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    All Forums | College Football

    RABID'S Thursday and Friday Leans - Your thoughts?

    RabidPicks
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2013 - 2:40 PM ET #1

    RUTGERS AT #8 LOUISVILLE: PLAY YOUR CARDS RIGHT

    Louisville is undefeated, and they will be looking to keep it that way when hosting Rutgers on Thursday night. I won’t over dramatize the match-up, because the question isn't will Louisville win, it’s how much will they win by? Crazy things tend to happen on Thursday nights under the lights. However, the Scarlet Knights will have to give a herculean effort just to keep things close.

    Looking at the tale of the tape, the Louisville’s passing attack might have this spread covered by halftime. They are 13th in the nation is passing, averaging 333 yards per game, and Rutgers 119th ranked passing defense will do little to stop them. Teddy Bridgewater will look to have his ‘Heisman moment’ as the cameras will be firmly on him.

    Rutgers does have a capable offense of their own, as they average 40 points per game, but there are two reasons why they will struggle Thursday.  First and foremost, Louisville has the #1 scoring defense as they give up less than 7 points per game. The second is Rutgers is coming off a big overtime win on a short week.  Look for them come out flat, and pack it in when Louisville gets up by a couple of touchdowns.

    Our Lean: Louisville -19

    ARIZONA AT USC: THEY GOT 99 PROBLEMS BUT KIFFIN AINT ONE

    Statistically, Arizona has an edge in this game. USC is ranked 88th in scoring, and Arizona is ranked 9th in points against.  If USC has a hard time scoring then they could be in for a long day. Ultimately this game is going to come down to what Arizona’s offense can do. The key to this game will be The Wildcat’s 9th ranked rushing attack against the Trojan’s 13th ranked rushing defense, and who can impose their will.

    Our lean is based off intangibles, and to be honest this game is tough to call. If the spread was a point higher we may lean the other way. Both teams should be motivated. Each is coming off a loss with a bye week to prepare. We are going to give the edge to the home team. The last time USC took the football field they gave up 61 points and their coach was fired before he could get off the buss. Look for USC to bounce back in a big way. They have all kinds of talent just waiting to be realized. Lane Kiffin’s absence may be the spark they needed.

    Our Lean: USC -6

    TEMPLE AT CINCINNATI: THIS IS GONNA BE A HOOT

    The last couple of weeks there hasn't been any Legaux go in the Cincinnati offense, and it’s shown.  They have struggled to put up points beating Miami OH by a measly 14-0, and the suffering an embarrassing loss to South Florida 26-20.  The good news for Bearcat Nation is they are facing a Temple squad that is limping into this game winless at 0-5.

    Temple has yet to win a game all year but there was a bright spot in the blowout loss to Louisville last week.  They put in their freshman QB, P.J. Walker, at halftime and it brought a much needed spark to the Owls offense.  It was too little too late to help against the far superior Cardinals, but look for them to build on that momentum.

    Cincinnati is 2-0 ATS at home this year but that was before Munchie Legaux suffered that gruesome injury. Temple is 1-1 ATS this year on the road.

    Cincinnati will get the win here, but look for Temple to pick up a moral victory and keep things close for 3 quarters.

    Our Lean: Temple +21

    https://rabidpicks.wordpress.com/2013/10/09/thursday-and-friday-leans-week-7/
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    RUTGERS AT #8 LOUISVILLE: PLAY YOUR CARDS RIGHT

    Louisville is undefeated, and they will be looking to keep it that way when hosting Rutgers on Thursday night. I won’t over dramatize the match-up, because the question isn't will Louisville win, it’s how much will they win by? Crazy things tend to happen on Thursday nights under the lights. However, the Scarlet Knights will have to give a herculean effort just to keep things close.

    Looking at the tale of the tape, the Louisville’s passing attack might have this spread covered by halftime. They are 13th in the nation is passing, averaging 333 yards per game, and Rutgers 119th ranked passing defense will do little to stop them. Teddy Bridgewater will look to have his ‘Heisman moment’ as the cameras will be firmly on him.

    Rutgers does have a capable offense of their own, as they average 40 points per game, but there are two reasons why they will struggle Thursday.  First and foremost, Louisville has the #1 scoring defense as they give up less than 7 points per game. The second is Rutgers is coming off a big overtime win on a short week.  Look for them come out flat, and pack it in when Louisville gets up by a couple of touchdowns.

    Our Lean: Louisville -19

    ARIZONA AT USC: THEY GOT 99 PROBLEMS BUT KIFFIN AINT ONE

    Statistically, Arizona has an edge in this game. USC is ranked 88th in scoring, and Arizona is ranked 9th in points against.  If USC has a hard time scoring then they could be in for a long day. Ultimately this game is going to come down to what Arizona’s offense can do. The key to this game will be The Wildcat’s 9th ranked rushing attack against the Trojan’s 13th ranked rushing defense, and who can impose their will.

    Our lean is based off intangibles, and to be honest this game is tough to call. If the spread was a point higher we may lean the other way. Both teams should be motivated. Each is coming off a loss with a bye week to prepare. We are going to give the edge to the home team. The last time USC took the football field they gave up 61 points and their coach was fired before he could get off the buss. Look for USC to bounce back in a big way. They have all kinds of talent just waiting to be realized. Lane Kiffin’s absence may be the spark they needed.

    Our Lean: USC -6

    TEMPLE AT CINCINNATI: THIS IS GONNA BE A HOOT

    The last couple of weeks there hasn't been any Legaux go in the Cincinnati offense, and it’s shown.  They have struggled to put up points beating Miami OH by a measly 14-0, and the suffering an embarrassing loss to South Florida 26-20.  The good news for Bearcat Nation is they are facing a Temple squad that is limping into this game winless at 0-5.

    Temple has yet to win a game all year but there was a bright spot in the blowout loss to Louisville last week.  They put in their freshman QB, P.J. Walker, at halftime and it brought a much needed spark to the Owls offense.  It was too little too late to help against the far superior Cardinals, but look for them to build on that momentum.

    Cincinnati is 2-0 ATS at home this year but that was before Munchie Legaux suffered that gruesome injury. Temple is 1-1 ATS this year on the road.

    Cincinnati will get the win here, but look for Temple to pick up a moral victory and keep things close for 3 quarters.

    Our Lean: Temple +21

    https://rabidpicks.wordpress.com/2013/10/09/thursday-and-friday-leans-week-7/
     
    RabidPicks
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2013 - 5:32 PM ET #2

    Sorry I meant Louisville is 13th in the nation in passing, not "is passing". 

    What's everyone think? Hate them, like them?
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    Sorry I meant Louisville is 13th in the nation in passing, not "is passing". 

    What's everyone think? Hate them, like them?
     
    RabidPicks
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 5:16 PM ET #3

    Who is everyone else taking tonight?
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    Who is everyone else taking tonight?
     
    Arod84
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 5:23 PM ET #4

    I know on the stats page 'Ville has the best defense in the country. But do they really?? I mean FIU? Eastern Kentucky? Temple? Ohio? UK? Color me not impressed. Think the trend continues with another close one. And by close I mean less than 3 TDs. Guess we'll see.
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    I know on the stats page 'Ville has the best defense in the country. But do they really?? I mean FIU? Eastern Kentucky? Temple? Ohio? UK? Color me not impressed. Think the trend continues with another close one. And by close I mean less than 3 TDs. Guess we'll see.
     
    NFLJOE
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 5:36 PM ET #5

    Over 1st half Rutgers game seems to be the most logical play here.
    But I like them +19 as well.

    Nova is a pretty good QB who can move the ball. He doesnt throw many picks and he's fairly accurate.
    And I have very little doubt Bridgewater will put up at least 21 in the 1st half. 
    Rutgers defense, the secondary in particular is weak. Derek Carr threw for 456 yards and 5 TD's against this same secondary.

    And I've watched a few Louisville games and their defense has not looked all that impressive. 
    Guys have been getting open against them and teams have moved the ball on them. And these are some GOD AWFUL teams they've played. 

    Kentucky - Terrible 
    Ohio - Tyler Tettleton couldn't hit an open receiver if his life depended on it
    Eastern Kentucky - WHO?????
    Temple - High school team 
    Florida International - Oh Jesus 

    Everyone loves Louisville and says they're a powerhouse. And maybe they are. But they have yet to show it against a decent team. 
    I can see Rutgers keeping this one within 2 touchdowns. 

    Rutgers +19
    Over 55

    If Rutgers scores 20, you can't lose both bets. And I can see them putting up over 20 fairly easily.

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    Over 1st half Rutgers game seems to be the most logical play here.
    But I like them +19 as well.

    Nova is a pretty good QB who can move the ball. He doesnt throw many picks and he's fairly accurate.
    And I have very little doubt Bridgewater will put up at least 21 in the 1st half. 
    Rutgers defense, the secondary in particular is weak. Derek Carr threw for 456 yards and 5 TD's against this same secondary.

    And I've watched a few Louisville games and their defense has not looked all that impressive. 
    Guys have been getting open against them and teams have moved the ball on them. And these are some GOD AWFUL teams they've played. 

    Kentucky - Terrible 
    Ohio - Tyler Tettleton couldn't hit an open receiver if his life depended on it
    Eastern Kentucky - WHO?????
    Temple - High school team 
    Florida International - Oh Jesus 

    Everyone loves Louisville and says they're a powerhouse. And maybe they are. But they have yet to show it against a decent team. 
    I can see Rutgers keeping this one within 2 touchdowns. 

    Rutgers +19
    Over 55

    If Rutgers scores 20, you can't lose both bets. And I can see them putting up over 20 fairly easily.

     
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 5:56 PM ET #6

    I agree, Louisville definitely hasn't played anyone yet, and their offense struggled against Kentucky.  

    I still like Louisville here though, because they are at home, and if Bridgewater wants to impress, he has to do when the cameras are on him.  I also get the feeling that Rutgers just won't be ready for this game after last Saturday.

    If I'm wrong then Ill be the first to admit it.  I really don't like picking weekday games, because every weird play under the sun seems to happen.  Good Luck tonight.

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    I agree, Louisville definitely hasn't played anyone yet, and their offense struggled against Kentucky.  

    I still like Louisville here though, because they are at home, and if Bridgewater wants to impress, he has to do when the cameras are on him.  I also get the feeling that Rutgers just won't be ready for this game after last Saturday.

    If I'm wrong then Ill be the first to admit it.  I really don't like picking weekday games, because every weird play under the sun seems to happen.  Good Luck tonight.

     
    Arod84
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 5:59 PM ET #7

    Rutgers is in a rough spot after the SMU game for sure. Gonna be a good one tonight hopefully. Good Luck.
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    Rutgers is in a rough spot after the SMU game for sure. Gonna be a good one tonight hopefully. Good Luck.
     
    RabidPicks
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 8:46 PM ET #8

    What does everyone think about the game so far? Rutgers pulled out the trick play to pulled within 10.
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    What does everyone think about the game so far? Rutgers pulled out the trick play to pulled within 10.
     
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2013 - 10:49 PM ET #9

    Looks like Rutgers is going to cover this one.  Good call. Good luck the rest of the week.
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    Looks like Rutgers is going to cover this one.  Good call. Good luck the rest of the week.
     
     
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2013 - 4:14 PM ET #10

    Finished 1-1 last night. Who are you taking tonight?
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    Finished 1-1 last night. Who are you taking tonight?
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