Some success here last week (5-4, .556). Just barely over breakeven for the full season (61-53-2, .535). But, not so good on the volume front. The box likes these this week: 1) Army(-3)/NorthTexas 2) Connecticut(-6.5)/UAB 3) Liberty(-10.5)/MiddleTenn 4) CentralFlorida(+4)/ArizonaSt 5) BowlingGreen(-12.5)/CentralMich L 6) LSU(+3)/Alabama 7) NewMexico(+3)/SanDiegoSt 8) SanJoseSt (+3.5)/OregonState 9) Duke(+3)/NorthCarSt 10) Rice(+9.5)/Memphis 11) Virginia(+7.5)/Pittsburgh 12) AppSt(+ 1)/CoastalCar L
Since I adjusted the system four weeks ago, the top six have been strong (17-7, .708).
With ten weeks gone and four to play, are we interested in some tech-talk on category performance? Well, thus far the Home Dogs are .500 (86-86-4), and the Away Dogs are .517 (163-152-9). ATS macro data like that runs to .500, so no surprises. And no profit in wagering one or the other......
A bit more (boring) tech to share. I bet both early and late, so am always in the hunt for a middle opportunity. Of course, you need to be on the right side of that gambit early. No small thing! My personal line-movement target is >=4. So, how often has that occurred in 2024? That level of early/late movement has happened exactly 26 times (5.2%).
50 on the board this week; up from 49 last week. More opportunity -- always a good thing. Good luck, TheKingfish
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Some success here last week (5-4, .556). Just barely over breakeven for the full season (61-53-2, .535). But, not so good on the volume front. The box likes these this week: 1) Army(-3)/NorthTexas 2) Connecticut(-6.5)/UAB 3) Liberty(-10.5)/MiddleTenn 4) CentralFlorida(+4)/ArizonaSt 5) BowlingGreen(-12.5)/CentralMich L 6) LSU(+3)/Alabama 7) NewMexico(+3)/SanDiegoSt 8) SanJoseSt (+3.5)/OregonState 9) Duke(+3)/NorthCarSt 10) Rice(+9.5)/Memphis 11) Virginia(+7.5)/Pittsburgh 12) AppSt(+ 1)/CoastalCar L
Since I adjusted the system four weeks ago, the top six have been strong (17-7, .708).
With ten weeks gone and four to play, are we interested in some tech-talk on category performance? Well, thus far the Home Dogs are .500 (86-86-4), and the Away Dogs are .517 (163-152-9). ATS macro data like that runs to .500, so no surprises. And no profit in wagering one or the other......
A bit more (boring) tech to share. I bet both early and late, so am always in the hunt for a middle opportunity. Of course, you need to be on the right side of that gambit early. No small thing! My personal line-movement target is >=4. So, how often has that occurred in 2024? That level of early/late movement has happened exactly 26 times (5.2%).
50 on the board this week; up from 49 last week. More opportunity -- always a good thing. Good luck, TheKingfish
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