NOON plays ~
Army +5.5
: Army is coming off a very impressive
offensive display at Boston College.
They rushed for 325+ yards and put 27 points on the board. They even eclipsed 100 yards passing and
controlled the clock for 35 minutes.
While they lost the game in convincing fashion and their D needs
considerable improvement, their opponent this week is a welcomed sight. While Army’s only win is against LA tech on
the road (power ranking #113) it is worth noting that in their building they
gave Stanford all they could handle and scored 20 on them and most of the game
was a one score deficit. They even had
300 yards rushing on Stanford. This
week’s opponent Eastern Michigan’s power ranking coming into the game is 122nd
out of 126 teams. Let me say that again:
the only teams worse in D1 are: Miami O, New mex state, FIU and Georgia state. Emich
ranks #114 in scoring def @ 38 pts per game and is #108 against the run
allowing 212 yards per contest. Additionally,
Emich has allowed an eye-popping 19 TDs on the ground for a robust 5.7 YPC.
There are three reasons this is a problem for Emich:
1)
Terry Baggett ~ 59 carries , 440 yards, 2 TDs
2)
Larry Dixon ~ 59 carries, 437 yards, 5 TDs
3)
Angel Santiago (QB) ~ 90 carries, 366 yards, 4
TDs
Emich will not show much resolve when they give up 300 yards
in the first half and is down 7-10 pts and get blown out the second half. I look for them to have 450 yards + on the
ground and pound them into submission early and often. When Emich has the ball they the 102nd
ranked offense featuring 125 on the ground and 212 through the air. Of course that number is considerably skewed
in their one win against HOWARD University when they had almost 400 yards of
offense. After playing the likes of Wake
Forest, Stanford, Ball state and BC, Army is #6 in the country with 325 yards
per game and a very respectable middle of the road D @ #63 nationally. Army’s strength is the pass D where they are
#45 overall. This plays into the
strength of Emich and should neutralize their best offensive advantage. With a
total of 55 and a line of 7.5 the outcome predicted by vegas is 31.25 to 23.75. Furthermore, I feel very strongly on the OVER team total Army 1H (16.5?), team total
game (31.5?) , ARMY 1H -5.5 and ARMY -7 (buy .5) game. This
is my highest rated play at noon.
NOON plays ~
Army +5.5
: Army is coming off a very impressive
offensive display at Boston College.
They rushed for 325+ yards and put 27 points on the board. They even eclipsed 100 yards passing and
controlled the clock for 35 minutes.
While they lost the game in convincing fashion and their D needs
considerable improvement, their opponent this week is a welcomed sight. While Army’s only win is against LA tech on
the road (power ranking #113) it is worth noting that in their building they
gave Stanford all they could handle and scored 20 on them and most of the game
was a one score deficit. They even had
300 yards rushing on Stanford. This
week’s opponent Eastern Michigan’s power ranking coming into the game is 122nd
out of 126 teams. Let me say that again:
the only teams worse in D1 are: Miami O, New mex state, FIU and Georgia state. Emich
ranks #114 in scoring def @ 38 pts per game and is #108 against the run
allowing 212 yards per contest. Additionally,
Emich has allowed an eye-popping 19 TDs on the ground for a robust 5.7 YPC.
There are three reasons this is a problem for Emich:
1)
Terry Baggett ~ 59 carries , 440 yards, 2 TDs
2)
Larry Dixon ~ 59 carries, 437 yards, 5 TDs
3)
Angel Santiago (QB) ~ 90 carries, 366 yards, 4
TDs
Emich will not show much resolve when they give up 300 yards
in the first half and is down 7-10 pts and get blown out the second half. I look for them to have 450 yards + on the
ground and pound them into submission early and often. When Emich has the ball they the 102nd
ranked offense featuring 125 on the ground and 212 through the air. Of course that number is considerably skewed
in their one win against HOWARD University when they had almost 400 yards of
offense. After playing the likes of Wake
Forest, Stanford, Ball state and BC, Army is #6 in the country with 325 yards
per game and a very respectable middle of the road D @ #63 nationally. Army’s strength is the pass D where they are
#45 overall. This plays into the
strength of Emich and should neutralize their best offensive advantage. With a
total of 55 and a line of 7.5 the outcome predicted by vegas is 31.25 to 23.75. Furthermore, I feel very strongly on the OVER team total Army 1H (16.5?), team total
game (31.5?) , ARMY 1H -5.5 and ARMY -7 (buy .5) game. This
is my highest rated play at noon.
Missouri +21.5 / 50.5 Over :
I am converted. I am a
believer. I have seen the light. I am sure this is the week that Georgia finds
a defense but that is why they call it gambling. Georgia seems to go out of its way to play a
close game. I am going to put that to
the test tomorrow at noon. Not only do
they like close games they like points.
Point totals in Geo games:
73, 71, 66, 84, 65.
Point differential: 3, 11, 24, 3, 3. I will have you note in the game they won by
24 I had North texas +49.5 in a teaser.
Point totals in Missouri games: 72, 61, 73, 60, 79
Will the total be 35-0 Georgia? Perhaps……but with the injuries that keep
mounting for Georgia and the swagger Mizzu brings into the game and their
ability to move the ball with their offensive weapons, I think the over and
points here are too good to pass up.
Between the hedges or on the moon, I think the visitor covers 20+ points
and the total is almost in by half. I
see your run of the mill 39-35 type contest.
I am playing the 1H over on BOTH Geo and Mizzu and playing game team
totals on Mizzu and Geo and playing game over as well. second and third highest rated plays at noon
Missouri +21.5 / 50.5 Over :
I am converted. I am a
believer. I have seen the light. I am sure this is the week that Georgia finds
a defense but that is why they call it gambling. Georgia seems to go out of its way to play a
close game. I am going to put that to
the test tomorrow at noon. Not only do
they like close games they like points.
Point totals in Geo games:
73, 71, 66, 84, 65.
Point differential: 3, 11, 24, 3, 3. I will have you note in the game they won by
24 I had North texas +49.5 in a teaser.
Point totals in Missouri games: 72, 61, 73, 60, 79
Will the total be 35-0 Georgia? Perhaps……but with the injuries that keep
mounting for Georgia and the swagger Mizzu brings into the game and their
ability to move the ball with their offensive weapons, I think the over and
points here are too good to pass up.
Between the hedges or on the moon, I think the visitor covers 20+ points
and the total is almost in by half. I
see your run of the mill 39-35 type contest.
I am playing the 1H over on BOTH Geo and Mizzu and playing game team
totals on Mizzu and Geo and playing game over as well. second and third highest rated plays at noon
Missouri +21.5 / 50.5 Over :
I am converted. I am a
believer. I have seen the light. I am sure this is the week that Georgia finds
a defense but that is why they call it gambling. Georgia seems to go out of its way to play a
close game. I am going to put that to
the test tomorrow at noon. Not only do
they like close games they like points.
Point totals in Geo games: 73, 71, 66, 84, 65.
Point differential: 3, 11, 24, 3, 3. I will have you note in the game they won by
24 I had North texas +49.5 in a teaser.
Point totals in Missouri games: 72, 61, 73, 60, 79
Will the total be 35-0 Georgia? Perhaps……but with the injuries that keep
mounting for Georgia and the swagger Mizzu brings into the game and their
ability to move the ball with their offensive weapons, I think the over and
points here are too good to pass up.
Between the hedges or on the moon, I think the visitor covers 20+ points
and the total is almost in by half. I
see your run of the mill 39-35 type contest.
I am playing the 1H over on BOTH Geo and Mizzu and playing game team
totals on Mizzu and Geo and playing game over as well. second and third highest rated plays at noon
Missouri +21.5 / 50.5 Over :
I am converted. I am a
believer. I have seen the light. I am sure this is the week that Georgia finds
a defense but that is why they call it gambling. Georgia seems to go out of its way to play a
close game. I am going to put that to
the test tomorrow at noon. Not only do
they like close games they like points.
Point totals in Geo games: 73, 71, 66, 84, 65.
Point differential: 3, 11, 24, 3, 3. I will have you note in the game they won by
24 I had North texas +49.5 in a teaser.
Point totals in Missouri games: 72, 61, 73, 60, 79
Will the total be 35-0 Georgia? Perhaps……but with the injuries that keep
mounting for Georgia and the swagger Mizzu brings into the game and their
ability to move the ball with their offensive weapons, I think the over and
points here are too good to pass up.
Between the hedges or on the moon, I think the visitor covers 20+ points
and the total is almost in by half. I
see your run of the mill 39-35 type contest.
I am playing the 1H over on BOTH Geo and Mizzu and playing game team
totals on Mizzu and Geo and playing game over as well. second and third highest rated plays at noon
Houston +3.5:
I have to think that Memphis must be absolutely devastated after giving up TWO TDs in 9 seconds to allow a come from behind victory to a horrible UCF team at home last week.
Memphis has scored: 7,
14, 15, 17
and features the 88th overall offense and overall 15th ranked defense. That D sounds good....however, they drop to 44th against the pass allowing 216 yds/gm.
That does not bode well against Houston's high powered passing game which is 20th in the country @ 307. Not to be outdone, to compliment this balance attack, Houston runs the ball 227 yards per game, actually 19th nationally. Let that sink in. This team averages 530 yards a game and is super balanced, stop the run and they will kill you with the passing game.
This
translates to an offensive showing of: 22, 31, 62, 59….not to mention being 4-0
on the year. They really haven’t played
a good team, luckily Memphis isn’t a good team.
On the other side of the ball their defense is much improved. The Cougars have not allowed an opponent to
score more than 28 points this season. Last year, they allowed 30 or more
points in eight of their 12 games. Cougars lead the nation in turnover
differential at +11 after picking off eight passes, recovering six fumbles
and giving up the ball themselves only three times.
Prediction: 27-14
Plays:
gm -9.5 ; 1H -6
Houston +3.5:
I have to think that Memphis must be absolutely devastated after giving up TWO TDs in 9 seconds to allow a come from behind victory to a horrible UCF team at home last week.
Memphis has scored: 7,
14, 15, 17
and features the 88th overall offense and overall 15th ranked defense. That D sounds good....however, they drop to 44th against the pass allowing 216 yds/gm.
That does not bode well against Houston's high powered passing game which is 20th in the country @ 307. Not to be outdone, to compliment this balance attack, Houston runs the ball 227 yards per game, actually 19th nationally. Let that sink in. This team averages 530 yards a game and is super balanced, stop the run and they will kill you with the passing game.
This
translates to an offensive showing of: 22, 31, 62, 59….not to mention being 4-0
on the year. They really haven’t played
a good team, luckily Memphis isn’t a good team.
On the other side of the ball their defense is much improved. The Cougars have not allowed an opponent to
score more than 28 points this season. Last year, they allowed 30 or more
points in eight of their 12 games. Cougars lead the nation in turnover
differential at +11 after picking off eight passes, recovering six fumbles
and giving up the ball themselves only three times.
Prediction: 27-14
Plays:
gm -9.5 ; 1H -6
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