7-16 last week....too many last minute ATS leads to count...along with not so close Marshall giving up 65+ to Akron...and Badgers no TDs against GA St until late 3rd...ok right...worried about not making money this year or rattled...not even a little...ok maybe for a couple hours like Fred Sanford have the big one...waiting on some numbers...looking at 7-8 chalk and 7-8 dogs
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
31-26 (+0.2)
7-16 last week....too many last minute ATS leads to count...along with not so close Marshall giving up 65+ to Akron...and Badgers no TDs against GA St until late 3rd...ok right...worried about not making money this year or rattled...not even a little...ok maybe for a couple hours like Fred Sanford have the big one...waiting on some numbers...looking at 7-8 chalk and 7-8 dogs
Love the Nebraska pick so many people will want to take NW after the Nebraska win. They owe NW big for pissing it down there leg in Lincoln...will be a near home game for Nebraska as well.
USF is good but they aren't ready yet a very angry Noles team will rock ray Jay.
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Love the Nebraska pick so many people will want to take NW after the Nebraska win. They owe NW big for pissing it down there leg in Lincoln...will be a near home game for Nebraska as well.
USF is good but they aren't ready yet a very angry Noles team will rock ray Jay.
what's going on fellas...appreciate it and the insights
JMW - oh yeah definitely had Army on the radar with that match up...before last week projected number would have been -4 or 6...unfortunately after last week's results not so much and was disappointed to see 16...still might do something with it and lean Army though especially if drops to 2 TDs or less, GL this week bud
waiting on line movement on one other dog and checking out some totals later in the week
Notre Dame 44 Duke 13 - Duke defense really not tested much so far and expecting ND to play hard...devils normally would normally rely on offense to match scores for awhile however this year's version doesn't look likely
TCU 45 SMU 10 - ponies used to play TCU tough but horned toads own the last couple...similar to Duke SMU would need to score some to get under the number and new QB passing not so great and relying more on running where TCU matches up pretty well to stop them although defense not playing its best yet
Florida St 41 USF 24 - Bulls have the offense to do some damage against down FSU defense, but not the defense...so if FSU comes to play and have to believe they will after last week thinking they get this one
So Miss 45 UTEP 20 - hmm..had a fair number at 14...USM the much better team and should want to rebound after loss...balanced attack should work in this spot
Nebraska 30 NW 14 - looks like a good revenge spot for the huskers after last year...NW completing only 49% against marginal defenses and feels similar to '14 matchup (38-17, 470-290 yds)
Troy 45 NM St 20 - seems unlikely NMST defense (6.1 ypc, 8.7 YPPA) can stop them and Troy defense good enough to get a few stops
VA Tech 41 ECU 21 - although ECU tends to play VT tough looks like a good revenge spot with VT offense improving and ECU allowing 500 yds against only decent offense NC St
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what's going on fellas...appreciate it and the insights
JMW - oh yeah definitely had Army on the radar with that match up...before last week projected number would have been -4 or 6...unfortunately after last week's results not so much and was disappointed to see 16...still might do something with it and lean Army though especially if drops to 2 TDs or less, GL this week bud
waiting on line movement on one other dog and checking out some totals later in the week
Notre Dame 44 Duke 13 - Duke defense really not tested much so far and expecting ND to play hard...devils normally would normally rely on offense to match scores for awhile however this year's version doesn't look likely
TCU 45 SMU 10 - ponies used to play TCU tough but horned toads own the last couple...similar to Duke SMU would need to score some to get under the number and new QB passing not so great and relying more on running where TCU matches up pretty well to stop them although defense not playing its best yet
Florida St 41 USF 24 - Bulls have the offense to do some damage against down FSU defense, but not the defense...so if FSU comes to play and have to believe they will after last week thinking they get this one
So Miss 45 UTEP 20 - hmm..had a fair number at 14...USM the much better team and should want to rebound after loss...balanced attack should work in this spot
Nebraska 30 NW 14 - looks like a good revenge spot for the huskers after last year...NW completing only 49% against marginal defenses and feels similar to '14 matchup (38-17, 470-290 yds)
Troy 45 NM St 20 - seems unlikely NMST defense (6.1 ypc, 8.7 YPPA) can stop them and Troy defense good enough to get a few stops
VA Tech 41 ECU 21 - although ECU tends to play VT tough looks like a good revenge spot with VT offense improving and ECU allowing 500 yds against only decent offense NC St
LSU 27 Auburn 17 - this one is usually a war and tight...LSU offense still shaky when forced to pass but Auburn run defense not dominate allowing 4.8 against A&M/Clemson...LSU should play hard to avoid second loss
Miss St 38 UMass 7 - ok we'll give UMass it's normal TD against semi legit defenses so that leaves the pretty inconsistent MSU offense against decent defense...counting on a good rush game (200+ against SC and USA) and might need a couple turnovers (Comis questionable)
Ball St 31 FAU 21 - doesn't feel much different than improved BSU win over GSU in opener and FAU allowing 6.0 ypc and 66%
Baylor 34 Okie St 31 - give OSU a good shot to hang around with Bears down a notch and allowing 5+ ypc against Rice and SMU
Tennessee 21 Florida 20 - TD+ becomes pretty valuable with defense allowing 1.3 ypc and 4.9 YPPA...normally pretty tight series...number of Vols SEC wins by DD against .500+ teams in last couple years..none until proven otherwise
Ole Miss 31 Georgia 30 - black bears defense down a notch this year (5.0 ypc, 62% comp) with losses...UGA running game and improving passing could lean towards high scoring shootout
Michigan 38 Penn St 14 - although PSU tends to be tough to beat by 20+ defense pretty average this year and looked worse than that against similar Pitt offense
LA Tech 34 MTSU 30 - MTSU allowing 230 and 300+ rushing against Vandy and BG...balanced LT offense should work and feel they're the better team...mixing in a little ML might not hurt
Memphis 45 BG 21 - BG defense allowing 5.0 ypc and 8.7 YPPA and might be close to packing it in...Tigers the much better defense
Wake Forest 26 Indiana 24 - WF defense and running game both look improved although against not great teams...matched up pretty well last year 31-24 with lesser team and better IU QB
UTSA 30 ODU 26 - ODU 1-7 ATS as home chalk over past couple seasons and just two DD wins against FBS (UTEP, E Mich)...appears UTSA has improved some since LY 36-31 loss
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LSU 27 Auburn 17 - this one is usually a war and tight...LSU offense still shaky when forced to pass but Auburn run defense not dominate allowing 4.8 against A&M/Clemson...LSU should play hard to avoid second loss
Miss St 38 UMass 7 - ok we'll give UMass it's normal TD against semi legit defenses so that leaves the pretty inconsistent MSU offense against decent defense...counting on a good rush game (200+ against SC and USA) and might need a couple turnovers (Comis questionable)
Ball St 31 FAU 21 - doesn't feel much different than improved BSU win over GSU in opener and FAU allowing 6.0 ypc and 66%
Baylor 34 Okie St 31 - give OSU a good shot to hang around with Bears down a notch and allowing 5+ ypc against Rice and SMU
Tennessee 21 Florida 20 - TD+ becomes pretty valuable with defense allowing 1.3 ypc and 4.9 YPPA...normally pretty tight series...number of Vols SEC wins by DD against .500+ teams in last couple years..none until proven otherwise
Ole Miss 31 Georgia 30 - black bears defense down a notch this year (5.0 ypc, 62% comp) with losses...UGA running game and improving passing could lean towards high scoring shootout
Michigan 38 Penn St 14 - although PSU tends to be tough to beat by 20+ defense pretty average this year and looked worse than that against similar Pitt offense
LA Tech 34 MTSU 30 - MTSU allowing 230 and 300+ rushing against Vandy and BG...balanced LT offense should work and feel they're the better team...mixing in a little ML might not hurt
Memphis 45 BG 21 - BG defense allowing 5.0 ypc and 8.7 YPPA and might be close to packing it in...Tigers the much better defense
Wake Forest 26 Indiana 24 - WF defense and running game both look improved although against not great teams...matched up pretty well last year 31-24 with lesser team and better IU QB
UTSA 30 ODU 26 - ODU 1-7 ATS as home chalk over past couple seasons and just two DD wins against FBS (UTEP, E Mich)...appears UTSA has improved some since LY 36-31 loss
Whose scorin "ALL" those points for Fla though I think Del Rio is out it could be an all you can run buffet... Agree.. any TD is pure gold there.
Agree think UGA hangs close after that slug fest last week, and Pass D is lookin like the Dawg's thang... upset alert for the Ole Missey's this weekend..
Good note on LT / MT I'll have to look at that one.
Good Luck!!!
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Whose scorin "ALL" those points for Fla though I think Del Rio is out it could be an all you can run buffet... Agree.. any TD is pure gold there.
Agree think UGA hangs close after that slug fest last week, and Pass D is lookin like the Dawg's thang... upset alert for the Ole Missey's this weekend..
Good note on LT / MT I'll have to look at that one.
love my michigan boys this week. penn state minus top 3 backers and de, offense can score but havent faced d like michigan yet either. michigan will do whatever they want on offense and return game with peppers.
harbaugh knows psu recruits against them and will look to make a statement especially with sparty being talk of town last week.
45-17 if its that close, bank it
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love my michigan boys this week. penn state minus top 3 backers and de, offense can score but havent faced d like michigan yet either. michigan will do whatever they want on offense and return game with peppers.
harbaugh knows psu recruits against them and will look to make a statement especially with sparty being talk of town last week.
UGA -agree tough to see Ole Miss at peak level again although is SEC and somewhat used to it....although he'll make some mistakes like Eason willing to take some shots...big change over previous...and dogs not blown out often with 4 DD losses over 3Y, GL man
LH - good point, BOL buddy
4LM - yeah saw that with LB and some other injuries...makes me want to have more on it...although now up to 18.5, GL bro
adding couple plays.....
Arkansas +7 (hook) (0.5)...razorbacks normally get up and play pretty well in trips to Texas and jerry world...not blown out much and teams are pretty even and maybe a little extra after losing 28-21 OT last year...although try not to more than a few times a year buying the hook (half) since could be tight and possible OT....Arkansas 30-27
Cal-Arizona St over 82 (0.35)....don't play many overs during the year....Cal doesn't play any rush defense 6.5 YPC and devils don't play much pass defense (9.3 YPPA)....hard to see anything other than both teams scoring....ASU 48-45
quite a bit of line movement this week....possibly checking out a couple others later in the week
updated week 4
Notre Dame -21 TCU -23 Florida St -4 So Miss -10 Troy -17 (0.75) Nebraska -6 (0.75) Miss St -23 (0.75) VA Tech -11 (0.75) LSU -2 (0.75) Ball St -3 (0.5) Oklahoma St +10 (0.5) Florida +8 (0.5) Georgia +8 (0.5) Michigan -16.5 (0.5) LA Tech +5.5 (0.5) Memphis -16 (0.5) Arkansas +7 (hook) (0.5) Wake Forest +7.5 (0.35) UT-San Antonio +3 (0.35) Cal-Arizona St over 82 (0.35)
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thanks gents...good insights
UGA -agree tough to see Ole Miss at peak level again although is SEC and somewhat used to it....although he'll make some mistakes like Eason willing to take some shots...big change over previous...and dogs not blown out often with 4 DD losses over 3Y, GL man
LH - good point, BOL buddy
4LM - yeah saw that with LB and some other injuries...makes me want to have more on it...although now up to 18.5, GL bro
adding couple plays.....
Arkansas +7 (hook) (0.5)...razorbacks normally get up and play pretty well in trips to Texas and jerry world...not blown out much and teams are pretty even and maybe a little extra after losing 28-21 OT last year...although try not to more than a few times a year buying the hook (half) since could be tight and possible OT....Arkansas 30-27
Cal-Arizona St over 82 (0.35)....don't play many overs during the year....Cal doesn't play any rush defense 6.5 YPC and devils don't play much pass defense (9.3 YPPA)....hard to see anything other than both teams scoring....ASU 48-45
quite a bit of line movement this week....possibly checking out a couple others later in the week
updated week 4
Notre Dame -21 TCU -23 Florida St -4 So Miss -10 Troy -17 (0.75) Nebraska -6 (0.75) Miss St -23 (0.75) VA Tech -11 (0.75) LSU -2 (0.75) Ball St -3 (0.5) Oklahoma St +10 (0.5) Florida +8 (0.5) Georgia +8 (0.5) Michigan -16.5 (0.5) LA Tech +5.5 (0.5) Memphis -16 (0.5) Arkansas +7 (hook) (0.5) Wake Forest +7.5 (0.35) UT-San Antonio +3 (0.35) Cal-Arizona St over 82 (0.35)
Nos - great stuff. Always check your input out. It is early in the week, but have not seen anything from anyone on Utah and USC - think this is it for USC - they lose this game and their season might go down the crapper. Interesting from my perspective. Northwestern/Neb will be a home game for Neb - 1/2 or more of the stadium will be in red. Lots of Neb fans including myself will migrate to Chicago for this one. Thanks again for info. Good Luck as Always!!!
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Nos - great stuff. Always check your input out. It is early in the week, but have not seen anything from anyone on Utah and USC - think this is it for USC - they lose this game and their season might go down the crapper. Interesting from my perspective. Northwestern/Neb will be a home game for Neb - 1/2 or more of the stadium will be in red. Lots of Neb fans including myself will migrate to Chicago for this one. Thanks again for info. Good Luck as Always!!!
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