Posted:
#1
Thinking opposite of everyone else... going to take UCLA +25 and the Under 61.5. I'll wait until tomorrow to see if I can get another 1/2 point on each as 70% of bettors are on Oregon and 80%+ are on the over.
I understand everyone's reasoning for backing the Ducks, but 25 points is a ton to be laying in conference game. Rick the slick seems to love playing the role of spoiler and even with a backup quarterback, I think UCLA can keep the game within 3 TDs. Heck, I think Brehaut might be more effective than Prince could be in this game.
Could I see Oregon winning by 35+ and the total score being in the 70's or even 80's? Sure, but I like the "odds" that some drives may stall or eat up 5-6 minutes of the clock. Lastly, there's a 60% chance of precipitation in Eugene tomorrow, so that could play a factor.
I know neither are popular plays, but here are some things to consider:
UCLA is 6-2 in its past eight road games as a dog of at least 10.5
Oregon is 0-5 ATS in its past five Thursday games
The past three games between the teams at Autzen Stadium have been decided by 10 points or less.
While the Bruins have 4-10 record against top-ranked teams and have lost the last six, their four wins have come with extra time to prepare – they had 11 days to get ready for this one.
I understand everyone's reasoning for backing the Ducks, but 25 points is a ton to be laying in conference game. Rick the slick seems to love playing the role of spoiler and even with a backup quarterback, I think UCLA can keep the game within 3 TDs. Heck, I think Brehaut might be more effective than Prince could be in this game.
Could I see Oregon winning by 35+ and the total score being in the 70's or even 80's? Sure, but I like the "odds" that some drives may stall or eat up 5-6 minutes of the clock. Lastly, there's a 60% chance of precipitation in Eugene tomorrow, so that could play a factor.
I know neither are popular plays, but here are some things to consider:
UCLA is 6-2 in its past eight road games as a dog of at least 10.5
Oregon is 0-5 ATS in its past five Thursday games
The past three games between the teams at Autzen Stadium have been decided by 10 points or less.
While the Bruins have 4-10 record against top-ranked teams and have lost the last six, their four wins have come with extra time to prepare – they had 11 days to get ready for this one.
0
i will not trust a struggling program thats changing its offensive philosophy and doesnt yet have the players in postition to run it... i jus dnt c how UCLA will b able to score enough to keep it in the number the OREGON team is jus too fast on both sides of the ball
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