ND vs PSU write up

Been capping this game for days now. There is not a clear cut edge either way. This is not a game to go heavy on , like we’ve been doing the last couple of weeks. My numbers have ND winning by - 4.55, and I’ll always go with that . So I’m on ND - 1.5 or just the ML on maybe both. If you’re on PSU , I can see and understand why. This game should be extremely close and down to the wire. If my numbers are on point like they have been, we win by a FG & a safety. PSU has the better offensive metrics and ND have the better defensive metrics. I like defense. Everyone knows , I’m a huge SOS capper. ND’s SOS is anywhere between 12th and 17th & PSU is anywhere between 5th & 16th. Depending on who’s giving the data. I give the coaching advantage to ND and his staff. I believe Freeman , is smarter and more creative than Franklin. PSU’s wide outs, don’t match up with ND’s corners, and PSU’s stud TE, and ND’s safeties are a wash. The main reason I like ND other than the coaching advantage, is PSU’s tackling. They have missed 17% of their tackles on the season. The way RL , Love and Price run so violently, I think that gives ND their biggest edge. ND is also 2- 0 vs top 10 competition this year, where as PSU is 0 - 2. If PSU can’t run the ball effectively, I believe it will be a long night for them. Tracy and Singleton are very good backs, but I like ND’s backs much more. ND stacks the box mostly with 7 or 8 guys because, they can man coverage all night long. PSU also plays man @ almost 53% of the time as well so I don’t think either QB’s goes off tomorrow night. This game will come down to mistakes; IE penalties and TO’s, coaching, field position and the run game. I’ll be on ND - 1.5 , ND ML and the under FG, and under 1st half. I don’t know how much yet, but that’s what I’m playing. Maybe I go 2 - 2 and loose a lil juice , or maybe , I’ll sweep the board. Anyways GL to all as always. 

What numbers are you getting for the first half? I have 21.5. I wish I'd played it when it was 23.5. 

For some reason this game is really difficult for me. Even though I've watched these two teams my whole life. 

@Rolexsports

  "I give the coaching advantage to ND and his staff. I believe Freeman , is smarter and more creative than Franklin."

That coaching move late in the game he pulled was the best I'd ever heard of: 4th and 2...Up just one score....around their own 40 yard line, late in the game.......The punting unit is out there for a punt......then the offense goes out there, punt team hustles off.....Meanwhile Georgia PANICS. Sends their defense back on the field in response.....and ND QB gets them to go offsides. I felt that coaching move won the game. ND had obviously prepared for that, because they executed it flawlessly.

@ Naru. Best play I’ve seen all year by one of the good teams. 

@ 2711 same 1st half line as you. 

@Rolexsports

 Excellent write up I already liked Irish Bol to all backers 

@Rolexsports

 First thing he writes is this is a game to not go heavy on. Then proceeds to make 4 bets 

GL Kidd. 

@ risky. You’re a dumbass! My small wagers are probably a lot more than your largest wagers. GTFO here.. 

@Rolexsports

 Glad to see that we’re on the same side. 
Now I feel better about my bet.
plus it’s comforting to know that teams in the playoffs with the higher net points per drive against their opponent 8-0su /7-1ats.

The Fighting Irish 

I bet the under at 47.5, I’m just not sure I can get down again with it dropping but am still thinking about it. I wonder if it will go back up before kickoff…

go irish

PSU has the better backfield with Allen & Singleton.

Solid writeup, I played Notre Dame for a bit, would not be shocked if Penn State won this game bit your right, the edge to the Irish. 

Good luck Rolex.  

GL guys! Yes this will be a really great game. I’m always confident in my capping. I’ll post my amount per pick later on, but I’ve confident in everything I stated or , I wouldn’t have said anything. I don’t blindly wager a bet. Yes Mr. Freedo, that 47.5 is golden , but I’m pretty sure under 45 is good too. GL and let’s go !!

Your last write up on the Lions -3 won and the one before that on Bengals ML was also spot on so I guess this one has a good chance of winning too, hopefully by a margin of more than one point.

@ Bet- lag. I believe ND wins by more than 4 points. PSU’s secondary is nothing to fear . BSU slung the ball all over the field on them. 

@rosswin97

 This is a game of top ten teams. Not MAC teams

@ Bet - Lag. I also had a write up on ND & PSU last week, which both hit. Had 3 bets on the ND/GA and swept the board. 

Yea i believe i tailed some of those last week. Would be nice if you kept a record for those who wants to tail.

Will be interested to read your wildcard plays this weekend for sure!