Posted:
#1
Hi guys,
Just a word of warning, I've won 9 straight picks. This kind of streak is unsustainable so follow at your own risk. Normalization (a losing streak) is due at some point
UMass +21 - Another SEC opponent for the Minutemen. It makes no sense to me that they continue to play SEC teams tough and to the wire but then go on and get crushed by lesser teams. Maybe they're that "rise to the occasion" kind of team. The Gamecocks are absolutely terrible on offense, a standard of a Muschamp coached team. I know that they are at home and they have more talent, but UMass has played better SEC teams and fared pretty dang well. Throw the stats out on this game. Take UMass and the points.
Wisconsin -3.5 - It has been one hell of a 3 week stretch for the Badgers. MSU, Michigan, and OSU. This team has been through the gauntlet and shouldn't suffer a hangover of any sort. Wisc still has an outside shot at a Big 6 bowl game. They lost 2 close games and may be emotionally drained but Iowa isn't taking advantage of that. The Hawkeyes have been up and down all season. They almost gave away last weeks game to a bad Purdue team. Something is still wrong with that team, and this week it will ge worse. They haven't played a team of this caliber yet. Wisc by 10+.
KState +2.5 - Again, another line that kind of has me wary. Texas is a broken football team. I don't care if they had a comeback win last week against Iowa State. It was Iowa State. Strong has not been able to get his team to play a complete game in recent memory and they now have to travel to play Bill Snyder. Now, KState has some injury issues. Ertz may not play, which leaves gun slinging (and inaccurate) Hubener as the starter. Not a problem. Snyder is a legit coach who has won with wayyyyyy less. Plus, UT hasn't won at KState since 2002. That streak continues tomorrow.
Colorado ML - I hate to pick against Stanford, but no CM5 kills it for me. Sure, they won last week, but they scored SEVEN offensive points. SEVEN. Against ND's lackluster def. That's bad news to me. Even playing at home won't offset that kind of performance again. Colorado has been quite the story this season, returning a ton of starters and playing at a high level. They are a more complete team at the moment and as much as I hate to say this, Stanford can usually play ball control offense against an explosive team like this and expect to win, but not without CM5. I'm seeing shades of the WSU game from 2 weeks ago. Buffs cut down the Tree tomorrow.
Navy ML - This should be quite an interesting game. Two contrasting offensive styles with two pretty good defenses playing. Memphis actually had quite a bit of trouble with Tulane's strong def and triple option offense last week. They figured it out late and came away with the win. Now they play an extremely similar team this week. However, Navy executes the triple option much better than Tulane. With that huge win over Houston last week, I'm feeling that let-down angle in the back of my mind but c'mon. They're Navy. Discipline is something they live by. Plus they're playing their first game at home as a ranked team. Still a coin-flip game to me but I will take the home dog to win outright tomorrow.
GL
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