Whats up fellas. Lookin like another card for Ncaaf this weekend. I am looking forward to the outcomes of the Match-ups.
Onto tonight:
SMU +4.5 MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
I like the Stangs to play this game tough, the only thing that keeps me off the ML here is their constant inconsistency. But they are playing a team that matches up with them, and I feel that SMU can air this out all night, and will. The OVER looks tasty but be careful, as Houston doesnt put up as many points as it used to and SMU's defense plays pretty well and are at home. Where SMU has lacked is moving the ball the way it can with this June Jones high scoring pass happy offense, that changes tonight as Houston's defense will look very vulnerable. Score SMU 31 Houston 28.
OREGON -8 ALL DAY MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
Arizona State is in for a rude awakening here. Oregon is fast, and athletic. Zona has not seen a team of this caliber yet, and it will pay dearly to them. I capped this at Oregon -16, So This line is due to Zona's recent play and that they are home. Won't matter. Oregon relishes in these types of games. They are also a second half team, so no matter what the 1st half brings, if Oregon is close or behind, will play smash mouth the whole night. Not seeing this score near the odds makers line at all. Oregon 44 Arizona State 28
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 26-23-1 ( 53%) ( +87.75 units )
NCAAF 45-30-2 (60%) ( +283 units )
Whats up fellas. Lookin like another card for Ncaaf this weekend. I am looking forward to the outcomes of the Match-ups.
Onto tonight:
SMU +4.5 MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
I like the Stangs to play this game tough, the only thing that keeps me off the ML here is their constant inconsistency. But they are playing a team that matches up with them, and I feel that SMU can air this out all night, and will. The OVER looks tasty but be careful, as Houston doesnt put up as many points as it used to and SMU's defense plays pretty well and are at home. Where SMU has lacked is moving the ball the way it can with this June Jones high scoring pass happy offense, that changes tonight as Houston's defense will look very vulnerable. Score SMU 31 Houston 28.
OREGON -8 ALL DAY MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
Arizona State is in for a rude awakening here. Oregon is fast, and athletic. Zona has not seen a team of this caliber yet, and it will pay dearly to them. I capped this at Oregon -16, So This line is due to Zona's recent play and that they are home. Won't matter. Oregon relishes in these types of games. They are also a second half team, so no matter what the 1st half brings, if Oregon is close or behind, will play smash mouth the whole night. Not seeing this score near the odds makers line at all. Oregon 44 Arizona State 28
I agree big time with the Ducks pick, but SMU is good everywhere but QB, that kid gilberts pride is hurt esp against instate talent that he killed in HS, he will choke n make them loose bad, when they get a new qb they will b tuff
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I agree big time with the Ducks pick, but SMU is good everywhere but QB, that kid gilberts pride is hurt esp against instate talent that he killed in HS, he will choke n make them loose bad, when they get a new qb they will b tuff
Hey everyone im new to capping and no where near as good as the rest of you at this. I read razors thread all the time and enjoy it. I do have questions about todays pick razor maybe you can answer them. I find this line weird both teams are 4-2 yet they set a high line. I get that seattle is a different team away. What confuses me is that most people seem to be on seattle yet the lines moving higher not lower as it usually does in this situation. They want seattle bets today in vegas. Seattles defensive strengths are in the secondary making this a good day for gore. Davis should have a good game to as short passes are the way to beat the good corners seattle has. Under Harbaugh the 9ers have never lost back to back games and have crushed teams after large losses. Seattle hasnt scored more then 1 td per game on the road and wilson has thrown double the amount of picks to td's. So how can people take them? I'm a buy low sell high person so I think the 49ers are the play here. maybe you guys can explain to me why the 9ers are a bad pick here since your all better at this then me thanks
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Hey everyone im new to capping and no where near as good as the rest of you at this. I read razors thread all the time and enjoy it. I do have questions about todays pick razor maybe you can answer them. I find this line weird both teams are 4-2 yet they set a high line. I get that seattle is a different team away. What confuses me is that most people seem to be on seattle yet the lines moving higher not lower as it usually does in this situation. They want seattle bets today in vegas. Seattles defensive strengths are in the secondary making this a good day for gore. Davis should have a good game to as short passes are the way to beat the good corners seattle has. Under Harbaugh the 9ers have never lost back to back games and have crushed teams after large losses. Seattle hasnt scored more then 1 td per game on the road and wilson has thrown double the amount of picks to td's. So how can people take them? I'm a buy low sell high person so I think the 49ers are the play here. maybe you guys can explain to me why the 9ers are a bad pick here since your all better at this then me thanks
see im so new i posted it in the ncaaf thread instead of the nfl one lol. I do have thoughts on the ncaaf pick to razor I'll post it in a second after Imove this to the right thread lol
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see im so new i posted it in the ncaaf thread instead of the nfl one lol. I do have thoughts on the ncaaf pick to razor I'll post it in a second after Imove this to the right thread lol
Whats up fellas. Lookin like another card for Ncaaf this weekend. I am looking forward to the outcomes of the Match-ups.
Onto tonight:
SMU +4.5 MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
I like the Stangs to play this game tough, the only thing that keeps me off the ML here is their constant inconsistency. But they are playing a team that matches up with them, and I feel that SMU can air this out all night, and will. The OVER looks tasty but be careful, as Houston doesnt put up as many points as it used to and SMU's defense plays pretty well and are at home. Where SMU has lacked is moving the ball the way it can with this June Jones high scoring pass happy offense, that changes tonight as Houston's defense will look very vulnerable. Score SMU 31 Houston 28.
OREGON -8 ALL DAY MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
Arizona State is in for a rude awakening here. Oregon is fast, and athletic. Zona has not seen a team of this caliber yet, and it will pay dearly to them. I capped this at Oregon -16, So This line is due to Zona's recent play and that they are home. Won't matter. Oregon relishes in these types of games. They are also a second half team, so no matter what the 1st half brings, if Oregon is close or behind, will play smash mouth the whole night. Not seeing this score near the odds makers line at all. Oregon 44 Arizona State 28
smu is 1-2 at home,1 win vs a high school team so u can throw out they are good at home,lol....smu def vs the run is good,their def. against the pass is terrible...and houston is a pass attack oriented team....so dont see how u smu will stop the cougs here...with that being said houstons def is not good but smu cant run the ball to save their lives,and their pass game is above avg at best....im on other side here with houston rolling easily....u predict outright win but dont bet ml cause u scared?..really?lol
as for oregon-zona st u capped at -16 right?...so opening - 10 should raise flags that vegas is begging you to bet the ducks....funny thing is it has not worked as sharps have pounded it down to 8 now,lol.....and as for a rude awakening for asu,the ducks have played high school caliber teams in its last 4 games....THE KEY TO THIS GAME WILL BE THE DUCKS SLOPPY PLAY AKA TURNOVERS WHICH WILL COME BACK TO BITE THEM FINALLY!
im not here to start a fight with ya at all...im just disputing your theories for your plays and im on other side on both....thats what these boards are for to dicuss thoughts on games so dont get offended by my post....good luck to u this week
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Quote Originally Posted by RazorSharps:
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 26-23-1 ( 53%) ( +87.75 units )
NCAAF 45-30-2 (60%) ( +283 units )
Whats up fellas. Lookin like another card for Ncaaf this weekend. I am looking forward to the outcomes of the Match-ups.
Onto tonight:
SMU +4.5 MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
I like the Stangs to play this game tough, the only thing that keeps me off the ML here is their constant inconsistency. But they are playing a team that matches up with them, and I feel that SMU can air this out all night, and will. The OVER looks tasty but be careful, as Houston doesnt put up as many points as it used to and SMU's defense plays pretty well and are at home. Where SMU has lacked is moving the ball the way it can with this June Jones high scoring pass happy offense, that changes tonight as Houston's defense will look very vulnerable. Score SMU 31 Houston 28.
OREGON -8 ALL DAY MAX UNIT PLAY (15 units)
Arizona State is in for a rude awakening here. Oregon is fast, and athletic. Zona has not seen a team of this caliber yet, and it will pay dearly to them. I capped this at Oregon -16, So This line is due to Zona's recent play and that they are home. Won't matter. Oregon relishes in these types of games. They are also a second half team, so no matter what the 1st half brings, if Oregon is close or behind, will play smash mouth the whole night. Not seeing this score near the odds makers line at all. Oregon 44 Arizona State 28
smu is 1-2 at home,1 win vs a high school team so u can throw out they are good at home,lol....smu def vs the run is good,their def. against the pass is terrible...and houston is a pass attack oriented team....so dont see how u smu will stop the cougs here...with that being said houstons def is not good but smu cant run the ball to save their lives,and their pass game is above avg at best....im on other side here with houston rolling easily....u predict outright win but dont bet ml cause u scared?..really?lol
as for oregon-zona st u capped at -16 right?...so opening - 10 should raise flags that vegas is begging you to bet the ducks....funny thing is it has not worked as sharps have pounded it down to 8 now,lol.....and as for a rude awakening for asu,the ducks have played high school caliber teams in its last 4 games....THE KEY TO THIS GAME WILL BE THE DUCKS SLOPPY PLAY AKA TURNOVERS WHICH WILL COME BACK TO BITE THEM FINALLY!
im not here to start a fight with ya at all...im just disputing your theories for your plays and im on other side on both....thats what these boards are for to dicuss thoughts on games so dont get offended by my post....good luck to u this week
It's a trap, don't let the +8 bait you into ASU. Vegas knows this will be a blow out and they figure if they lower the spread to +8 people will try and be sharp and bet big. Oregon is the bet here.
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It's a trap, don't let the +8 bait you into ASU. Vegas knows this will be a blow out and they figure if they lower the spread to +8 people will try and be sharp and bet big. Oregon is the bet here.
Razor I always respect your picks and read your threads, but I have two questions:
1) How do you see the Ducks performing offensively with this game being Marcus Mariota's first true road test in a tough environment? I have a feeling ASU will stack the box to force him to throw. Mariota clearly has the talent to run this offense, but I could see him either dominating or making a lot of bad mistakes. Due to the two very different scenarios I'm not sure if it's necessarily a lock that Oregon will put up 40+. Just curious what your thoughts are.
2) In regards to the SMU/Houston game I completely agree with you that the gamblers mentality is that Houston is still a super-charged offense which is wrong. I am curious really why you like the SMU offense in this game? On the surface it seems like they really struggle, 34% 3rd down rate and 13.2pts/game if you withdraw garbage time. Houston has faced some good offenses so far this season in LaTech and UCLA, but they dominated the bad offenses in Rice and North Texas. SMU even gave up 27 to Tulane which is the worst scoring offense in the country. Is your angle here that the Run & Shoot offense is very hard to prepare for on the short week? I was chalking this one up as a no play so I'm just curious what your exact thoughts are.
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Razor I always respect your picks and read your threads, but I have two questions:
1) How do you see the Ducks performing offensively with this game being Marcus Mariota's first true road test in a tough environment? I have a feeling ASU will stack the box to force him to throw. Mariota clearly has the talent to run this offense, but I could see him either dominating or making a lot of bad mistakes. Due to the two very different scenarios I'm not sure if it's necessarily a lock that Oregon will put up 40+. Just curious what your thoughts are.
2) In regards to the SMU/Houston game I completely agree with you that the gamblers mentality is that Houston is still a super-charged offense which is wrong. I am curious really why you like the SMU offense in this game? On the surface it seems like they really struggle, 34% 3rd down rate and 13.2pts/game if you withdraw garbage time. Houston has faced some good offenses so far this season in LaTech and UCLA, but they dominated the bad offenses in Rice and North Texas. SMU even gave up 27 to Tulane which is the worst scoring offense in the country. Is your angle here that the Run & Shoot offense is very hard to prepare for on the short week? I was chalking this one up as a no play so I'm just curious what your exact thoughts are.
Arizona State had alot of trouble with the Missouri spread offense.
they had 4 turnovers that cost them that game....and almost came back and won anyway,lol....mizzou spread attack was not a big deal as they had just over 300yds total...without the sloppy turnovers asu wins that game by dd easily
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Quote Originally Posted by cbowles1111:
Arizona State had alot of trouble with the Missouri spread offense.
they had 4 turnovers that cost them that game....and almost came back and won anyway,lol....mizzou spread attack was not a big deal as they had just over 300yds total...without the sloppy turnovers asu wins that game by dd easily
It's a trap, don't let the +8 bait you into ASU. Vegas knows this will be a blow out and they figure if they lower the spread to +8 people will try and be sharp and bet big. Oregon is the bet here.
this theory makes no sense at all....and here is why.....why would vegas lower a spread from an opening line that was very low to begin with?lol....this line had no business opening at only 10,and that tells you what vegas is cooking right there...by the way sharps have pounded the line down to 8
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Quote Originally Posted by dmay:
It's a trap, don't let the +8 bait you into ASU. Vegas knows this will be a blow out and they figure if they lower the spread to +8 people will try and be sharp and bet big. Oregon is the bet here.
this theory makes no sense at all....and here is why.....why would vegas lower a spread from an opening line that was very low to begin with?lol....this line had no business opening at only 10,and that tells you what vegas is cooking right there...by the way sharps have pounded the line down to 8
Oregon has played one game away at WSU. Oregon has yet to play a good defensive team. This a true test for Oregon away from against a legitimate good Pac 12 team. Got to take the points at home with ASU. Sorry Sharp, I was hoping you would predict an ASU +8 and ML winner.
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Oregon has played one game away at WSU. Oregon has yet to play a good defensive team. This a true test for Oregon away from against a legitimate good Pac 12 team. Got to take the points at home with ASU. Sorry Sharp, I was hoping you would predict an ASU +8 and ML winner.
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