nostradamus week 4

Quote Originally Posted by bimbopapi:

NOS how about them Cincinnati U?? opening line -7.5! 

It opened at 6.5 at Bmaker. Got bet up to 7.5 that it is right now

Heavy lean on ND

Also looking at Cuse, A&M, LSU, UCLA, FSU, Oregon

Good Luck this week

Damn Nos, you weren't joking.  We're on 5 of the same already!  

Gonna have to dig deaper on ND & Baylor.  My initial lean would be to ND, but I think this might be closer than people think, but I haven't been impressed with Pitt so far.  Why do you like Baylor so much?  I just hate laying close to 3 td's on a team that has no Defense.

Baylor -17 (hook) (1.5u)

*No need for the hook..blowout city for the bears..

all - appreciate it, best of luck this week

wahoo - yep BG has a pretty good road dog record lately and MiaOH not the best HF, BOL this week my friend

LJ - yeah hard to get much action on FAU with their 1 first down, number likely climb similar to opener against FL...if Auburn defense is sloppy as they were against Utah St FAU probably gets some, BOL buddy

boom - so far so good on early line movement..not likely imo TT, Aub or Baylor will fnish lower than opener...did get the worst of a couple lines last week with PSU and Tenn, overall pretty good though, GL this week buddy

bbak - yeah had eye on Florida, before last week's results would have been around 10-11 and now inflated although like you say they still probably cover...tough to see UK with long drives, they'll need some big plays and TOs I would guess, first game away from swamp will tell how far FL is along

ice - long time no see man, BOL hit'em good this week

HR - sounds good buddy, nice year so far

pecador - man yeah that is a lot of chalk...no real lean on those other than war eagle...he's fine after flying into the luxury box window, GL this week doc

fsu - unless they've all added 20 lbs KSU front 7 could get handled by Canes OL as long as Golden keeps team focused this week, look for 250+ rushing, if Harris has to throw then it's a loss...Irish looking pretty motivated, Pitt not sharp on either side yet...maybe this week gets them going however will go with Irish, GL fsu

oahu - leaning Cincy, possibly under on UCF-BYU if decent number...leaning Okie St plus any pts or maybe in rare teaser...not seeing them blown out even if lose SU

nccapper - break up both the green wave and duke...yep looks like it's heading down...might be looking for some small ML kicker on the green wave GL my friend

got this thing from Heritage sports for cancel wager for free at halftime on NC State-Cincy.....so have put together at least shot at something...leaning Cincy or over...for purposes of seeing where score is at halftime the total might be even better than side, we'll see what total is later

HR - true Rice could score some, they'll need to since likely won't contain Bears...Griffin pretty sharp right now...Bears controlled LY on the road 30-13 and this one might get a little worse

cover - good to see you like them, yeah like to buy a half or two during week especially getting 108 at heritage and can still average 110 or less with occasional half, GL buddy

although many factors considered with these matchups..a few short thoughts and scores

Texas Tech 51 Nevada 20.....wolfpack allowed 65.9% pass comp last year with a better defense...uh oh....TT only Kansas on deck..... weak nonconference road ATS

Auburn 52 FAU 10...similar to Akron last week FAU gets their first TD here, not much different the FL matchup week 1 other than obvious weaker defense...not sure can take advantage much more than 17 though, war eagle might respond after first loss in awhile

Penn St 45 E Mich 10...sure PSU will be lucky to score 28 unless they can average 7+ yds a carry 300+ rushing or get lucky and make a FG (0-3 last week), EMU running game will have tougher time than at Mich, EMU 2-7 ATS as 20+ nonconference road dog over past few

Baylor 48 Rice 20...owls should score some, they'll need to...30-13 last year on the road and not sure much has changed

MiaFL 38 Kansas St 13....as long as Golden keeps them focused and believe he will, KSU front 7 could get trucked over by OL and nice RBs 250+ yrds rushing, if Harris forced to throw this probably loses...KSU lack of passing game will have trouble running here

Notre Dame 30 Pitt 17...although similar teams, ND seems more interested in playing football...sometime important for playing football...and better on defense

USF 48 UTEP 10....miners frosh QB 9-28 4.4ypc last week against NMST...uh that seems bad....USF running well and rolls after decent UTEP defense gives up hope for their offense

Tulane 23 Duke 20...although improving duke unproven laying more than this...3 wins by more than 11 since 06...green wave should be able to match points most of the way..upset

Illinois 28 W Mich 23....Broncos playing pretty solid other than couple TOs against Mich, sandwich game for Illinois...lost 23-17 in 08 at WMU...just far enough back that no current players remember, Illini not known to be overly interested in nonconference, WMU QB completing 72%

Bowling Green 23 MiaOH 21....mostly technical play with BG 13-5 ATS road dog since 07 and MiaOH not shown much as HF 2-5 in same span, BG QB improved over last year 24-21 loss at BG

UL-Lafayette 27 FIU 24....ULL has matched up pretty well in series, other than cover over UNT FIU not shown much blowout ability....primary offensive weapon Hilton possible slowed by hamstring injury...not listed on some injury reports yet

GL man!

On a few of the same plays 

Nos

Definitely agree with the Auburn/SF plays.....blowout city.

Sir!  Your picks have been noted.  I wish you the very best this week!