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    All Forums | College Football

    Pure Discretionary System Plays - Week 4

    123 Next Last»
    AllNumbers13
    DStaXX
    shot-calla
    HowardLangston
    CoverLane
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    123 Next Last»
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 12:14 AM ET #1

    Hey, going to try and go easy on the posting this week, but that doesn't mean I will not be following the spreads religiously throughout the week. 

    That said, I will be posting both my NCAAF picks and NFL picks in both threads so hopefully people can make an extra buck if they trust me in college football - which they most certainly should. 


    Will be back in a bit with considerations. 
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Hey, going to try and go easy on the posting this week, but that doesn't mean I will not be following the spreads religiously throughout the week. 

    That said, I will be posting both my NCAAF picks and NFL picks in both threads so hopefully people can make an extra buck if they trust me in college football - which they most certainly should. 


    Will be back in a bit with considerations. 
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 12:14 AM ET #2

    In College Football, I will be focusing on the following games for now:

    Iowa 
    Kentucky 
    Army 
    Rice
    UNC
    Temple 
    Oregon State***
    California 
    Arkansas
    WKU
    Colorado State
    Michigan 
    Oklahoma
    Florida State
    New Mexico 
    San Diego State
    Utah 
    Air Force
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    In College Football, I will be focusing on the following games for now:

    Iowa 
    Kentucky 
    Army 
    Rice
    UNC
    Temple 
    Oregon State***
    California 
    Arkansas
    WKU
    Colorado State
    Michigan 
    Oklahoma
    Florida State
    New Mexico 
    San Diego State
    Utah 
    Air Force
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 12:22 AM ET #3

    In NFL, I will be focusing on (for now):


    Carolina/NYG
    Chicago/STL
    San Fran/Minn
    Cincin/Washington
    Philly/Arizona
    GB/Seattle
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    In NFL, I will be focusing on (for now):


    Carolina/NYG
    Chicago/STL
    San Fran/Minn
    Cincin/Washington
    Philly/Arizona
    GB/Seattle
     
    DStaXX
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 12:27 AM ET #4

    Will be following your thread. 
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    Will be following your thread. 
     
    shot-calla
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 1:50 PM ET #5

    So what is it
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    So what is it
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 1:55 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by shot-calla:

    So what is it


    what do u mean?
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    Quote Originally Posted by shot-calla:

    So what is it


    what do u mean?
     
    shot-calla
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2012 - 2:04 PM ET #7

    If u were posting ur plays......the ones u really like.....keep up the good work
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    If u were posting ur plays......the ones u really like.....keep up the good work
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:07 AM ET #8

    1st play in NFL:

    Carolina -1 (Tier I) 
    Carolina Under 50 (Tier I)


    I am VERY confident abut both these plays. 
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    1st play in NFL:

    Carolina -1 (Tier I) 
    Carolina Under 50 (Tier I)


    I am VERY confident abut both these plays. 
     
    HowardLangston
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:45 AM ET #9

    all numbers just to clarify teir 1 is the lowest of ur tiers right? like lowest unit amount bet?
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    all numbers just to clarify teir 1 is the lowest of ur tiers right? like lowest unit amount bet?
     
    HowardLangston
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:50 AM ET #10

    oops teir 1 are the biggest unit sizes
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    oops teir 1 are the biggest unit sizes
     
    CoverLane
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:54 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

    oops teir 1 are the biggest unit sizes

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    Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

    oops teir 1 are the biggest unit sizes

     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 1:10 PM ET #12

    Play tonight:


    BYU +6.5 (Tier II) 
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    Play tonight:


    BYU +6.5 (Tier II) 
     
    BigRich72
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 1:21 PM ET #13

    BOL  
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    BOL  
     
    borisactor
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:00 PM ET #14

    Sports Betting is not about numbers..it's situational. Knowing andd understanding public perception and line movements. Numbers are way way down the list. Being a fan and a handicapper are very very different things.
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    Sports Betting is not about numbers..it's situational. Knowing andd understanding public perception and line movements. Numbers are way way down the list. Being a fan and a handicapper are very very different things.
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:20 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by borisactor:

    Sports Betting is not about numbers..it's situational. Knowing andd understanding public perception and line movements. Numbers are way way down the list. Being a fan and a handicapper are very very different things.


    Seems like you are contradicting yourself. Dont want to waste my time responding to this message because it seems pointless to me, but being a fan implies knowing the teams fundamentally, being a handicapper suggests otherwise. On one hand, I accept the fact that it implies both analyzing numbers, and qualitative information. But on the other hand, feel free to go to my first post of the season explaining my rationale to betting. You can preach all you want my dude about how much you know, how well you understand the teams, their tendencies and how situational plays are the way to go. But I'm sorry to inform you - you being on covers reveals one very important fact: you are not an actual professional, and by professional I mean that you have inside information. You are the public, as am I. So at the end of the day, if YOU, or I try to "handicap" games, with limited information, then you are risking money when you are at a clear disadvantage. 

    That's why I approach this purely from a numerical standpoint. If you are in the business of making money, and are actually serious about it - then you should be putting your money down onthat have the best chances of winning - not on games you, or the anyone else as the public believes to be offering value. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by borisactor:

    Sports Betting is not about numbers..it's situational. Knowing andd understanding public perception and line movements. Numbers are way way down the list. Being a fan and a handicapper are very very different things.


    Seems like you are contradicting yourself. Dont want to waste my time responding to this message because it seems pointless to me, but being a fan implies knowing the teams fundamentally, being a handicapper suggests otherwise. On one hand, I accept the fact that it implies both analyzing numbers, and qualitative information. But on the other hand, feel free to go to my first post of the season explaining my rationale to betting. You can preach all you want my dude about how much you know, how well you understand the teams, their tendencies and how situational plays are the way to go. But I'm sorry to inform you - you being on covers reveals one very important fact: you are not an actual professional, and by professional I mean that you have inside information. You are the public, as am I. So at the end of the day, if YOU, or I try to "handicap" games, with limited information, then you are risking money when you are at a clear disadvantage. 

    That's why I approach this purely from a numerical standpoint. If you are in the business of making money, and are actually serious about it - then you should be putting your money down onthat have the best chances of winning - not on games you, or the anyone else as the public believes to be offering value. 
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 2:25 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by borisactor:

    Sports Betting is not about numbers..it's situational. Knowing andd understanding public perception and line movements. Numbers are way way down the list. Being a fan and a handicapper are very very different things.


    Please tell me you didnt post your message simply because of my username...?  If so, you need  lol
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    Quote Originally Posted by borisactor:

    Sports Betting is not about numbers..it's situational. Knowing andd understanding public perception and line movements. Numbers are way way down the list. Being a fan and a handicapper are very very different things.


    Please tell me you didnt post your message simply because of my username...?  If so, you need  lol
     
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 3:07 PM ET #17

    Agreed numbers. I think yours and my philosophy are similar. Trips me out when u get gramps "handicapping" games and finding " value" in games. Then trying to tell someone else how to pick winners......????
    I'm on BYU too btw. Gl
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    Agreed numbers. I think yours and my philosophy are similar. Trips me out when u get gramps "handicapping" games and finding " value" in games. Then trying to tell someone else how to pick winners......????
    I'm on BYU too btw. Gl
     
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 3:09 PM ET #18

    Agreed numbers. I think yours and my philosophy are similar. Trips me out when u get gramps "handicapping" games and finding " value" in games. Then trying to tell someone else how to pick winners......????
    I'm on BYU too btw. Gl
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    Agreed numbers. I think yours and my philosophy are similar. Trips me out when u get gramps "handicapping" games and finding " value" in games. Then trying to tell someone else how to pick winners......????
    I'm on BYU too btw. Gl
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 5:11 PM ET #19

    Update: 

    Tonight's games: 3 on a Thursday night... rarity - take advantage! GL!


    BYU +6.5 (Tier I) 

    Carolina -1 (Tier I) 

    Carolina Under 50 (Tier I) 
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    Update: 

    Tonight's games: 3 on a Thursday night... rarity - take advantage! GL!


    BYU +6.5 (Tier I) 

    Carolina -1 (Tier I) 

    Carolina Under 50 (Tier I) 
     
    Boston George
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2012 - 5:19 PM ET #20

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    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2012 - 1:26 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

    Update: 

    Tonight's games: 3 on a Thursday night... rarity - take advantage! GL!


    BYU +6.5 (Tier I) 

    Carolina -1 (Tier I) - fail
    Carolina Under 50 (Tier I) 
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    Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

    Update: 

    Tonight's games: 3 on a Thursday night... rarity - take advantage! GL!


    BYU +6.5 (Tier I) 

    Carolina -1 (Tier I) - fail
    Carolina Under 50 (Tier I) 
     
    KktdocT
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2012 - 6:03 PM ET #22

    GL, mate.
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    GL, mate.
     
    AllNumbers13
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2012 - 7:44 PM ET #23

    Picks:



    Bowling Green +17 (Tier I) 
    Kentucky +23 (Tier I) 
    Temple +7.5 (Tier I) 
    Oregon State +7.5 (Tier I) 
    Oklahoma -15 (Tier I) 
    Florida State University (Tier I) 


    Baylor -8 (Tier II) 
    Maryland +26 (Tier II)
    Army +7.5 (Tier II) 


    Enjoy... 
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    Picks:



    Bowling Green +17 (Tier I) 
    Kentucky +23 (Tier I) 
    Temple +7.5 (Tier I) 
    Oregon State +7.5 (Tier I) 
    Oklahoma -15 (Tier I) 
    Florida State University (Tier I) 


    Baylor -8 (Tier II) 
    Maryland +26 (Tier II)
    Army +7.5 (Tier II) 


    Enjoy... 
     
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2012 - 7:52 PM ET #24

    Really really surprised u went Baylor here! If u don't mind?... tell me what u see there in the numbers????
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    Really really surprised u went Baylor here! If u don't mind?... tell me what u see there in the numbers????
     
     
    BLAK_MAMBA
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2012 - 7:56 PM ET #25

    Whats ur line on flo st?
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    Whats ur line on flo st?
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