  I don't trust college kids for who wins/loses.  Totals are more consistent  form of betting for me
 
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Posted: #17
Ok now that we got all this info i want to try to interpret it, for example the RO of BYU at #110 which is bad vs the rush defense of Utah St at #15 which is good, therefore you conclude that BYU will not be successful running the ball.Am i correct?

what else can we conclude? if the passing differential was also large on the same game. would you lean toward making that one of your pick?

is there a reason you don't do offensive yards per attempt vs defense rush per attempt?
 
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Posted: #18
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by jkels87:

Ok now that we got all this info i want to try to interpret it, for example the RO of BYU at #110 which is bad vs the rush defense of Utah St at #15 which is good, therefore you conclude that BYU will not be successful running the ball.Am i correct?

what else can we conclude? if the passing differential was also large on the same game. would you lean toward making that one of your pick?

is there a reason you don't do offensive yards per attempt vs defense rush per attempt?

How you interpret it is your choice
BYU actually just doesn't runt the ball that much
 
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Posted: #20
this is awesome, thanks KGC.. already added this info on my sheets for the games I like.. 

much appreciated 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by TO9:

this is awesome, thanks KGC.. already added this info on my sheets for the games I like.. 

much appreciated 

No problem.  Might Google Doc my work some week  After my March Madness 50,000 + downloads of that spreadsheet it might be fun to watch
 
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Posted: #23
excellent research
 
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Good stuff KGC.  Thanks for the info.    
 
 
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