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nostradamus week 2

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Posted: #26
Vols look good, might want to reconsider Michigan.  I think we are going to see another blowout
 
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Posted: #27
Damn Nos, looks good bro.
 
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Posted: #28
Hey Nos, I was looking at the Tennessee game when it first came out, and it moved from I think -10 to -7.5. What do you think about that? I was leaning heavily towards Tennessee.

Thanks
 
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Posted: #29
nos .. what about florida 34.5? You touching that?
 
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Posted: #30
haha cracks me up! last week everyone was pounding lsu cause of how bad washington was. they play tough and everyone wants to pound the shit out of wash. gotta love it  
 
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Posted: #31
gl man iowa st unlv uab are my favorite picks of the week so far.
 
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Posted: #32
Hey, Nos like everything but Michigan! I stay away from anything Michigan..they have burned me too many times! I think all be jumping all over USC at -6!
 
What do you think about Wisconsin/Fresno St.? looks like -9 out the gate for Wisconsin!
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

will update YTD shortly
 
week 2
 
Texas Tech -25 (large)
Washington -20 (large)
LSU -13 (large)
West Virginia -6.5 (large)
 
all from bookmaker few minutes ago



How do you even attempt to bet on WVU with Auburn on deck?
 
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Posted: #34
Nebraska -23.5....worth a serious look   Also UNC -4 (Should be at least -8.5+)
 
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Posted: #35
Good luck, Nos!  heres to a profitable season, brother!
 
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Posted: #36
didnt get a chance to give you props. had a nice week(16 wins) following some of your plays as well as a couple other old friends here. this yr i will be trying to do most of my own capping...but never hurts to browse...gl bro  
 
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Posted: #37
bill stewart = fade,,,likewise for stan parrish over at ball state,,these may be the worst two guys in the rank and file
 
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Posted: #38
I amloving it
 
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Posted: #39
all
slo - sounds good bro, GL this year
 
whodey - that's a possibility, not that confident on that one, before last year ND win 35-17 (even so only 260 yds) not that great in matchups against Mich, Wolves might not cover doubt they get blown out
 
deppir - doesn't bother me other than being locked in at 9, probably some west coast money coming in on UCLA, Vols will be ready to play and RS frosh QB prone to couple mistakes against ball hawking secondary
 
hotsauce - nah back door much to open with 34-35 for decent offense such as Troy similar to couple yrs ago 59-31 or 56-21, close to number
 
jmb - already was planning to take UW before the LSU result, also note LSU was 31-16 (tied ats against early number 15) until last play so not to pretend any great achievement other than by UW 15 game losing streak standards
 
chino - somewhat leery of Mich yes, Wisconsin number seems a little low, Fres St has played them pretty tough in the past and Badger running game not quite up to par in first one so i'll pass
 
UNCforever - one ECU was (possibly still is) better than Auburn as far as the teams on the field last year (and power rankings) so why necessarily look ahead from a better team to a lesser team, also since ECU smoked WV last year, sincerely doubt they will be looking ahead, we'll know in a few days
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #40
 
Texas Tech 55 Rice 20 - unless Red Raiders are flat as their first game seems, Owls giving up 41 ppg on the road last year probably not the best matchup for them, Rice not as likely to match scores breaking in new skill players although no surprise if TT allows them into 20's late. Rout.
 
Washington 41 Idaho 10 - Huskies likely eager for any win to end 15 game losing streak and probably feel pretty good about themselves with decent opener, Vandals 2 of 7 Pac- 10 road games stayed under this number, fly in the ointment is UW 1-9 ATS as home favorite since 2005, their one cover....against Idaho in 2005 (34-6)
 
LSU 33 Vanderbilt 10 - last couple in series have gone 34-6 and 24-7 although been since 2004-05, LSU defense should be able to contain Dores offense, respect Vandy tough defense (and 17-5 road dog ATS lately), however may be worn down in 2nd half and may miss CB Moore all around game
 
West Virginia 34 ECU 17 - doubt WV looking ahead too much to Auburn against team that gashed them last year 24-3 so expect them to be fully focused here, ECU could be a step slow on the turf as they were in Morgantown in 2007 (48-7, 599-160 yds)
 
Mich St 37 Central Mich 15 - with Snead gone CMU can't even pretend to have a running game anymore (other than QB running for his life), Mich St 7-2 ATS as favorite last year and plays solid passing defense needed for this matchup. MSU dual QBs and capable WRs should do some damage against Chips secondary prone to error
 
 
 
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Posted: #41
Lot's of chalk...
 
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Posted: #42

I certainly wish you luck on the large wagers since I'm on TT, WV and LSU.

I was leaning Mich St. Didn't know about the CMU RB injury until you mentioned it...I would've jumped the line if I was on top of that. Hopefully, there's a 14' still available. (But, really doubtful.)
 
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Posted: #43
NOS... no interest in backing UNC at all?  Last year the massacred UConn, and UConn lost a lot while UNC kept almost everything... what changes?
 
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Posted: #44
INTERESTING
 
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Posted: #45

"Didn't know about the CMU RB injury until you mentioned it.."

Oh man, ignore that...I never said that...it's early...I wrote that when I was still asleep. I'm awake now.





 
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Posted: #46
all -
 
LJ - no problem know how that goes, about to make a coffee run myself, good to hear you're on a couple of those, hope to check out your and a couple other threads later today, BOL bro
 
woodpurritis - could see that angle, i'm waiting on total for that one and may go under with UNC possible readjusting at WR and UConn permanently so, we'll see if number is fair or not though, GL on that one
 
Tennessee 30 UCLA 13 - Vols will be looking to avenge last year's embarrassing loss, UCLA run defense known to give up some yards 200+ six times last year so Tenn run game may do some damage since passing game still not reliable. RS frosh QB likely to make a couple mistakes against good defense in first road start
 
Iowa St 20 Iowa 19 - Cyclones 10-1 ATS in series including SU wins in Ames in 2005 and 07, Iowa thin at RB and lack passing game to fully exploit shaky ISU pass defense. Upset.
 
Oregon St 24 UNLV 23 - Beavers likely to be looking ahead to Cincinnati rematch from 2007 beatdown 34-3 and lost some good defensive players, UNLV Clayton pretty good with the ball (18-4 TD-INT) although defense (33 ppg) needs to improve and gets a couple new players, Rebs 5-2 ATS as dog last year.
 
Michigan 23 Notre Dame 20 - somehow Michigan will have to find a way to hang with the new USC of the east, before last year (ND had 260 yds in 35-17 win) Mich matching up well with Irish, last 3 in Ann Arbor 38-0, 10-17 and 38-0, look for Forcier and Shoelace to possibly make a couple plays against ND defense
 
USC 27 Ohio St 14 - USC defense has enough speed to contain Pryor still unproven in passing game and losing some WRs, Trojan OL should open some holes and break a couple against sluggish OSU defense, in big games Carroll never a bad option even with frosh QB
 
Kansas St 38 UL-Lafayette 20 - ULL not shown much at home OOC over the years and KSU should move against suspect run defense (5.3 ypc), Cajuns could still be adjusting after losing 3 key skill players.
 
Pitt 30 Buffalo 10 - Bulls pretty tough and hung 16-27 with Pitt last year playing them fairly even, however not much luck against big east lately and expect Pitt to be tough to run against and without Willy passing game to be a tough matchup, main question is whether Wanny can find a way to screw it up and he probably will
 
UAB 38 SMU 20 - doubt SMU has much better results than Rice going against improved UAB team led by Webb (221 passing, 194 rushing last week), Mitchell prone to mistakes (23 INTs in 2008) and unable to match scores in this one
 
 
not really looking at any other sides or leans, might have a small degenerate play for Thurs and looking at possible couple of totals and that should do it
 
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

all
slo - sounds good bro, GL this year
 
whodey - that's a possibility, not that confident on that one, before last year ND win 35-17 (even so only 260 yds) not that great in matchups against Mich, Wolves might not cover doubt they get blown out
 
deppir - doesn't bother me other than being locked in at 9, probably some west coast money coming in on UCLA, Vols will be ready to play and RS frosh QB prone to couple mistakes against ball hawking secondary
 
hotsauce - nah back door much to open with 34-35 for decent offense such as Troy similar to couple yrs ago 59-31 or 56-21, close to number
 
jmb - already was planning to take UW before the LSU result, also note LSU was 31-16 (tied ats against early number 15) until last play so not to pretend any great achievement other than by UW 15 game losing streak standards
 
chino - somewhat leery of Mich yes, Wisconsin number seems a little low, Fres St has played them pretty tough in the past and Badger running game not quite up to par in first one so i'll pass
 
UNCforever - one ECU was (possibly still is) better than Auburn as far as the teams on the field last year (and power rankings) so why necessarily look ahead from a better team to a lesser team, also since ECU smoked WV last year, sincerely doubt they will be looking ahead, we'll know in a few days
 
 
 
 
 



Well put my friend BOL the rest of the week.
 
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Posted: #48
Nos, Can you go into a shade more detail about why you like Pitt.  Huge coaching mismatch IMO.  Tight game last year in Pitt, why not in Buffalo this year?  Pitt also has a big showdown with the Naval Academy on deck and may do some triple option prep this week.  I can't lay chalk with Wanstache on the road against Gill.
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by Deppir808:

Hey Nos, I was looking at the Tennessee game when it first came out, and it moved from I think -10 to -7.5. What do you think about that? I was leaning heavily towards Tennessee.

Thanks
maybe because ucla upset them 1st week last year
 
 
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Posted: #50
i really like the uab, usc, mich st picks against you on unlv i think oregon st will crush them and all the others are no plays for me    bol to you week#2
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