Saturday Specials....

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

73-49-3 +351.6 Units YTD

Business as usual last week. No matter how many people told me how bad of a play AF was, it cashed and leads us to our first play this weekend.....

10 Units Army +7  LOSS

Just fading AF off their biggest game of the year. Dont see them duplicating the intensity of the Utah game now that they have to go on the road here. More of a fade on AF than a play on Army. But, Army has jumped leaps and bounds the past year. They can finally move the ball a bit on offense and are much faster on defense.

10 Units South Carolina -4 LOSS

Just banking on the Ole Ball Coach to have his boys prepared. I also think losing Childs is going to hurt Mallett. South Carolina can get up for big games at home and if they keep rolling, they have a shot at a conference championship game. Arkansas has put up some less than impressive performances on the road. South Carolina plays a great bend-but-dont-break defense at home. I dont think Arkansas has the defense to keep them close enough.

10 Units Idaho +11 LOSS

I have Idaho winning this game. I will gladly take 11. Idaho has been road warriors this season and they will gladly take a home game against a ranked team here. This is their biggest game of the year to date and I think the home crowd keeps em in it. Idaho not the easiest place to play, either. I fade Nevada a lot and this may be me just going back to the well, but this team hasnt covered a spread in a freaking month. They dont play enough defense. Enderle should find open receivers and I have this one coming down to the wire.

10 Units Indiana +17.5  WIN

That was a huge win for Iowa. They took down the conference darling. After, two rough games at home, I dont see how they get up for a 17+ point win over Indiana here. Ferentz record on the road is laughable. I think Iowa can be passed all over. Chappell should be healthy enough to do it.

10 Units Utah +4.5 LOSS

TCU is overrated. One of the worst undefeated teams you will ever see - its basically the same story as last year. Dalton is known not to show up in big games. TCU doesnt have enough offense to beat Utah by this many. This line is a joke. Utah has just as good a defense as TCU. They are a bit deeper, too. While Kerley is a stud, hes not enough. Utah has the home crowd behind them. Its already not an easy place to play. I think the emotion carries them through this one. Utah hasnt gotten any pub, its been Boise and TCU. This team is going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder, they have something to prove.

10 Units LSU +6.5  WIN

Well, I often bet against Saban when I have the coaching advantage and I cannot claim that here, but I do think I am in the much better spot. Again, broken record time - betting on the home team, tough place to play. Bama has been less than impressive on the road this year. The target on their back has not suited them well. LSU will not give up 440 on the ground to this team - McElroy is not mobile enough. That leaves McElroy to beat them through the air. Take away one side of the field because of Patterson and I love my chances here. I am obviously betting on an anemic offense, but if LSU drops less passes, we are talking about an upset here, let alone a cover.

10 Units UCLA +4.5  WIN

Going back to the UCLA at home well. OSU just won by damn near 50, I get it. Who doesnt want to back them? UCLA has an injury list longer than most peoples practice squads. Still, I think, defensively UCLA has enough to get me a cover. Morris and Ayers are studs. OSU doesnt play defense on the road - not a team you want to be laying chalk with.

20 Units Arizona State +6  WIN
5 Units Arizona State ML +200  LOSS

Talk about nothing left in the tank. What a shitty loss for USC last week. After putting themselves up by 3 a few minutes into the 3rd against Oregon, the wheels fell off. A clearly dejected USC team limped to the finish line while Oregon continued to push it down their throats. I think they suffer a bit of a hangover here. The clear # 2 in the Pac10 comes in and this team can do it all. They play defense, they play offense and they are quick. This is more of a fade of USC, but it doesnt hurt that I love ASU this year. One of the more underrated teams in the nation should go into USC and surprise a few folks. I really wouldnt expect USC to duplicate the effort from last week - or at least the one from the first 40 minutes. Its damn near impossible. ASU isnt the #1 team in the nation. ASU isnt undefeated. ASU is just another conference opponent. Hangover city.

20 Units Wake Forest +3 LOSS

So, you are really telling me that BC should be laying road chalk? Thats beyond laughable. I couldnt get anyone to bet on BC earlier this year with a free play. Now, since they beat Clemson they deserve to be favored here? Not a chance. Thats a classic overreaction. Wake should be able to slow down the 'offense' that BC has. I am a huge fan of Grobe and what he can do for a team. You never bet on a team that just won as underdogs and are now favored - shit, throw in the fact that they are on the road and this is a no-brainer.

10 units Navy +3  WIN

All I do is nail ECU games. This is the easiest team to read in college ball. They dont play defense, at all. Navy should kill this team with TOP. I dont see Navy being off the field for very long this game. Triple-Option tough to defend. It also gets opposing offenses anxious because it they end up sitting on the bench for longer than average. There is a reason ECU is only being offered as a 3pt favorite at home and its not because they are the play. Never bet against a team that just lost SU as DD faves when they are getting points the next week. Its a losing prop.


A few more I am looking at....Lou - Hou - Clem - Mich - Kst - Tex Tech



Let the madness begin....