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SammyD's 2013 College Football Thread

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Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2013
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Posted: #1
Guys,

Feel free to stop by and laugh at/mock/praise my 2013 College Football Picks.

I'll post 7 games per week.

Beat your books!




 
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Posted: #2
#1. Northwestern (-5) v. Cal.

I like the Wildcats here. They have 2 quality QBs, and for some reason such a platoon/system works for them. Northwestern has 15 returning starters----including nearly 100% of their entire offensive production. 

I don't worry about this being a road game because Northwestern played pretty well on the road last year, beating Michigan State, and losing 2 tight games to Michigan and Penn State. Fitzgerald has developed into a solid coach, and I think Cal is going to be overwhelmed in this spot. Cal isn't deep, they have a true freshman QB, and even with the game being played at Cal, I think NW rolls large here.

Pick#2-Ohio +20.5 v. Louisville. 20.5 with this Ohio team? I'll take it! Ohio QB Tyler Tettleton can play if you haven't seen him yet. He's going to give Louisville fits. Ask Penn State. Ohio was playing the best football of any MAC team last year until the injury bug started to bite and crushed them. Tettleton was dinged, so was the OL. Ohio also has a pretty solid coaching staff to match Charlie Strong's group. Louisville isn't Alabama. They're a decentish team with a good QB, that's it. Ohio won't win, but they'll cover the number. 

Risking 110/100 on this one.

Pick #3-Ole Miss -3 v. Vanderbilt. Hugh Freeze has Ole Miss trending up---recruiting with the big boys-- landing an insanely talented freshmen class. They also have Bo Wallace back this year, a decent runner in Jeff Scott, and a pretty good set of linebackers. I am not sold on James Franklin at Vandy. I think he got rich feeding on some bottom feeders, Vandy loses its QB, and 1000 yard rusher--Zac Stacy----Ole Miss has program momentum, more experience at key positions and are better coached. 

Risking 110/100.


 
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Posted: #3
Pick #4-Northern Illinois ML +135 v. Iowa. Love, love, love NIU in this spot. NIU coming off a BCS bowl game-- where they were beaten down by FSU, but they played hard and competed. At the end of last year, NIU's QB Jordan Lynch was virtually unstoppable, he accounted for almost 5,000 of offense last year---(3100 passing, 1800 rushing)--That was the first time that was done in Division 1 history----Bottom line NIU is loaded, with one of the most dynamic QBs in college football. Iowa on the other hand is a hot mess. They have a first time QB, they are entering the 2013 on a 6-game losing streak, they don't have much speed on the outside, and they are not as good up front defensively as they have been past year. NIU wins this.

Risking 100/135

Pick #5-UNLV +14 v. Minnesota. I know, I know. UNLV. I just threw up in my mouth a little. Bobby Houck is 6-32 at UNLV. I know, I know, more vomit in the back of my throat. But this number is just too high. UNLV almost won straight up last year against Minnesota. UNLV has had young rosters the past 2 years, now Hauck has some experience. They have some talented WRs who could allow them to score some points and keep games close. That is why I love the points here. Minnesota's Jerry Kill is a very good college football coach but his team is not that much better than UNLV's roster. They lack elite talent, and I don't see any way possible they cover this number, even with their coaching advantage.

Risking 110/100.

Pick 6-Louisanna Tech (+13.5) v NC State. 13.5? I'm a little nervous with the move to Skip Holtz. But to Holtz' credit, he is keeping the offense exactly as it was, and he should! This is a team that put up 57 against Texas AM last year. The Bulldogs return Kenneth Dixon-- who ran for 1200 yards as a frosh last year. They are replacing their QB, but they had some talent on the roster. Holtz is focusing his attention on the defensive side of the ball----hopefully they can slow some teams down this year. NC State fired Tom O'Brien and upgraded by hiring NIU's Dave Doeren. Doeren does not have the talent to run his system this year, so if teams want to beat the Wolfpack, this is the year to do it. That is why I love La. Tech in this spot----its asking way too much for Doeren's staff to come in and be running at top speed in this game. Take the points here.

Risking 110/100.

Pick #7. Georgia -2 v. Clemson. This is my 3 unit HR. Georgia is loaded. They have Aaron Murray back, they have ridiculous talent at RB in Gurley and Marshall, and Malcolm Mitchell at WR. Mark Richt should send OC Mike Bobo packing if he can't score points with this talent. Here's my hangup with Clemson. Obviously they have Boyd and Sammy Watkins-- but you know what else they have? Dabo. Dabo Dabo Doo. Every year, Dabo manages to punch himself in the face. Clemson has the talent to play with anyone, but I think this is the spot where Georgia just overwhlems them, much like South Carolina does to Clemson. Georgia big.

Risking 330/300.

 
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Posted: #4
Nice Card.  I am with you on NW and Ole Miss!   GL
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #5
Love La Tech & Ohio U.
 
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Posted: #6
Interesting to see some steam coming in on Ohio.

That line is climbing.
 
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Posted: #7
Nice work. Looks good
 
 
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Posted: #8
1. Maybe so

Can see 2-4

Don't fancy 5-7

Minny threw up on themselves in last years game, pull up the stats, Rebs had no business being close, UNLV finds a way in Vegas & they collapse on the road, I'd look at minny or nothing, my advice

Best of luck bro

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