Fresno State is clearly worse. And I guess you can reason San Jose St will just run it every time and Fresno State won't stop it. But then again, Fresno randomly held SD St, a very good running team, to 17 points earlier this year. So they are capable of possibly showing up on D and San Jose obviously plays no D.
I started writing this and realize this game had to be already played. San Jose won by 2.
Don't put good money on bad teams. That's all I can say. The Mountain West is a trash conference. Very volatile like the Big 12.
Only decent bet I think is Wisconsin vs Penn State. I just think Wisconsin is the better team. I live there and I know the Big Ten well. I think Penn St has an inexperienced QB and D that hasn't been tested much. And also, away from home Penn State has historically really struggled. I think Wisconsin can nip them in this one, although the spread is close to what it should be. I like them at -2 if you get that price.
These other games who knows. I think the spreads are very accurate. I might lean Colorado +7 with the hook because they have been great as a dog this year and play well on both sides of the ball. They have a good D line and contain that Wash run game and keep it close. Also, they can rush the QB. I think that's the right way to go, but I do think Wash has been the stronger team overall this year and they are all over when it comes to laying points. But they struggled vs USC, and Colorado is built similarly. With that being said, Colorado may struggle on O this game and could lose 27-17 or whatever but if you put a gun to my head I take Colorado.
Also lean to Wyoming over SDSU. 7 seems like a lot. Wyoming is not great, but is at least in every game and SDSU is really reeling and lacking confidence on D and at QB. But Wyoming is still Wyoming.
The Bama line is probably accurate. I think I still take Bama just bc I think Florida gets shut out and Bama can hit 30 points with a couple turnovers.
I like Temple a little. Really comes down to if they stop Navy. They have a good run defense, although you never know how that translates to the triple option. But they have been so hot I don't think they should get 3 here I think this should be 0. If they contain Navy on the run, they should win this one because Navy is a bad defensive team . . . they just win by outscoring you. So if they underperform on offense they probably lose.
Overall, these championship games are all pretty close to where they should be. It's different from last year where there was clear value in USC Stanford and 6 point teasers with Iowa, SDSU, Western Kentucky, and Bama in what were all low variation games in which you had lots of info going in on how the machups would play out.
Fresno State is clearly worse. And I guess you can reason San Jose St will just run it every time and Fresno State won't stop it. But then again, Fresno randomly held SD St, a very good running team, to 17 points earlier this year. So they are capable of possibly showing up on D and San Jose obviously plays no D.
I started writing this and realize this game had to be already played. San Jose won by 2.
Don't put good money on bad teams. That's all I can say. The Mountain West is a trash conference. Very volatile like the Big 12.
Only decent bet I think is Wisconsin vs Penn State. I just think Wisconsin is the better team. I live there and I know the Big Ten well. I think Penn St has an inexperienced QB and D that hasn't been tested much. And also, away from home Penn State has historically really struggled. I think Wisconsin can nip them in this one, although the spread is close to what it should be. I like them at -2 if you get that price.
These other games who knows. I think the spreads are very accurate. I might lean Colorado +7 with the hook because they have been great as a dog this year and play well on both sides of the ball. They have a good D line and contain that Wash run game and keep it close. Also, they can rush the QB. I think that's the right way to go, but I do think Wash has been the stronger team overall this year and they are all over when it comes to laying points. But they struggled vs USC, and Colorado is built similarly. With that being said, Colorado may struggle on O this game and could lose 27-17 or whatever but if you put a gun to my head I take Colorado.
Also lean to Wyoming over SDSU. 7 seems like a lot. Wyoming is not great, but is at least in every game and SDSU is really reeling and lacking confidence on D and at QB. But Wyoming is still Wyoming.
The Bama line is probably accurate. I think I still take Bama just bc I think Florida gets shut out and Bama can hit 30 points with a couple turnovers.
I like Temple a little. Really comes down to if they stop Navy. They have a good run defense, although you never know how that translates to the triple option. But they have been so hot I don't think they should get 3 here I think this should be 0. If they contain Navy on the run, they should win this one because Navy is a bad defensive team . . . they just win by outscoring you. So if they underperform on offense they probably lose.
Overall, these championship games are all pretty close to where they should be. It's different from last year where there was clear value in USC Stanford and 6 point teasers with Iowa, SDSU, Western Kentucky, and Bama in what were all low variation games in which you had lots of info going in on how the machups would play out.
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